FairUpdated OCT 1, 2026

Breinigsville, PA

ZIP 18031· Lehigh County· Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ· 12,031 residents· Median income $107,807· Leaning Seller

18031 · Breinigsville, PA has a HavenScore of 49 — downside-risk signals are quiet here, which steadies the score.

At the ZIP's typical value, the estimated monthly payment takes 38% of the local median income (Zillow, US Census ACS) and runs $982 a month more than the median rent (Zillow ZORI). The buyer/seller gauge leans narrowly toward sellers, and has for 7 months. Typical values were flat over the last 90 days (Zillow ZHVI).

Saved ZIPs on Haven get an email when the score moves 5+ points as monthly data lands, when the market gauge flips between buyers and sellers, when its valuation read moves against the model value, or when distress jumps in a week.

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $489,443 in Jul 2026 and, after a -17.4% drawdown, is back at that level. Since January 2019 it is +65.9%. The sharpest 12-month move was +1.8%, ending Oct 2019.

Median price
$489,137
+2.91% past 12 mo
Est. monthly payment
$3,382/ mo
20% down · 30-yr fixed · 7.28% · incl. tax + insurance
49
HavenScore: higher than 43% of scored ZIPs.
▼ -1 / 90d#34/66 in PABuyer Score
Rank

Ranked #7,537 of 13,130 nationally · #3,098 of 5,378 small market ZIPs

Switch perspective

Buyer view active — Leans harder on affordability and downside risk.

Score inputs below recompute for this view

Affordability
42/100
Growth
54/100
Risk
60/100
Momentum
40/100
Livability
61/100
Score · trailing 12 mo
41 → 48
+7 points
30-day
-1
90-day
-1
1-yr
+7

Snapshot

Numbers at a glance, with a year of history under each

Median price
$489,137
up+2.9% 12 mo
Typical home value across the middle tier of homes here — a smoothed Zillow index, steadier than individual sale prices.
Median price: higher than 72% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is $489,137.
Median rent
$2,400
up+5.6% 12 mo
Typical monthly rent (Zillow ZORI, with HUD fair-market rent filling in for smaller markets).
Median rent: higher than 76% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is $2,400.
Price-to-income
4.5×
Median home value divided by median household income. Under 4× has historically been comfortable; over 5× stretches most budgets.
Price-to-income: higher than 55% of scored ZIPs.
Est. monthly payment
$3,382
At the median value with 20% down, a 30-year fixed at 7.28%, plus property tax and insurance.
Est. monthly payment: higher than 47% of scored ZIPs.
Active listings
21
Homes listed for sale right now (Realtor.com). Rising inventory usually favors buyers; falling inventory favors sellers.
Active listings: higher than 18% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 21.
Days on market
30
How long the typical listing sits before going under contract. Shorter means a tighter market; longer means more room to negotiate.
Days on market: higher than 7% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 30.
Price cuts
+26.32%
Share of active listings that have lowered their asking price. Rising cuts usually precede softening values.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is +26.32%.
Median income
$107,807
Median household income here, from the latest US Census American Community Survey.
Population
12,031
Current resident estimate. Growth is a demand tailwind; decline is a structural risk.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 12,031.
Overvaluation
+68.15%
How far today's values sit above the long-run price trend. Positive means stretched; negative means discounted versus trend.
Vacancy
9.2%
Average. Share of housing units that are vacant in this ZIP, from the latest US Census ACS 5-year tables.
Owner-occupied
76%
of homes. Share of occupied housing units owned by their occupants (vs. rented), from the US Census ACS.
Denial rate
25.8%
Above-average. Share of mortgage applications denied in this ZIP, from the latest CFPB / FFIEC HMDA disclosures.
Lending activity
6,492
originations. Mortgage originations recorded in this ZIP in the most recent HMDA reporting year. Higher counts = more active lending market.
Net migration
-7.9%
net outflow. Net migration as a share of population, from IRS SOI county-to-county migration data. Positive = more people moving in than out.
Income inflow
$75k
average. Average gross income of households moving INTO this ZIP, from IRS SOI data. Higher = ZIP attracting higher-income households.

