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ZIP 15827 · Byrnedale, PA · 345 residents · September 2026

Byrnedale 15827: the market leans toward sellers.

Conditions tightening in sellers' favor. Typical home value $90K, +17.9% over 12 months.

Sources beside every figure · Zillow, August 2026 · Realtor.com, September 2026 · Census ACS 2023 · FEMA NRI

Market balanceSeptember 2026

BuyersSellersEven
Leaning seller+38

In Mar 2026: −20

Typical value$90K+17.9% over 12 months · Zillow, Aug 2026
Days on market—No reading this month · Realtor.com
Listings with a price cut—No reading this month · Realtor.com
Fair market rent$1,000/moHUD fair market rent, 2 bedrooms, FY 2026
Active listings—No reading this month · Realtor.com
Sale-to-list87.6%0% sold above list · Redfin, Sep 2024
HavenScore68of 100

Higher than 99% of scored ZIPs

Affordability83
Growth55
Risk71
Momentum—
Livability35

Five parts, weighted. How the score works →

The reading

Where the balance sits this month and what moved it.

Month by month, since the gauge began

  1. Mar 2026−20
  2. Apr 2026+24
  3. May 2026+33
  4. Jun 2026+34
  5. Jul 2026+35
  6. Aug 2026—no reading on record
  7. Sep 2026+38

Each block is one month’s reading, −100 (buyers) to +100 (sellers). The series starts in March 2026. A dashed block has no reading on record. How the balance is measured →

What is pulling the needle

  • Sale-to-list 87.6%homes close below asking · Redfin, Sep 2024

Blue pulls toward buyers, orange toward sellers. Realtor.com, September 2026; Redfin, September 2024.

Accelerating: prices +17.9% over the trailing year, with the market leaning toward sellers.

Asking price vs sale price
Typical value (index)$89,820Zillow ZHVI · Aug 2026
Median sale price$92,000Redfin · Sep 2024
Sale-to-list87.6%Redfin · Sep 2024
Sold above list0.0%Redfin · Sep 2024

Zillow's figure is a smoothed index of typical value, not a list price; Redfin's are closed sales for the month shown.

Last 90 days

How the typical value and the listings moved over the last three months.

Typical valueHavenMay → Aug · Zillow
The 90-day changes for this ZIP are part of Haven.
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Prices

Typical home value since 2019, and how far it moved over each window.

1 year+17.9%
3 years+27.2%
5 years+32.8%
10 years—
From peak0.0%

Zillow Home Value Index · ZIP 15827 · monthly, through August 2026

The listings, days on market and market heat series on this chart are part of Haven.With the % change view and the state and U.S. reference lines.
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Zillow ZHVI peaked at $89,820 in August 2026, which is the latest value. The sharpest 12-month move was −18.9%, ending July 2025.

Zillow's typical home value here, $90K in August 2026, is 69% below the median U.S. ZIP's $289K. Over the 12 months to August 2026, Zillow's typical home value moved +17.9% here and +2.8% in the median U.S. ZIP.

Price tiers and bedrooms
Bottom tier$73K
Middle tier$90K
Top tier$123K
Single-family$90K
3 bedrooms$92K

Starter homes here rose 73% in five years while top-tier homes rose 8% (Zillow ZHVI tiers) — the bottom of the market outpaced the top.

Zillow typical values by price tier, home type and bedrooms, August 2026.

How it ranks

Appreciation by window

WindowChangePer yearU.S. rankPennsylvania rank
1 year+17.9%+17.9%/yrTop 1% nationallyTop 1% in Pennsylvania
3 years+27.2%+8.3%/yrTop 1% nationallyTop 2% in Pennsylvania
5 years+32.8%+5.8%/yrTop 20% nationallyHigher than 73% in Pennsylvania
Since 2019+84.7%+8.5%/yr——

Zillow ZHVI · rank among scored ZIPs

This time of year Haven
The seasonal chart for this ZIP is part of Haven.With the reading of which months run highest and lowest here.
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Cycle position Pro
Where prices sit in the cycle is part of Pro.Prices against the model's value estimate, and the payment's share of income against five years ago.
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Forecast

Where the typical value is likely to be over the next 3 to 12 months, with the range the model has earned, and up to 36 months with Pro.

