CautiousUpdated MAY 20, 2026

New Haven, CT

ZIP 06513·New Haven County·New Haven-Milford, CT·38,343 residents·Median income $46,520·Leaning Seller

06513 · New Haven, CT has a HavenScore of 35 — cautious on affordability and fundamentals, per the score.

Compare
35
▼ -4 / 90d#36/40 in CTHavenScore
Rank

Ranked #12,782 of 13,130 nationally · #6,585 of 6,756 mid-size ZIPs

Switch perspective

Overall view active — Equal weight across affordability, growth, risk, momentum.

Sub-scores below recompute with these weights

Affordability
27/100
Growth
—/100
Risk
29/100
Momentum
44/100
Livability
66/100
Score · trailing 12 mo
39 → 35
-4 points
30-day
+3
90-day
-4
1-yr
-4

Snapshot

Numbers at a glance

Median price
$295,752
Typical home value
YoY change
+5.56%
12-mo trailing
Price-to-income
6.4×
healthy <4.0×
Est. monthly
$2,061
PITI · 20% · 6.51%
Active listings
24
current count
Days on market
26
median DOM
Vacancy
7.9%
Average
Owner-occupied
38%
of homes
Denial rate
26.0%
Above-average
Lending activity
14,287
originations
Walkability
11.7
Above-average

Composition

Pillars behind the score

Affordability

35% of score
27/100
Price-to-income
Healthy under 4×·ACS · ZHVI
🔒 Haven
Property tax rate
Annual, as % of value·Tax Foundation 2024
🔒 Haven
Median income
Household·Census ACS
🔒 Haven

Growth momentum

25% of score
—/100
12-month price change
Trailing year·Zillow ZHVI
🔒 Haven
12-month rent change
Trailing year·Zillow ZORI
🔒 Haven
Population
Estimated residents·Census ACS
🔒 Haven

Market risk

20% of score
29/100
Overvaluation
vs fundamentals·HavenScore composite
🔒 Haven
Active listings
Raw count — lower is tighter supply·Realtor.com
🔒 Haven
Price cuts
Share of listings·Realtor.com
🔒 Haven

Momentum

20% of score
44/100
Days on market
Median listing age·Realtor.com
🔒 Haven
Buyer / seller gauge
Market balance·HavenScore composite
🔒 Haven
Demand dial
Composite demand signal·HavenScore composite
🔒 Haven

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Signals

What's driving this score

Top 4 of 14 signals
Tailwinds2
  • Strong price appreciation
    +5.6% year-over-year
  • Limited new supply
    Only 1.5 permits per 1,000 — supply constrained
Headwinds2
  • High price-to-income
    6.4× income — well above the national median
  • Potentially overvalued
    86% above historical price-to-income
Buyer / seller gauge

Market conditions

Leaning Seller

Conditions tightening in sellers' favor. Sign in to save this ZIP and track how the score moves.

+31
Strong buyerBalancedStrong seller
Trend
Heating toward seller

Pulse

What's changed in the last 90 days

🔒 Haven
Rising

Median price

+3.2%$296k
🔒 Haven
Falling

Inventory

−31.4%24

Change vs. prior 90 days · arrow shows direction, not whether it’s good or bad

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Metrics

The raw numbers

Median Home Value

$295,752

▲ +5.56% YoY
Median Rent

$1,850

▼ -0.27% YoY
Active Inventory

24

Days on Market

26 days

Price Cuts

+16.67%

Price-to-Income

6.4×

Median Income

$46,520

Population

38,343

Overvaluation

+85.96%

Trend

Where it's been

Historical Trends

Updated May 2026

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Forecast

Where it's heading

The HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) projects this ZIP’s median value at 3-, 6-, and 12-month horizons, with 80% prediction intervals.

Price Forecast

12-month projection · 80% calibrated interval

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—————
Free · 3 mo  |  Haven · 12 mo →
3-month
🔒 Haven
6-month
🔒 Haven
12-month
🔒 Haven
12-month forecast + confidence intervals + AI-explained drivers unlock with Haven

Forecasts are the model’s projection, not a prediction. Actuals will differ.

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Payment

What you'd owe each month

Est. monthly payment
$2,061/ mo

20% down · 30-yr fixed · 6.51% · tax 1.79%

Principal$213
Interest$1,284
Property tax$441
Insurance$123
Rent vs buy
Median rent
$1,850
/ mo
Own (PITI)
$2,061
/ mo
Monthly gap
+$211owning costs more each month

Decide

Run the numbers

Cost of ownership over time

Cumulative housing cost, interest paid, and equity built · 10% down · ZIP median income $46,520

1-year
Total housing cost
🔒 Haven
Interest paid
🔒 Haven
Principal paid
🔒 Haven
Equity built
🔒 Haven
5-year
Total housing cost
🔒 Haven
Interest paid
🔒 Haven
Principal paid
🔒 Haven
Equity built
🔒 Haven
30-year
Total housing cost
🔒 Haven
Interest paid
🔒 Haven
Principal paid
🔒 Haven
Equity built
🔒 Haven

Equity assumes flat home value; real appreciation could push it higher · Rate 6.51%

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Haven featurefrom $8/mo

The score has more to say about this ZIP.

A list-timing recommendation for sellers — buyer/seller gauge, recent signals, and a polished PDF. Switch to Seller view to generate it.

Report sections · Haven

Buyer / Seller gauge🔒 Haven
Market state callout🔒 Haven
Recent direction in seller-relevant signals🔒 Haven
Net proceeds estimator🔒 Haven
Methodology summary🔒 Haven
  • List-timing recommendation
  • Metro and ZIP context
  • Polished PDF layout
  • Refreshed monthly
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Pro featurefrom $25/mo

The score has more to say about this ZIP.

A four-page editorial PDF: market summary, full pillar breakdown, 5-year history with forecast, alternatives, and a 30-year cost-of-ownership table.

HavenScore Report06513Market AnalysisGENERATED FOR PRO MEMBERS78PILLAR BREAKDOWNHAVENSCORE.APP · PRO REPORT🔒 Pro
  • Branded PDF with all metrics
  • Includes forecast + scorecards
  • Suitable for client presentations
  • Unlimited exports
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Comparable ZIPs

Same shape, lower entry

ZIPs the score groups near 06513 on Affordability and Growth — sorted by lowest median value.

ZIP 06704
Waterbury
CT
37
$262,292+1.83%
ZIP 06705
Waterbury
CT
37
$265,196+3.28%
ZIP 06706
Waterbury
CT
31
$280,753+4.25%

Sources

Every number, traced

Every metric above is sourced from public datasets, normalized against the national ZIP distribution. Home values and rents refresh monthly; demographics refresh annually.

Zillow Research
Home values, rents, inventory, transactions
Realtor.com
Inventory, days on market, price-cut share
Redfin
Sale prices, transaction volume
US Census ACS
Income, population, vacancy, cost burden
Freddie Mac PMMS
Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates
FHFA HPI
Long-term price trends
HUD Small Area FMR
Per-ZIP fair market rents (rural fallback)
BEA & IRS
Personal income growth, net migration
Lending & accessibility
Lending and neighborhood-access signals

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