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ZIP 12965 · Fort Jackson, NY · 281 residents · September 2026

Fort Jackson 12965: the market leans toward sellers.

Conditions tightening in sellers' favor. Typical home value $113K, +2.5% over 12 months; listings take 182 days to sell against 60 in the median U.S. ZIP.

Sources beside every figure · Zillow, August 2026 · Realtor.com, September 2026 · Census ACS 2023 · FEMA NRI

Market balanceSeptember 2026

BuyersSellersEven
Leaning seller+13

In Mar 2026: +34

Typical value$113K+2.5% over 12 months · Zillow, Aug 2026
Days on market182 daysU.S. median ZIP 60 days · Realtor.com
Listings with a price cut0%U.S. median ZIP 20% · Realtor.com
Fair market rent$1,170/moHUD fair market rent, 2 bedrooms, FY 2026
Active listings2+100% vs a year ago · Realtor.com
Sale-to-list93.5%0% sold above list · Redfin, May 2026
HavenScore59of 100

Higher than 86% of scored ZIPs

Affordability75
Growth51
Risk56
Momentum54
Livability33

Five parts, weighted. How the score works →

The reading

Where the balance sits this month and what moved it.

Month by month, since the gauge began

  1. Mar 2026+34
  2. Apr 2026+21
  3. May 2026+21
  4. Jun 2026+23
  5. Jul 2026+21
  6. Aug 2026—no reading on record
  7. Sep 2026+13

Each block is one month’s reading, −100 (buyers) to +100 (sellers). The series starts in March 2026. A dashed block has no reading on record. How the balance is measured →

What is pulling the needle

  • 182 days on marketslower than the U.S. median ZIP's 60 days
  • 0% of listings cut pricefewer than the U.S. median ZIP's 20%
  • Sale-to-list 93.5%homes close below asking · Redfin, May 2026
  • 2 active listings+100% vs a year ago

Blue pulls toward buyers, orange toward sellers. Realtor.com, September 2026; Redfin, May 2026.

Accelerating: prices +2.5% over the trailing year, with the market leaning toward sellers.

Asking price vs sale price
Typical value (index)$112,981Zillow ZHVI · Aug 2026
Median sale price$130,000Redfin · May 2026
Sale-to-list93.5%Redfin · May 2026
Sold above list0.0%Redfin · May 2026

Zillow's figure is a smoothed index of typical value, not a list price; Redfin's are closed sales for the month shown.

Last 90 days

How the typical value and the listings moved over the last three months.

Typical valueHavenMay → Aug · Zillow
Active listingsHavenJun → Sep · Realtor.com
Days on marketHavenJun → Sep · Realtor.com
Listings with a price cutHavenJun → Sep · Realtor.com
The 90-day changes for this ZIP are part of Haven.
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Prices

Typical home value since 2000, and how far it moved over each window.

1 year+2.5%
3 years+8.1%
5 years+15.4%
10 years+57.6%
From peak0.0%

Zillow Home Value Index · ZIP 12965 · monthly, through August 2026

The listings, days on market and market heat series on this chart are part of Haven.With the % change view and the state and U.S. reference lines.
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Zillow ZHVI peaked at $113,261 in August 2024 and, after a −7.3% drawdown, is back at that level. Since January 2019 it is +63.4%. The sharpest 12-month move was −7.0%, ending December 2025.

Zillow's typical home value here, $113K in August 2026, is 61% below the median U.S. ZIP's $289K. Over the 12 months to August 2026, Zillow's typical home value moved +2.5% here and +2.8% in the median U.S. ZIP.

Price tiers and bedrooms
Bottom tier$62K
Middle tier$113K
Top tier$179K
Single-family$113K

Starter homes here rose 28% in five years while top-tier homes rose 25% (Zillow ZHVI tiers) — the two ends of the market moved together.

Zillow typical values by price tier, home type and bedrooms, August 2026.

How it ranks

Appreciation by window

WindowChangePer yearU.S. rankNew York rank
1 year+2.5%+2.5%/yrHigher than 56% nationallyHigher than 13% in New York
3 years+8.1%+2.6%/yrHigher than 54% nationallyHigher than 13% in New York
5 years+15.4%+2.9%/yrHigher than 29% nationallyHigher than 15% in New York
10 years+57.6%+4.7%/yrHigher than 20% nationallyHigher than 23% in New York
Since 2000+283.8%+5.2%/yr——

Zillow ZHVI · rank among scored ZIPs

This time of year Haven
The seasonal chart for this ZIP is part of Haven.With the reading of which months run highest and lowest here.
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Cycle position Pro
Where prices sit in the cycle is part of Pro.Prices against the model's value estimate, and the payment's share of income against five years ago.
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Forecast

Where the typical value is likely to be over the next 3 to 12 months, with the range the model has earned, and up to 36 months with Pro.