Last three years, then the forecast band

HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) · run October 1, 2026
$60K$70K$80K$90K$100K$110K$93K202420252026$60K$70K$80K$100K$110K$93K202420252026
3 months$93K+4.0% · $88K–$102KLow confidence
6 monthsHaven
12 monthsHaven
24 monthsPro
36 monthsPro
The 6- and 12-month ranges are part of Haven.The 3-month reading is free. Haven adds what moves the forecast.
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A forecast is a range, not a promise; the confidence word says how wide it is. How the forecast works →

Of the 3-month ranges we published since December 2025, 54% contained the actual price.

Payment

What a typical home here costs each month, against the typical income.

Monthly payment

$75413% of the median household income here ($72,000)
Principal and interest$530
Property tax$112
Insurance$62
Mortgage insurance$51

Inside the 28% line lenders use for housing costs. Rate is the Freddie Mac average for September 2026; tax is the state's statutory rate.

Insurance uses the average homeowners premium insurers reported for this ZIP in 2022, $739 a year (Treasury Federal Insurance Office).

Fair market rent, 2 bedrooms$1,000
vs
Payment on a typical purchase$754

Buying costs $246 a month less than the HUD fair market rent for a 2-bedroom here (FY 2026), before tax effects and maintenance.

Like for like: the HUD fair market rent for a 3-bedroom here is $1,320 a month (FY 2026), against a typical 3-bedroom value of $92K (Zillow, August 2026) — a 17.2% gross rent yield.

Price-to-income ladder

Median home value ÷ median household income · Zillow ZHVI, Census ACS · under 4× has historically been comfortable

Cost of owning over time Haven
The 1-, 5- and 30-year cost of owning here is part of Haven.
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The place

What it costs to own here beyond the price, and what the neighborhood is like.

Median household income$72,000Census ACS
Price to income1.3×long-run average 1.0×
Property tax1.49%statutory, state
Insurance$739/yrtypical premium
Commute17 minmedian, one way
Walkability5 / 20EPA index
Hazard ratingRelatively ModerateFEMA NRI · wildfire 53 · flood 93
Population change−0.4% a year2018–2023, Census ACS
Median year built1950Census ACS
Owner-occupied100%Census ACS

Typical homes cost 1.3× the median household income here, against 3.7× in the median PA ZIP and 4.3× in the median U.S. ZIP (Zillow, August 2026; Census ACS 2023). Median household income is $72,000 here, against $71,388 in the median U.S. ZIP (Census ACS 2023).

Hazard ledger
Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 68 of 100 · county median 68
Flood93 of 100county median 93
Wildfire53 of 100county median 53
Hurricane59 of 100county median 61

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release, refreshed annually · tract-level rolled up to ZIP · not a property-level rating · no future-year projection · the tick is the median of 9 scored ZIPs in Elk County.

Housing cost burden
Owners spending over 50% of income0%U.S. median ZIP 5%

Census ACS 2023 five-year estimates · the tick is the U.S. median ZIP.

Behind the score

The inputs behind each of the five parts, against the U.S. median ZIP.

Affordability

83

Growth

55

Risk

71

Momentum

—
Haven
See every input behind the five parts, with its value and source
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Livability

35
Walkability5 / 20EPA Smart Location DatabaseLeast walkable
Transit access—EPA Smart Location DatabaseNo transit data
Job density1 jobs per sq miCensus LODESFew jobs nearby

Nearby

6 scored Pennsylvania ZIPs within 12 miles; the ones below score within ten points and cost less.

Sources and freshness

Every figure on this page, where it came from and when.

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ZillowHome values, rents, price tiersAugust 2026
Realtor.comListings, days on market, price cutsSeptember 2026
RedfinSale-to-list, sold above listSeptember 2024
Census ACSIncome, commute, population, housing stock2023 five-year
FEMA National Risk IndexHazard ratingsDecember 2025 release
EPAWalkability2021
HUDFair market rent, 2 bedroomsFY 2026
Freddie MacMortgage rateSeptember 2026, monthly average
HavenScoreScore, balance, forecastScored October 1, 2026

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