AccessibleUpdated SEP 1, 2026

Gary, IN

ZIP 46406· Lake County· Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI· 8,513 residents· Median income $35,631· Leaning Buyer

46406 · Gary, IN has a HavenScore of 58 — affordability carries it — prices sit within reach of local incomes.

At the ZIP's typical value, the estimated monthly payment takes 20% of the local median income (Zillow, US Census ACS). The buyer/seller gauge leans narrowly toward buyers, and has for 7 months. Typical values moved higher over the last 90 days (Zillow ZHVI).

Saved ZIPs on Haven get an email when the score moves 5+ points as monthly data lands, when the market gauge flips between buyers and sellers, when its valuation read moves against the model value, or when distress jumps in a week.

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $83,364 in Dec 2024; the latest value is -5.0% from that peak, 19 months on. Since January 2019 it is +73.3%. The sharpest 12-month move was -7.0%, ending Dec 2025.

Median price
$79,226
+2.26% past 12 mo
Est. monthly payment
$584/ mo
20% down · 30-yr fixed · 6.71% · incl. tax + insurance
61
HavenScore: higher than 85% of scored ZIPs.
▲ +1 / 90d#26/380 in INBuyer Score
Rank

Ranked #2,192 of 13,130 nationally · #870 of 5,378 small market ZIPs

Switch perspective

Buyer view active — Leans harder on affordability and downside risk.

Score inputs below recompute for this view

Affordability
75/100
Growth
38/100
Risk
56/100
Momentum
47/100
Livability
62/100
Score · trailing 12 mo
6058
-2 points
30-day
0
90-day
+1
1-yr
-2

Snapshot

Numbers at a glance, with a year of history under each

Median price
$79,226
up+2.3% 12 mo
Typical home value across the middle tier of homes here — a smoothed Zillow index, steadier than individual sale prices.
Median price: higher than 1% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is $79,226.
Price-to-income
2.2×
Median home value divided by median household income. Under 4× has historically been comfortable; over 5× stretches most budgets.
Price-to-income: higher than 2% of scored ZIPs.
Est. monthly payment
$584
At the median value with 20% down, a 30-year fixed at 6.71%, plus property tax and insurance.
Est. monthly payment: higher than 2% of scored ZIPs.
Active listings
17
Homes listed for sale right now (Realtor.com). Rising inventory usually favors buyers; falling inventory favors sellers.
Active listings: higher than 15% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 17.
Days on market
52
How long the typical listing sits before going under contract. Shorter means a tighter market; longer means more room to negotiate.
Days on market: higher than 52% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 52.
Price cuts
+25.00%
Share of active listings that have lowered their asking price. Rising cuts usually precede softening values.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is +25.00%.
Median income
$35,631
Median household income here, from the latest US Census American Community Survey.
Population
8,513
Current resident estimate. Growth is a demand tailwind; decline is a structural risk.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 8,513.
Overvaluation
+70.77%
How far today's values sit above the long-run price trend. Positive means stretched; negative means discounted versus trend.
Vacancy
16.1%
Above-average. Share of housing units that are vacant in this ZIP, from the latest US Census ACS 5-year tables.
Owner-occupied
47%
of homes. Share of occupied housing units owned by their occupants (vs. rented), from the US Census ACS.
Denial rate
26.1%
Above-average. Share of mortgage applications denied in this ZIP, from the latest CFPB / FFIEC HMDA disclosures.
Lending activity
9,461
originations. Mortgage originations recorded in this ZIP in the most recent HMDA reporting year. Higher counts = more active lending market.
Net migration
-7.1%
net outflow. Net migration as a share of population, from IRS SOI county-to-county migration data. Positive = more people moving in than out.
Income inflow
$58k
average. Average gross income of households moving INTO this ZIP, from IRS SOI data. Higher = ZIP attracting higher-income households.

