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ZIP 12184 · Valatie, NY · 7,547 residents · September 2026

Valatie 12184: the market leans toward sellers.

Conditions tightening in sellers' favor. Typical home value $453K, +4.3% over 12 months; listings take 57 days to sell against 60 in the median U.S. ZIP.

Sources beside every figure · Zillow, August 2026 · Realtor.com, September 2026 · Census ACS 2023 · FEMA NRI

Market balanceSeptember 2026

BuyersSellersEven
Leaning seller+11

In Mar 2026: +22

Typical value$453K+4.3% over 12 months · Zillow, Aug 2026
Days on market57 daysU.S. median ZIP 60 days · Realtor.com
Listings with a price cut25%U.S. median ZIP 20% · Realtor.com
Fair market rent$1,340/moHUD fair market rent, 2 bedrooms, FY 2026
Active listings19−21% vs a year ago · Realtor.com
Sale-to-list98.5%36% sold above list · Redfin, May 2026
HavenScore48of 100

Higher than 37% of scored ZIPs · #8,138 of 13,130 ZIPs with 5,000+ residents

Affordability35
Growth58
Risk59
Momentum45
Livability60

Five parts, weighted. How the score works →

The reading

Where the balance sits this month and what moved it.

Month by month, since the gauge began

  1. Mar 2026+22
  2. Apr 2026+28
  3. May 2026+30
  4. Jun 2026+23
  5. Jul 2026+20
  6. Aug 2026—no reading on record
  7. Sep 2026+11

Each block is one month’s reading, −100 (buyers) to +100 (sellers). The series starts in March 2026. A dashed block has no reading on record. How the balance is measured →

What is pulling the needle

  • 57 days on marketfaster than the U.S. median ZIP's 60 days
  • 25% of listings cut pricemore than the U.S. median ZIP's 20%
  • Sale-to-list 98.5%homes close below asking · Redfin, May 2026
  • 19 active listings−21% vs a year ago

Blue pulls toward buyers, orange toward sellers. Realtor.com, September 2026; Redfin, May 2026.

Accelerating: prices +4.3% over the trailing year, with the market leaning toward sellers.

Asking price vs sale price
Typical value (index)$452,623Zillow ZHVI · Aug 2026
Median sale price$415,000Redfin · May 2026
Sale-to-list98.5%Redfin · May 2026
Sold above list36.4%Redfin · May 2026

Zillow's figure is a smoothed index of typical value, not a list price; Redfin's are closed sales for the month shown.

Last 90 days

How the typical value and the listings moved over the last three months.

Typical valueHavenMay → Aug · Zillow
Active listingsHavenJun → Sep · Realtor.com
Days on marketHavenJun → Sep · Realtor.com
Listings with a price cutHavenJun → Sep · Realtor.com
The 90-day changes for this ZIP are part of Haven.
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Prices

Typical home value since 2000, and how far it moved over each window.

1 year+4.3%
3 years+8.3%
5 years+28.6%
10 years+86.8%
From peak0.0%

Zillow Home Value Index · ZIP 12184 · monthly, through August 2026

The listings, days on market and market heat series on this chart are part of Haven.With the % change view and the state and U.S. reference lines.
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Zillow ZHVI peaked at $452,623 in August 2026, which is the latest value. Since January 2019 it is +79.0%. The sharpest 12-month move was +1.4%, ending December 2025.

Zillow's typical home value here, $453K in August 2026, is 57% above the median U.S. ZIP's $289K. Over the 12 months to August 2026, Zillow's typical home value moved +4.3% here and +2.8% in the median U.S. ZIP.

Price tiers and bedrooms
Bottom tier$336K
Middle tier$453K
Top tier$679K
Single-family$452K
2 bedrooms$352K
3 bedrooms$437K

Starter homes here rose 35% in five years while top-tier homes rose 27% (Zillow ZHVI tiers) — the bottom of the market outpaced the top.

3-bedroom homes here run 24% above 2-bedrooms (Zillow ZHVI by bedroom); the NY median premium is 27%.

Zillow typical values by price tier, home type and bedrooms, August 2026.

How it ranks

Appreciation by window

WindowChangePer yearU.S. rankNew York rank
1 year+4.3%+4.3%/yrTop 24% nationallyHigher than 33% in New York
3 years+8.3%+2.7%/yrHigher than 54% nationallyHigher than 14% in New York
5 years+28.6%+5.2%/yrHigher than 67% nationallyHigher than 38% in New York
10 years+86.8%+6.5%/yrHigher than 59% nationallyHigher than 60% in New York
Since 2000+295.8%+5.3%/yr——

Zillow ZHVI · rank among scored ZIPs

This time of year Haven
The seasonal chart for this ZIP is part of Haven.With the reading of which months run highest and lowest here.
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Cycle position Pro
Where prices sit in the cycle is part of Pro.Prices against the model's value estimate, and the payment's share of income against five years ago.
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Forecast

Where the typical value is likely to be over the next 3 to 12 months, with the range the model has earned, and up to 36 months with Pro.