Place

What it is like to live here, and what could flood or burn

Place profile
WalkabilityLeast walkable
EPA index 5.6 of 20 · EPA Smart Location Database · Jun 2021 · above 31% of scored ZIPs
Transit accessNo transit data
EPA publishes no stop distance for most block groups
Typical commuteTypical commute
19 minutes one way · US median ZIP 22 · US Census ACS · above 72% of scored ZIPs
Jobs nearbyModerate employment nearby
859 jobs per sq mi · US Census LODES · above 68% of scored ZIPs
Physical riskRelatively Moderate (FEMA)
FEMA National Risk Index composite · Dec 2025 release · above 54% of scored ZIPs

Bands are each source’s own · tick marks the national median ZIP · not blended into the score

Hazard ledger · FEMA National Risk Index

Tract-level rolled up to ZIP · not a property-level rating · no future-year projection · refreshed annually (Dec 2025 release) · county tick = median of 25 scored ZIPs in Lehigh County

Everyday prices · BEA Regional Price Parities

Everyday prices in the Allentown metro match the US average (BEA Regional Price Parities, 2024).

Rents in the index run 6% above the US average.

$75,000 at US-average prices buys what $75,000 buys here.

Metro-level index, US = 100 · 2024 · the Allentown metro, not this ZIP alone

Housing cost burden · US Census ACS
Owners spending over 50% of income2%
US median ZIP 6%
Renters spending over 30% of income60%
US median ZIP 45%

What drives the score

Five pillars, each scored 0–100

Affordability

42/100

Growth momentum

54/100

Market risk

60/100

Momentum

40/100

Livability

61/100
Walkability
1–20 index · June 2021 vintage·EPA Smart Location Database
5.6
Transit access
Ranked against every scored ZIP·EPA Smart Location Database
—
Job density
Jobs per square mile, ranked against every scored ZIP·US Census LODES
858.6

See every input behind the pillars, with its value and source

Inside: Affordability: Price-to-income, Property tax rate, Median income · Growth momentum: 12-month price change, 12-month rent change, Population · Market risk: Overvaluation, Active listings, Price cuts · Momentum: Days on market, Buyer / seller gauge, Demand dial

Try Haven free for 14 days

Market signals

Tailwinds and headwinds right now

Top 4 of 14 signals
Tailwinds1
  • Growing population
    +4.1% annual growth
Headwinds3
  • Population outflow
    -7.9% net — people leaving
  • Potentially overvalued
    68% above historical price-to-income
  • Widespread price cuts
    26% of listings cutting price
Buyer / seller gauge

Market conditions

Leaning Seller

The score reads conditions tightening in sellers' favor.

+14
Strong buyerBalancedStrong seller
Trend
Heating toward seller
Gauge since Mar 2026Leaning Seller now

Cycle read. Accelerating: prices +2.9% over the trailing year, with the market leaning toward sellers.

Asking vs closed
Typical value (index)
$489,137
Zillow ZHVI · Oct 2026
Median sale price
$459,565
Redfin · Oct 2026
Sale-to-list
105.3%
Redfin · Oct 2026
Sold above list
38.0%
Redfin · Oct 2026

The Zillow figure is a smoothed index of typical value, not a list price; the Redfin figures are closed sales for the month shown.

Momentum check

What's changed in the last 90 days

🔒 Haven
Locked

Median price

——
🔒 Haven
Locked

Inventory

——
🔒 Haven
Locked

Days on market

——
🔒 Haven
Locked

Price cuts

——

Change vs. prior 90 days · arrow shows direction, not whether it’s good or bad

Pulse signals unlock with Haven, plus a one-line market interpretation.

The 90-day numbers behind each tile open with Haven

Trend

Where it's been

Peak
$489,443
Jul 2026
From peak
-0.1%
1 mo ago
Since Jan 2019
+65.9%
Worst 12 mo
+1.8%
to Oct 2019
Best 12 mo
+16.2%
since 2018

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $489,443 in Jul 2026 and, after a -17.4% drawdown, is back at that level. Since January 2019 it is +65.9%. The sharpest 12-month move was +1.8%, ending Oct 2019.