Last three years, then the forecast band

HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) · run October 1, 2026
$90K$100K$110K$120K$130K$115K202420252026$90K$100K$110K$120K$130K$115K202420252026
3 months$115K+1.9% · $112K–$120KMedium confidence
6 monthsHaven
12 monthsHaven
24 monthsPro
36 monthsPro
The 6- and 12-month ranges are part of Haven.The 3-month reading is free. Haven adds what moves the forecast.
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A forecast is a range, not a promise; the confidence word says how wide it is. How the forecast works →

Of the 3-month ranges we published since December 2025, 54% contained the actual price.

Zillow's own published forecast has this ZIP's typical value rise 4.5% over the twelve months from August 2026 (Zillow Home Value Forecast).

Payment

What a typical home here costs each month, against the typical income.

Monthly payment

$90917% of the median household income here ($63,214)
Principal and interest$667
Property tax$132
Insurance$47
Mortgage insurance$64

Inside the 28% line lenders use for housing costs. Rate is the Freddie Mac average for September 2026; tax is the state's statutory rate.

Insurance is assumed at 0.5% of the home's value a year; Treasury's Federal Insurance Office did not publish a premium for this ZIP.

Fair market rent, 2 bedrooms$1,170
vs
Payment on a typical purchase$909

Buying costs $261 a month less than the HUD fair market rent for a 2-bedroom here (FY 2026), before tax effects and maintenance.

Price-to-income ladder

Median home value ÷ median household income · Zillow ZHVI, Census ACS · under 4× has historically been comfortable

Cost of owning over time Haven
The 1-, 5- and 30-year cost of owning here is part of Haven.
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The place

What it costs to own here beyond the price, and what the neighborhood is like.

Median household income$63,214Census ACS
Price to income1.8×long-run average 1.1×
Property tax1.40%statutory, state
Insurance—typical premium
Commute24 minmedian, one way
Walkability—EPA index
Hazard ratingVery LowFEMA NRI · wildfire 49 · flood 36
Population change−10.6% a year2018–2023, Census ACS
Median year built1938Census ACS
Owner-occupied85%Census ACS

Typical homes cost 1.8× the median household income here, against 5.2× in the median NY ZIP and 4.3× in the median U.S. ZIP (Zillow, August 2026; Census ACS 2023). Median household income is $63,214 here, against $71,388 in the median U.S. ZIP (Census ACS 2023).

Hazard ledger
Overall riskVery Lowscore 18 of 100 · county median 47
Flood36 of 100county median 69
Wildfire49 of 100county median 63
Hurricane46 of 100county median 47

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release, refreshed annually · tract-level rolled up to ZIP · not a property-level rating · no future-year projection · the tick is the median of 32 scored ZIPs in Saint Lawrence County.

Housing cost burden
Owners spending over 50% of income3%U.S. median ZIP 5%
Renters spending over 30% of income14%U.S. median ZIP 39%

Census ACS 2023 five-year estimates · the tick is the U.S. median ZIP.

Behind the score

The inputs behind each of the five parts, against the U.S. median ZIP.

Affordability

75

Growth

51

Risk

56

Momentum

54
Haven
See every input behind the five parts, with its value and source
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Livability

33
Walkability—EPA Smart Location Database
Transit access—EPA Smart Location DatabaseNo transit data
Job density3 jobs per sq miCensus LODESFew jobs nearby

Nearby

5 scored New York ZIPs within 12 miles; the ones below score within ten points and cost less.

No cheaper ZIP within ten points nearby.

Sources and freshness

Every figure on this page, where it came from and when.

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ZillowHome values, rents, price tiersAugust 2026
Realtor.comListings, days on market, price cutsSeptember 2026
RedfinSale-to-list, sold above listMay 2026
Census ACSIncome, commute, population, housing stock2023 five-year
FEMA National Risk IndexHazard ratingsDecember 2025 release
EPAWalkability—
HUDFair market rent, 2 bedroomsFY 2026
Freddie MacMortgage rateSeptember 2026, monthly average
HavenScoreScore, balance, forecastScored October 1, 2026

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