FairUpdated SEP 1, 2026

Newport News, VA

ZIP 23601· Newport News City County· Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC· 26,557 residents· Median income $71,345· Leaning Seller

23601 · Newport News, VA has a HavenScore of 52 — downside-risk signals are quiet here, which steadies the score.

At the ZIP's typical value, the estimated monthly payment takes 32% of the local median income (Zillow, US Census ACS) and runs $423 a month more than the median rent (Zillow ZORI). The buyer/seller gauge leans narrowly toward sellers, and has for 4 months. Typical values were flat over the last 90 days (Zillow ZHVI).

Saved ZIPs on Haven get an email when the score moves 5+ points as monthly data lands, when the market gauge flips between buyers and sellers, when its valuation read moves against the model value, or when distress jumps in a week.

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $299,087 in Mar 2026 and, after a -23.5% drawdown, is back at that level. Since January 2019 it is +64.9%. The sharpest 12-month move was +0.6%, ending Aug 2025.

Median price
$298,702
+2.26% past 12 mo
Est. monthly payment
$1,887/ mo
20% down · 30-yr fixed · 6.71% · incl. tax + insurance
CompareShare card
52
HavenScore: higher than 58% of scored ZIPs.
▼ -4 / 90d#48/108 in VABuyer Score
Rank

Ranked #5,580 of 13,130 nationally · #2,979 of 6,756 mid-size ZIPs

Switch perspective

Buyer view active — Leans harder on affordability and downside risk.

Score inputs below recompute for this view

Affordability
50/100
Growth
50/100
Risk
57/100
Momentum
45/100
Livability
67/100
Score · trailing 12 mo
48 → 52
+4 points
30-day
-4
90-day
-4
1-yr
+4

Snapshot

Numbers at a glance, with a year of history under each

Median price
$298,702
up+2.3% 12 mo
Typical home value across the middle tier of homes here — a smoothed Zillow index, steadier than individual sale prices.
Median price: higher than 39% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is $298,702.
Median rent
$1,464
up+7.8% 12 mo
Typical monthly rent (Zillow ZORI, with HUD fair-market rent filling in for smaller markets).
Median rent: higher than 24% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is $1,464.
Price-to-income
4.2×
Median home value divided by median household income. Under 4× has historically been comfortable; over 5× stretches most budgets.
Price-to-income: higher than 45% of scored ZIPs.
Est. monthly payment
$1,887
At the median value with 20% down, a 30-year fixed at 6.71%, plus property tax and insurance.
Est. monthly payment: higher than 28% of scored ZIPs.
Active listings
47
Homes listed for sale right now (Realtor.com). Rising inventory usually favors buyers; falling inventory favors sellers.
Active listings: higher than 48% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 47.
Days on market
32
How long the typical listing sits before going under contract. Shorter means a tighter market; longer means more room to negotiate.
Days on market: higher than 12% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 32.
Price cuts
+24.00%
Share of active listings that have lowered their asking price. Rising cuts usually precede softening values.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is +24.00%.
Median income
$71,345
Median household income here, from the latest US Census American Community Survey.
Population
26,557
Current resident estimate. Growth is a demand tailwind; decline is a structural risk.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 26,557.
Overvaluation
+61.78%
How far today's values sit above the long-run price trend. Positive means stretched; negative means discounted versus trend.
Vacancy
8.2%
Average. Share of housing units that are vacant in this ZIP, from the latest US Census ACS 5-year tables.
Owner-occupied
56%
of homes. Share of occupied housing units owned by their occupants (vs. rented), from the US Census ACS.

Place

What it is like to live here, and what could flood or burn

Place profile
WalkabilityAbove-average walkability
EPA index 13.5 of 20 · EPA Smart Location Database · Jun 2021 · above 87% of scored ZIPs
Transit accessStop within a 10-minute walk
499 m to the nearest stop · EPA Smart Location Database · Jun 2021 · above 61% of scored ZIPs
Typical commuteShorter commute than typical
18 minutes one way · US median ZIP 22 · US Census ACS · above 79% of scored ZIPs
Jobs nearbyDense employment nearby
1,752 jobs per sq mi · US Census LODES · above 81% of scored ZIPs
Physical riskRelatively Low (FEMA)
FEMA National Risk Index composite · Dec 2025 release · above 87% of scored ZIPs

Bands are each source’s own · tick marks the national median ZIP · not blended into the score

Hazard ledger · FEMA National Risk Index

Tract-level rolled up to ZIP · not a property-level rating · no future-year projection · refreshed annually (Dec 2025 release) · county tick = median of 7 scored ZIPs in Newport News City

Everyday prices · BEA Regional Price Parities

Everyday prices in the Virginia Beach metro run 2% below the US average (BEA Regional Price Parities, 2024).

Rents in the index match the US average.