Cycle position — prices vs the model’s value estimate and the payment’s share of income vs five years ago — opens with Pro

Appreciation by window

Zillow ZHVI · rank among scored ZIPs
WindowChangePer yearUS rankPennsylvania rank
1 yearup+2.9%+2.9%/yrHigher than 61% nationallyHigher than 49% in Pennsylvania
3 yearsup+11.1%+3.6%/yrHigher than 67% nationallyHigher than 46% in Pennsylvania
5 yearsup+31.9%+5.7%/yrTop 23% nationallyHigher than 69% in Pennsylvania
10 yearsup+74.4%+5.7%/yrHigher than 40% nationallyHigher than 51% in Pennsylvania
Since 2000up+184.0%+4.0%/yr——

Starter homes vs the top tier

Zillow ZHVI tiers · Aug 2026
Bottom third (starter homes)
$367,808
up+38% 5Yup+87% 10Y
Middle third
$489,137
up+33% 5Yup+76% 10Y
Top third
$650,396
up+35% 5Yup+76% 10Y

Starter homes here rose 38% in five years while top-tier homes rose 35% (Zillow ZHVI tiers) — the bottom of the market outpaced the top.

3-bedroom homes here run 5% above 2-bedrooms (Zillow ZHVI by bedroom); the PA median premium is 28%.

The historical reading — which months run highest and lowest here — opens with Haven

Rent, inventory, days on market, Zillow’s market heat, the % view and state and US reference lines open with Haven

Forecast

Where it's heading

The HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) projects this ZIP’s median value at 3-, 6-, and 12-month horizons, with 80% prediction intervals; Pro adds 24- and 36-month horizons.

Price Forecast

3-month projection · 80% range

🔒 Haven
—————
3-month shown  |  6 & 12 months with Haven →
3-month
$487,719
-0.3%
80% range $482.6K–$491.3K
6-month
🔒 Haven
12-month
🔒 Haven

Of the 3-month ranges we published since December 2025, 54% contained the actual price. Track record →

6- and 12-month projections, their 80% ranges, and what moves the forecast unlock with Haven.

Zillow's own published forecast has this ZIP's typical value rise 2.7% over the twelve months from August 2026 (Zillow Home Value Forecast).

Forecasts are the model’s projection, not a prediction. Actuals will differ.

See the 6- and 12-month price ranges for this ZIP and what moves the forecast

Haven · 14-day free trial · then from $8/mo

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Monthly cost

What you'd owe each month

Est. monthly payment
$3,382/ mo

20% down · 30-yr fixed · 7.28% · tax 1.49%

Principal$303
Interest$2,374
Property tax$607
Insurance$97
Rent vs buy
Median rent
$2,400
/ mo
Own (payment)
$3,382
/ mo
Monthly gap
+$982owning costs more each month

Insurance uses the average homeowners premium insurers reported for this ZIP in 2022, $1,161 a year (Treasury Federal Insurance Office).

Payment share of income

38%of the ZIP’s median income at the median value ($3,382/mo against $107,807 · Zillow, Freddie Mac PMMS, US Census ACS). Your own marker appears once you set an income or price in the calculator below.

Price-to-income · ZIP vs state vs US

Median home value ÷ median household income · Zillow ZHVI, US Census ACS · under 4× has historically been comfortable

Run the numbers

Your price, rate, down payment and income

Like for like: a 3-bedroom here rents for about $2,890 a month (HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent, FY2026) against a typical 3-bedroom value of $424k (Zillow ZHVI by bedroom) — a 8.2% gross rent yield.

Cost of ownership over time

Cumulative housing cost, interest paid, and equity built · 20% down · ZIP median income $107,807

See the 1-, 5-, and 30-year cost of owning here

Inside: Total housing cost · Interest paid · Principal paid · Equity built

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Equity assumes flat home value; real appreciation could push it higher · Rate 7.28%

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Sources

Every number, traced

Every metric above is sourced from public datasets, normalized against the national ZIP distribution. Home values and rents refresh monthly; demographics refresh annually.

Zillow Research
Home values, rents, inventory, transactions
Realtor.com
Inventory, days on market, price-cut share
Redfin
Sale prices, transaction volume
US Census ACS
Income, population, vacancy, cost burden
Freddie Mac PMMS
Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates
FHFA HPI
Long-term price trends
HUD Small Area FMR
Per-ZIP fair market rents (rural fallback)
BEA & IRS
Personal income growth, net migration
Lending & accessibility
Lending and neighborhood-access signals
Research the restNo crime or school rating here — why. The primary sources:GreatSchools→NCES School Search→FBI Crime Data Explorer→

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