Last three years, then the forecast band

HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) · run October 1, 2026
$380K$400K$420K$440K$460K$480K$451K202420252026$380K$400K$420K$440K$460K$480K$451K202420252026
3 months$451K−0.3% · $447K–$459KMedium confidence
6 monthsHaven
12 monthsHaven
24 monthsPro
36 monthsPro
The 6- and 12-month ranges are part of Haven.The 3-month reading is free. Haven adds what moves the forecast.
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A forecast is a range, not a promise; the confidence word says how wide it is. How the forecast works →

Of the 3-month ranges we published since December 2025, 54% contained the actual price.

Zillow's own published forecast has this ZIP's typical value rise 3.1% over the twelve months from August 2026 (Zillow Home Value Forecast).

Payment

What a typical home here costs each month, against the typical income.

Monthly payment

$3,58247% of the median household income here ($91,616)
Principal and interest$2,672
Property tax$528
Insurance$127
Mortgage insurance$255

Above the 36% line lenders use for total debt, for a median earner here. Rate is the Freddie Mac average for September 2026; tax is the state's statutory rate.

Insurance uses the average homeowners premium insurers reported for this ZIP in 2022, $1,528 a year (Treasury Federal Insurance Office).

Fair market rent, 2 bedrooms$1,340
vs
Payment on a typical purchase$3,582

Buying costs $2,242 a month more than the HUD fair market rent for a 2-bedroom here (FY 2026), before tax effects and maintenance.

Like for like: the HUD fair market rent for a 3-bedroom here is $1,620 a month (FY 2026), against a typical 3-bedroom value of $437K (Zillow, August 2026) — a 4.4% gross rent yield.

Price-to-income ladder

Median home value ÷ median household income · Zillow ZHVI, Census ACS · under 4× has historically been comfortable

Cost of owning over time Haven
The 1-, 5- and 30-year cost of owning here is part of Haven.
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The place

What it costs to own here beyond the price, and what the neighborhood is like.

Median household income$91,616Census ACS
Price to income4.9×long-run average 2.7×
Property tax1.40%statutory, state
Insurance$1,528/yrtypical premium
Commute22 minmedian, one way
Walkability6 / 20EPA index
Hazard ratingRelatively ModerateFEMA NRI · wildfire 58 · flood 83
Population change+2.0% a year2018–2023, Census ACS
Median year built1974Census ACS
Owner-occupied79%Census ACS

Typical homes cost 4.9× the median household income here, against 5.2× in the median NY ZIP and 4.3× in the median U.S. ZIP (Zillow, August 2026; Census ACS 2023). Median household income is $91,616 here, against $71,388 in the median U.S. ZIP (Census ACS 2023).

Hazard ledger
Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 62 of 100 · county median 54
Flood83 of 100county median 75
Wildfire58 of 100county median 67
Hurricane79 of 100county median 78

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release, refreshed annually · tract-level rolled up to ZIP · not a property-level rating · no future-year projection · the tick is the median of 25 scored ZIPs in Columbia County.

Housing cost burden
Owners spending over 50% of income3%U.S. median ZIP 5%
Renters spending over 30% of income48%U.S. median ZIP 39%

Census ACS 2023 five-year estimates · the tick is the U.S. median ZIP.

Behind the score

The inputs behind each of the five parts, against the U.S. median ZIP.

Affordability

35

Growth

58

Risk

59

Momentum

45
Haven
See every input behind the five parts, with its value and source
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Livability

60
Walkability6 / 20EPA Smart Location DatabaseBelow-average walkability
Transit access—EPA Smart Location DatabaseNo transit data
Job density55 jobs per sq miCensus LODESFew jobs nearby

Nearby

21 scored New York ZIPs within 12 miles; the ones below score within ten points and cost less.

Sources and freshness

Every figure on this page, where it came from and when.

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ZillowHome values, rents, price tiersAugust 2026
Realtor.comListings, days on market, price cutsSeptember 2026
RedfinSale-to-list, sold above listMay 2026
Census ACSIncome, commute, population, housing stock2023 five-year
FEMA National Risk IndexHazard ratingsDecember 2025 release
EPAWalkability2021
HUDFair market rent, 2 bedroomsFY 2026
Freddie MacMortgage rateSeptember 2026, monthly average
HavenScoreScore, balance, forecastScored October 1, 2026

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