← Methodology
§ Persona · Buyer · v1 · April 2026

The Buyer score.

Weighted for entry cost and downside risk — the two things buyers care about most. Growth and momentum ride in the back seat.

§ 01 · Sub-score weights

What goes in, at what weight.

Affordability
Heavy weight

Price-to-income pressure, payment burden at current rates, and rent-vs-own crossover.

Risk
Heavy weight

Overvaluation pressure, household stress, and market-clearing stress.

Growth
Light weight

Price trajectory, migration & job quality, supply response.

Momentum
Light weight

Inventory shift, days-on-market shift, price acceleration.

§ 02 · Why these weights

Rising prices help sellers, not buyers.

Buyers care most about entry cost and downside risk. Compared to the composite, the Buyer score shifts weight from growth toward risk — rising prices are a negative for someone trying to enter, so celebrating appreciation with a higher score would be dishonest. Avoiding a bust matters more than catching an uptrend.

§ 03 · What this score isn't

A starting point, not a buy signal.

Not a recommendation to buy. Not financial advice. Not a price prediction. Coastal markets score lower on affordability than they feel — that's the truth, not a model defect.

CookiesCookies keep you signed in and help us see what’s slow. Privacy.