Warrenton, NC
27589 · Warrenton, NC has a HavenScore of 53 — population, income, and price trajectory all line up on the growth side.
At the ZIP's typical value, the estimated monthly payment takes 28% of the local median income (Zillow, US Census ACS). The buyer/seller gauge leans narrowly toward sellers, a lean that began this month. Typical values moved higher over the last 90 days (Zillow ZHVI).
Saved ZIPs on Haven get an email when the score moves 5+ points as monthly data lands, when the market gauge flips between buyers and sellers, when its valuation read moves against the model value, or when distress jumps in a week.
Zillow ZHVI peaked at $162,947 in Jul 2024; the latest value is -8.8% from that peak, 25 months on. Since January 2019 it is +61.3%. The sharpest 12-month move was -17.8%, ending Jul 2025.
Ranked #5,022 of 13,130 nationally · #2,028 of 5,378 small market ZIPs
Buyer view active — Leans harder on affordability and downside risk.
Score inputs below recompute for this view
Snapshot
Numbers at a glance, with a year of history under each
Place
What it is like to live here, and what could flood or burn
Bands are each source’s own · tick marks the national median ZIP · not blended into the score
Tract-level rolled up to ZIP · not a property-level rating · no future-year projection · refreshed annually (Dec 2025 release) · county tick = median of 3 scored ZIPs in Warren County
What drives the score
Five pillars, each scored 0–100
Market signals
Tailwinds and headwinds right now
- Affordable vs. income3.4× income — below the national median
- Strong price appreciation+5.7% year-over-year
- Strong migration inflow+27.9% net — people moving in
- Heavy new construction18.3 permits per 1,000 residents — new supply incoming
- Potentially overvalued65% above historical price-to-income
Market conditions
Leaning Seller
The score reads conditions tightening in sellers' favor.
Cycle read. Accelerating: prices +5.7% over the trailing year, with the market leaning toward sellers.
The Zillow figure is a smoothed index of typical value, not a list price; the Redfin figures are closed sales for the month shown. Redfin does not publish every ZIP every month; a dash means no closed-sale figure for the latest month.
Momentum check
What's changed in the last 90 days
Trend
Where it's been
Forecast
Where it's heading
The HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) projects this ZIP’s median value at 3-, 6-, and 12-month horizons, with 80% prediction intervals; Pro adds 24- and 36-month horizons.
Monthly cost
What you'd owe each month
20% down · 30-yr fixed · 7.28% · tax 0.82%
Rent data isn’t published for this ZIP, so we can’t compute a rent-vs-buy gap.
Insurance uses the average homeowners premium insurers reported for this ZIP in 2022, $1,349 a year (Treasury Federal Insurance Office).
28%of the ZIP’s median income at the median value ($1,027/mo against $43,878 · Zillow, Freddie Mac PMMS, US Census ACS). Your own marker appears once you set an income or price in the calculator below.
Median home value ÷ median household income · Zillow ZHVI, US Census ACS · under 4× has historically been comfortable
Run the numbers
Your price, rate, down payment and income
Like for like: a 3-bedroom here rents for about $1,660 a month (HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent, FY2026) against a typical 3-bedroom value of $210k (Zillow ZHVI by bedroom) — a 9.5% gross rent yield.
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Sources
Every number, traced
Every metric above is sourced from public datasets, normalized against the national ZIP distribution. Home values and rents refresh monthly; demographics refresh annually.
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