$75,000 at US-average prices buys what $73,450 buys here.

Metro-level index, US = 100 · 2024 · the Virginia Beach metro, not this ZIP alone

Housing cost burden · US Census ACS
Owners spending over 50% of income9%
US median ZIP 6%
Renters spending over 30% of income48%
US median ZIP 45%

What drives the score

Five pillars, each scored 0–100

Affordability

50/100

Growth momentum

50/100

Market risk

57/100

Momentum

45/100

Livability

67/100
Walkability
1–20 index · June 2021 vintage·EPA Smart Location Database
13.5
Transit access
Ranked against every scored ZIP·EPA Smart Location Database
498.5
Job density
Jobs per square mile, ranked against every scored ZIP·US Census LODES
1,752.5

See every input behind the pillars, with its value and source

Inside: Affordability: Price-to-income, Property tax rate, Median income · Growth momentum: 12-month price change, 12-month rent change, Population · Market risk: Overvaluation, Active listings, Price cuts · Momentum: Days on market, Buyer / seller gauge, Demand dial

Try Haven free for 14 days

Market signals

Tailwinds and headwinds right now

Top 2 of 14 signals
Tailwinds0
—
Headwinds2
  • Potentially overvalued
    62% above historical price-to-income
  • Widespread price cuts
    24% of listings cutting price
Buyer / seller gauge

Market conditions

Leaning Seller

The score reads conditions tightening in sellers' favor.

+4
Strong buyerBalancedStrong seller
Trend
Heating toward seller
Gauge since Mar 2026Leaning Seller now

Cycle read. Accelerating: prices +2.3% over the trailing year, with the market leaning toward sellers.

Asking vs closed
Typical value (index)
$298,702
Zillow ZHVI · Sep 2026
Median sale price
$314,500
Redfin · Sep 2026
Sale-to-list
100.1%
Redfin · Sep 2026
Sold above list
45.9%
Redfin · Sep 2026

The Zillow figure is a smoothed index of typical value, not a list price; the Redfin figures are closed sales for the month shown.

Momentum check

What's changed in the last 90 days

🔒 Haven
Locked

Median price

——
🔒 Haven
Locked

Inventory

——
🔒 Haven
Locked

Days on market

——
🔒 Haven
Locked

Price cuts

——

Change vs. prior 90 days · arrow shows direction, not whether it’s good or bad

Pulse signals unlock with Haven, plus a one-line market interpretation.

The 90-day numbers behind each tile open with Haven

Trend

Where it's been

Peak
$299,087
Mar 2026
From peak
-0.1%
4 mo ago
Since Jan 2019
+64.9%
Worst 12 mo
+0.6%
to Aug 2025
Best 12 mo
+15.7%
since 2018

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $299,087 in Mar 2026 and, after a -23.5% drawdown, is back at that level. Since January 2019 it is +64.9%. The sharpest 12-month move was +0.6%, ending Aug 2025.

Cycle position — prices vs the model’s value estimate and the payment’s share of income vs five years ago — opens with Pro

Appreciation by window

Zillow ZHVI · rank among scored ZIPs
WindowChangePer yearUS rankVirginia rank
1 yearup+2.3%+2.3%/yrHigher than 56% nationallyHigher than 53% in Virginia
3 yearsup+13.8%+4.4%/yrHigher than 61% nationallyHigher than 63% in Virginia
5 yearsup+33.6%+6.0%/yrHigher than 66% nationallyHigher than 70% in Virginia
10 yearsup+73.9%+5.7%/yrHigher than 33% nationallyHigher than 51% in Virginia
Since 2000up+197.8%+4.2%/yr——

Starter homes vs the top tier

Zillow ZHVI tiers · Jul 2026
Bottom third (starter homes)
$242,419
up+35% 5Yup+78% 10Y
Middle third
$298,702
up+32% 5Yup+72% 10Y
Top third
$374,671
up+27% 5Yup+57% 10Y

Starter homes here rose 35% in five years while top-tier homes rose 27% (Zillow ZHVI tiers) — the bottom of the market outpaced the top.

3-bedroom homes here run 34% above 2-bedrooms (Zillow ZHVI by bedroom); the VA median premium is 40%.

By home type · Zillow ZHVI mid tier
Single-family
$299,725
up+29% 5Y
Condo / co-op
$194,580
up+15% 5Y

Condos here are priced 35% below single-family homes (Zillow ZHVI by home type); over five years single-family rose 29% while condos rose 15%.

The historical reading — which months run highest and lowest here — opens with Haven

Rent, inventory, days on market, Zillow’s market heat, the % view and state and US reference lines open with Haven

Forecast

Where it's heading

The HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) projects this ZIP’s median value at 3-, 6-, and 12-month horizons, with 80% prediction intervals; Pro adds 24- and 36-month horizons.

