FairUpdated OCT 1, 2026

Livermore, NH

ZIP 03812· Grafton County· Lebanon, NH-VT· 909 residents· Leaning Buyer

03812 · Livermore, NH has a HavenScore of 52 — downside-risk signals are quiet here, which steadies the score.

The buyer/seller gauge leans narrowly toward buyers, and has for 7 months. Typical values were flat over the last 90 days (Zillow ZHVI).

Saved ZIPs on Haven get an email when the score moves 5+ points as monthly data lands, when the market gauge flips between buyers and sellers, when its valuation read moves against the model value, or when distress jumps in a week.

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $476,127 in Nov 2024; the latest value is -6.2% from that peak, 21 months on. Since January 2019 it is +99.3%. The sharpest 12-month move was -4.3%, ending Nov 2025.

Median price
$446,458
-0.22% past 12 mo
Est. monthly payment
$3,277/ mo
20% down · 30-yr fixed · 7.28% · incl. tax + insurance
54
HavenScore: higher than 58% of scored ZIPs.
0 / 90d#7/101 in NHBuyer Score
Rank

This ZIP has fewer than 5,000 residents, so it isn’t ranked against larger markets. The HavenScore is shown for reference.

Switch perspective

Buyer view active — Leans harder on affordability and downside risk.

Score inputs below recompute for this view

Affordability
—/100
Growth
50/100
Risk
58/100
Momentum
46/100
Livability
57/100
Score · trailing 12 mo
45 → 52
+7 points
30-day
0
90-day
0
1-yr
+7

Snapshot

Numbers at a glance, with a year of history under each

Median price
$446,458
down-0.2% 12 mo
Typical home value across the middle tier of homes here — a smoothed Zillow index, steadier than individual sale prices.
Median price: higher than 67% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is $446,458.
Est. monthly payment
$3,277
At the median value with 20% down, a 30-year fixed at 7.28%, plus property tax and insurance.
Active listings
33
Homes listed for sale right now (Realtor.com). Rising inventory usually favors buyers; falling inventory favors sellers.
Active listings: higher than 32% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 33.
Days on market
70
How long the typical listing sits before going under contract. Shorter means a tighter market; longer means more room to negotiate.
Days on market: higher than 74% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 70.
Price cuts
+11.54%
Share of active listings that have lowered their asking price. Rising cuts usually precede softening values.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is +11.54%.
Population
909
Current resident estimate. Growth is a demand tailwind; decline is a structural risk.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 909.
Vacancy
71.2%
Above-average. Share of housing units that are vacant in this ZIP, from the latest US Census ACS 5-year tables.
Owner-occupied
92%
of homes. Share of occupied housing units owned by their occupants (vs. rented), from the US Census ACS.
Denial rate
23.9%
Above-average. Share of mortgage applications denied in this ZIP, from the latest CFPB / FFIEC HMDA disclosures.
Lending activity
1,638
originations. Mortgage originations recorded in this ZIP in the most recent HMDA reporting year. Higher counts = more active lending market.
Net migration
+3.5%
net inflow. Net migration as a share of population, from IRS SOI county-to-county migration data. Positive = more people moving in than out.
Income inflow
$98k
average. Average gross income of households moving INTO this ZIP, from IRS SOI data. Higher = ZIP attracting higher-income households.

Place

What it is like to live here, and what could flood or burn

Place profile
WalkabilityNo walkability data
EPA Smart Location Database
Transit accessNo transit data
EPA publishes no stop distance for most block groups
Typical commuteLonger commute than typical
26 minutes one way · US median ZIP 22 · US Census ACS · above 23% of scored ZIPs
Jobs nearbyFew jobs nearby
13 jobs per sq mi · US Census LODES · above 8% of scored ZIPs
Physical riskRelatively Moderate (FEMA)
FEMA National Risk Index composite · Dec 2025 release · above 21% of scored ZIPs

Bands are each source’s own · tick marks the national median ZIP · not blended into the score

Hazard ledger · FEMA National Risk Index

Tract-level rolled up to ZIP · not a property-level rating · no future-year projection · refreshed annually (Dec 2025 release) · county tick = median of 36 scored ZIPs in Grafton County

Housing cost burden · US Census ACS
Owners spending over 50% of income0%
US median ZIP 6%
Renters spending over 30% of income0%
US median ZIP 45%

What drives the score

Five pillars, each scored 0–100

Affordability

—/100

Growth momentum

50/100

Market risk

58/100

Momentum

46/100

Livability

57/100
Walkability
1–20 index · June 2021 vintage·EPA Smart Location Database
—
Transit access
Ranked against every scored ZIP·EPA Smart Location Database
—
Job density
Jobs per square mile, ranked against every scored ZIP·US Census LODES
13.2

See every input behind the pillars, with its value and source

Inside: Affordability: Price-to-income, Property tax rate, Median income · Growth momentum: 12-month price change, 12-month rent change, Population · Market risk: Overvaluation, Active listings, Price cuts · Momentum: Days on market, Buyer / seller gauge, Demand dial

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Market signals

Tailwinds and headwinds right now

Top 4 of 14 signals
Tailwinds3
  • Strong migration inflow
    +3.5% net — people moving in
  • Growing population
    +11.5% annual growth
  • Strong job market
    2.4% unemployment
Headwinds1
  • Slow-moving market
    70 days on market — homes sitting longer
Buyer / seller gauge

Market conditions

Leaning Buyer

Conditions are easing in buyers' favor. The score reads more negotiation room than balanced.

-20
Strong buyerBalancedStrong seller
Trend
Heating toward seller
Gauge since Mar 2026Leaning Buyer now

Cycle read. Softening: prices -0.2% over the trailing year, with the market leaning toward buyers.