Place

What it is like to live here, and what could flood or burn

Place profile
WalkabilityBelow-average walkability
EPA index 8.2 of 20 · EPA Smart Location Database · Jun 2021 · above 60% of scored ZIPs
Transit accessStop within a 20-minute walk
917 m to the nearest stop · EPA Smart Location Database · Jun 2021 · above 9% of scored ZIPs
Typical commuteTypical commute
24 minutes one way · US median ZIP 22 · US Census ACS · above 35% of scored ZIPs
Jobs nearbyModerate employment nearby
435 jobs per sq mi · US Census LODES · above 57% of scored ZIPs
Physical riskRelatively Moderate (FEMA)
FEMA National Risk Index composite · Dec 2025 release · above 60% of scored ZIPs

Bands are each source’s own · tick marks the national median ZIP · not blended into the score

Hazard ledger · FEMA National Risk Index

Tract-level rolled up to ZIP · not a property-level rating · no future-year projection · refreshed annually (Dec 2025 release) · county tick = median of 27 scored ZIPs in Lake County

Everyday prices · BEA Regional Price Parities

Everyday prices in the Chicago metro run 4% above the US average (BEA Regional Price Parities, 2024).

Rents in the index run 12% above the US average.

$75,000 at US-average prices buys what $77,700 buys here.

Metro-level index, US = 100 · 2024 · the Chicago metro, not this ZIP alone

Housing cost burden · US Census ACS
Owners spending over 50% of income8%
US median ZIP 6%
Renters spending over 30% of income53%
US median ZIP 45%

What drives the score

Five pillars, each scored 0–100

Affordability

75/100

Growth momentum

38/100

Market risk

56/100

Momentum

47/100

Livability

62/100
Walkability
1–20 index · June 2021 vintage·EPA Smart Location Database
8.2
Transit access
Ranked against every scored ZIP·EPA Smart Location Database
917.3
Job density
Jobs per square mile, ranked against every scored ZIP·US Census LODES
435.3

See every input behind the pillars, with its value and source

Inside: Affordability: Price-to-income, Property tax rate, Median income · Growth momentum: 12-month price change, 12-month rent change, Population · Market risk: Overvaluation, Active listings, Price cuts · Momentum: Days on market, Buyer / seller gauge, Demand dial

Try Haven free for 14 days

Market signals

Tailwinds and headwinds right now

Top 4 of 14 signals
Tailwinds1
  • Affordable vs. income
    2.2× income — below the national median
Headwinds3
  • Population outflow
    -7.1% net — people leaving
  • Potentially overvalued
    71% above historical price-to-income
  • Widespread price cuts
    25% of listings cutting price
Buyer / seller gauge

Market conditions

Leaning Buyer

Conditions are easing in buyers' favor. The score reads more negotiation room than balanced.

-4
Strong buyerBalancedStrong seller
Trend
Heating toward seller
Gauge since Mar 2026Leaning Buyer now

Cycle read. Cooling: prices +2.3% over the trailing year, with the market leaning toward buyers.

Asking vs closed
Typical value (index)
$79,226
Zillow ZHVI · Sep 2026
Median sale price
$75,000
Redfin · Sep 2026
Sale-to-list
97.2%
Redfin · Sep 2026
Sold above list
31.8%
Redfin · Sep 2026

The Zillow figure is a smoothed index of typical value, not a list price; the Redfin figures are closed sales for the month shown.

Momentum check

What's changed in the last 90 days

🔒 Haven
Locked

Median price

🔒 Haven
Locked

Inventory

🔒 Haven
Locked

Days on market

🔒 Haven
Locked

Price cuts

Change vs. prior 90 days · arrow shows direction, not whether it’s good or bad

Pulse signals unlock with Haven, plus a one-line market interpretation.

The 90-day numbers behind each tile open with Haven

Trend

Where it's been

Peak
$83,364
Dec 2024
From peak
-5.0%
19 mo ago
Since Jan 2019
+73.3%
Worst 12 mo
-7.0%
to Dec 2025
Best 12 mo
+42.5%
since 2018

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $83,364 in Dec 2024; the latest value is -5.0% from that peak, 19 months on. Since January 2019 it is +73.3%. The sharpest 12-month move was -7.0%, ending Dec 2025.