Price Forecast

3-month projection · 80% range

🔒 Haven
—————
3-month shown  |  6 & 12 months with Haven →
3-month
$297,836
-0.3%
80% range $294.3K–$301.5K
6-month
🔒 Haven
12-month
🔒 Haven

Of the 3-month ranges we published since December 2025, 60% contained the actual price. Track record →

6- and 12-month projections, their 80% ranges, and what moves the forecast unlock with Haven.

Zillow's own published forecast has this ZIP's typical value rise 1.9% over the twelve months from July 2026 (Zillow Home Value Forecast).

Forecasts are the model’s projection, not a prediction. Actuals will differ.

See the 6- and 12-month price ranges for this ZIP and what moves the forecast

Haven · 14-day free trial · then from $8/mo

Try Haven free

Monthly cost

What you'd owe each month

Est. monthly payment
$1,887/ mo

20% down · 30-yr fixed · 6.71% · tax 0.87%

Principal$207
Interest$1,336
Property tax$217
Insurance$127
Rent vs buy
Median rent
$1,464
/ mo
Own (payment)
$1,887
/ mo
Monthly gap
+$423owning costs more each month

Insurance uses the average homeowners premium insurers reported for this ZIP in 2022, $1,521 a year (Treasury Federal Insurance Office).

Payment share of income

32%of the ZIP’s median income at the median value ($1,887/mo against $71,345 · Zillow, Freddie Mac PMMS, US Census ACS). Your own marker appears once you set an income or price in the calculator below.

Price-to-income · ZIP vs state vs US

Median home value ÷ median household income · Zillow ZHVI, US Census ACS · under 4× has historically been comfortable

Run the numbers

Your price, rate, down payment and income

Like for like: a 3-bedroom here rents for about $2,010 a month (HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent, FY2026) against a typical 3-bedroom value of $290k (Zillow ZHVI by bedroom) — a 8.3% gross rent yield.

Cost of ownership over time

Cumulative housing cost, interest paid, and equity built · 20% down · ZIP median income $71,345

See the 1-, 5-, and 30-year cost of owning here

Inside: Total housing cost · Interest paid · Principal paid · Equity built

Try Haven free for 14 days

Equity assumes flat home value; real appreciation could push it higher · Rate 6.71%

Not subscribing? The four-page report for ZIP 23601 is $19 once, no subscription. Haven is $12/mo while you hunt — cancel when you close.

Pro featurefrom $25/mo

Take the full report for this ZIP with you.

A four-page editorial PDF: market summary, full pillar breakdown, 5-year history with forecast, alternatives, and a 30-year cost-of-ownership table.

HavenScore Report23601Market AnalysisGENERATED FOR PRO MEMBERS78PILLAR BREAKDOWNHAVENSCORE.APP · PRO REPORT🔒 Pro

Not subscribing? Get this ZIP's report for $19, once — no subscription.

  • Branded PDF with all metrics
  • Includes forecast + scorecards
  • Suitable for client presentations
  • Unlimited exports
Try Pro free for 14 daysCompare plans

Comparable ZIPs

Same shape, lower entry

ZIPs the score groups near 23601 on Affordability and Growth — sorted by lowest median value. Each tile names what the lower price trades: commute (ACS), walkability band (EPA) and hazard rating (FEMA).

ZIP 23607
Newport News
VA
54
  • Saves $113k
  • Similar commute
  • Similar walkability
  • Similar hazard risk
$185,731+3.05%
ZIP 23605
Newport News
VA
50
  • Saves $69k
  • Similar commute
  • Similar walkability
  • Similar hazard risk
$229,725+0.87%
ZIP 23603
Newport News
VA
58
  • Saves $21k
  • Longer commute (+4 min)
  • Less walkable
  • Higher hazard risk
$277,801+1.55%

Sources

Every number, traced

Every metric above is sourced from public datasets, normalized against the national ZIP distribution. Home values and rents refresh monthly; demographics refresh annually.

Zillow Research
Home values, rents, inventory, transactions
Realtor.com
Inventory, days on market, price-cut share
Redfin
Sale prices, transaction volume
US Census ACS
Income, population, vacancy, cost burden
Freddie Mac PMMS
Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates
FHFA HPI
Long-term price trends
HUD Small Area FMR
Per-ZIP fair market rents (rural fallback)
BEA & IRS
Personal income growth, net migration
Lending & accessibility
Lending and neighborhood-access signals
Research the restNo crime or school rating here — why. The primary sources:GreatSchools→NCES School Search→FBI Crime Data Explorer→

Get the HavenScore Weekly

Data-driven market takes and the week's biggest ZIP movers, every Tuesday. Want this ZIP specifically? Save it to your account — saved ZIPs get a monthly digest of what changed.

Optional — tells us which markets readers care about.

Free. Unsubscribe anytime.