Asking vs closed
Typical value (index)
$446,458
Zillow ZHVI · Oct 2026
Median sale price
$580,000
Redfin · Oct 2026
Sale-to-list
96.6%
Redfin · Oct 2026
Sold above list
33.3%
Redfin · Oct 2026

The Zillow figure is a smoothed index of typical value, not a list price; the Redfin figures are closed sales for the month shown.

Momentum check

What's changed in the last 90 days

🔒 Haven
Locked

Median price

——
🔒 Haven
Locked

Inventory

——
🔒 Haven
Locked

Days on market

——
🔒 Haven
Locked

Price cuts

——

Change vs. prior 90 days · arrow shows direction, not whether it’s good or bad

Pulse signals unlock with Haven, plus a one-line market interpretation.

The 90-day numbers behind each tile open with Haven

Trend

Where it's been

Peak
$476,127
Nov 2024
From peak
-6.2%
21 mo ago
Since Jan 2019
+99.3%
Worst 12 mo
-4.3%
to Nov 2025
Best 12 mo
+34.4%
since 2018

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $476,127 in Nov 2024; the latest value is -6.2% from that peak, 21 months on. Since January 2019 it is +99.3%. The sharpest 12-month move was -4.3%, ending Nov 2025.

Cycle position — prices vs the model’s value estimate and the payment’s share of income vs five years ago — opens with Pro

Appreciation by window

Zillow ZHVI · rank among scored ZIPs
WindowChangePer yearUS rankNew Hampshire rank
1 yeardown-0.2%-0.2%/yrHigher than 25% nationallyHigher than 1% in New Hampshire
3 yearsup+3.5%+1.2%/yrHigher than 33% nationallyHigher than 1% in New Hampshire
5 yearsup+27.9%+5.0%/yrHigher than 65% nationallyHigher than 2% in New Hampshire
10 yearsup+119.8%+8.2%/yrTop 9% nationallyHigher than 64% in New Hampshire
Since 2000up+315.7%+5.5%/yr——

Starter homes vs the top tier

Zillow ZHVI tiers · Aug 2026
Bottom third (starter homes)
$334,460
up+39% 5Yup+158% 10Y
Middle third
$446,458
up+28% 5Yup+120% 10Y
Top third
$655,550
up+21% 5Yup+101% 10Y

Starter homes here rose 39% in five years while top-tier homes rose 21% (Zillow ZHVI tiers) — the bottom of the market outpaced the top.

3-bedroom homes here run 38% above 2-bedrooms (Zillow ZHVI by bedroom); the NH median premium is 29%.

By home type · Zillow ZHVI mid tier
Single-family
$518,218
up+23% 5Y
Condo / co-op
$400,945
up+28% 5Y

Condos here are priced 23% below single-family homes (Zillow ZHVI by home type); over five years single-family rose 23% while condos rose 28%.

The historical reading — which months run highest and lowest here — opens with Haven

Rent, inventory, days on market, Zillow’s market heat, the % view and state and US reference lines open with Haven

Forecast

Where it's heading

The HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) projects this ZIP’s median value at 3-, 6-, and 12-month horizons, with 80% prediction intervals; Pro adds 24- and 36-month horizons.

Price Forecast

3-month projection · 80% range

🔒 Haven
—————
3-month shown  |  6 & 12 months with Haven →
3-month
$433,332
-2.9%
80% range $422.6K–$449.6K
6-month
🔒 Haven
12-month
🔒 Haven

Of the 3-month ranges we published since December 2025, 54% contained the actual price. Track record →

6- and 12-month projections, their 80% ranges, and what moves the forecast unlock with Haven.

Forecasts are the model’s projection, not a prediction. Actuals will differ.

See the 6- and 12-month price ranges for this ZIP and what moves the forecast

Haven · 14-day free trial · then from $8/mo

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Monthly cost

What you'd owe each month

Est. monthly payment
$3,277/ mo

20% down · 30-yr fixed · 7.28% · tax 1.93%

Principal$277
Interest$2,167
Property tax$718
Insurance$115
Rent vs buy

Rent data isn’t published for this ZIP, so we can’t compute a rent-vs-buy gap.

Insurance uses the average homeowners premium insurers reported for this ZIP in 2022, $1,380 a year (Treasury Federal Insurance Office).

Run the numbers

Your price, rate, down payment and income

Like for like: a 3-bedroom here rents for about $2,300 a month (HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent, FY2026) against a typical 3-bedroom value of $529k (Zillow ZHVI by bedroom) — a 5.2% gross rent yield.

Cost of ownership over time

Cumulative housing cost, interest paid, and equity built · 20% down · standard assumptions

See the 1-, 5-, and 30-year cost of owning here

Inside: Total housing cost · Interest paid · Principal paid · Equity built

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Equity assumes flat home value; real appreciation could push it higher · Rate 7.28%

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Comparable ZIPs

Same shape, lower entry

ZIPs the score groups near 03812 on Affordability and Growth — sorted by lowest median value. Each tile names what the lower price trades: commute (ACS), walkability band (EPA) and hazard rating (FEMA).

Sources

Every number, traced

Every metric above is sourced from public datasets, normalized against the national ZIP distribution. Home values and rents refresh monthly; demographics refresh annually.

Zillow Research
Home values, rents, inventory, transactions
Realtor.com
Inventory, days on market, price-cut share
Redfin
Sale prices, transaction volume
US Census ACS
Income, population, vacancy, cost burden
Freddie Mac PMMS
Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates
FHFA HPI
Long-term price trends
HUD Small Area FMR
Per-ZIP fair market rents (rural fallback)
BEA & IRS
Personal income growth, net migration
Lending & accessibility
Lending and neighborhood-access signals
Research the restNo crime or school rating here — why. The primary sources:GreatSchools→NCES School Search→FBI Crime Data Explorer→

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