Cycle position — prices vs the model’s value estimate and the payment’s share of income vs five years ago — opens with Pro

Appreciation by window

Zillow ZHVI · rank among scored ZIPs
WindowChangePer yearUS rankIndiana rank
1 yearup+2.3%+2.3%/yrHigher than 56% nationallyHigher than 37% in Indiana
3 yearsup+4.6%+1.5%/yrHigher than 26% nationallyHigher than 3% in Indiana
5 yearsup+33.7%+6.0%/yrHigher than 67% nationallyHigher than 43% in Indiana
10 yearsup+180.8%+10.9%/yrTop 2% nationallyTop 6% in Indiana
Since 2003up+44.3%+1.6%/yr

Starter homes vs the top tier

Zillow ZHVI tiers · Jul 2026
Bottom third (starter homes)
$53,991
up+74% 5Yup+497% 10Y
Middle third
$79,226
up+31% 5Yup+176% 10Y
Top third
$119,978
up+12% 5Yup+93% 10Y

Starter homes here rose 74% in five years while top-tier homes rose 12% (Zillow ZHVI tiers) — the bottom of the market outpaced the top.

3-bedroom homes here run 31% above 2-bedrooms (Zillow ZHVI by bedroom); the IN median premium is 36%.

The historical reading — which months run highest and lowest here — opens with Haven

Rent, inventory, days on market, Zillow’s market heat, the % view and state and US reference lines open with Haven

Forecast

Where it's heading

The HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) projects this ZIP’s median value at 3-, 6-, and 12-month horizons, with 80% prediction intervals; Pro adds 24- and 36-month horizons.

Price Forecast

3-month projection · 80% range

🔒 Haven
3-month shown  |  6 & 12 months with Haven →
3-month
$78,624
-0.8%
80% range $74.5K$83.1K
6-month
🔒 Haven
12-month
🔒 Haven

Of the 3-month ranges we published since December 2025, 60% contained the actual price. Track record →

6- and 12-month projections, their 80% ranges, and what moves the forecast unlock with Haven.

Zillow's own published forecast has this ZIP's typical value rise 3.2% over the twelve months from July 2026 (Zillow Home Value Forecast).

Forecasts are the model’s projection, not a prediction. Actuals will differ.

See the 6- and 12-month price ranges for this ZIP and what moves the forecast

Haven · 14-day free trial · then from $8/mo

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Monthly cost

What you'd owe each month

Est. monthly payment
$584/ mo

20% down · 30-yr fixed · 6.71% · tax 0.84%

Principal$55
Interest$354
Property tax$55
Insurance$119
Rent vs buy

Rent data isn’t published for this ZIP, so we can’t compute a rent-vs-buy gap.

Insurance uses the average homeowners premium insurers reported for this ZIP in 2022, $1,426 a year (Treasury Federal Insurance Office).

Payment share of income

20%of the ZIP’s median income at the median value ($584/mo against $35,631 · Zillow, Freddie Mac PMMS, US Census ACS). Your own marker appears once you set an income or price in the calculator below.

Price-to-income · ZIP vs state vs US

Median home value ÷ median household income · Zillow ZHVI, US Census ACS · under 4× has historically been comfortable

Run the numbers

Your price, rate, down payment and income

Like for like: a 3-bedroom here rents for about $1,430 a month (HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent, FY2026) against a typical 3-bedroom value of $88k (Zillow ZHVI by bedroom) — a 19.6% gross rent yield.

Cost of ownership over time

Cumulative housing cost, interest paid, and equity built · 20% down · ZIP median income $35,631

See the 1-, 5-, and 30-year cost of owning here

Inside: Total housing cost · Interest paid · Principal paid · Equity built

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Equity assumes flat home value; real appreciation could push it higher · Rate 6.71%

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Comparable ZIPs

Same shape, lower entry

ZIPs the score groups near 46406 on Affordability and Growth — sorted by lowest median value. Each tile names what the lower price trades: commute (ACS), walkability band (EPA) and hazard rating (FEMA).

Sources

Every number, traced

Every metric above is sourced from public datasets, normalized against the national ZIP distribution. Home values and rents refresh monthly; demographics refresh annually.

Zillow Research
Home values, rents, inventory, transactions
Realtor.com
Inventory, days on market, price-cut share
Redfin
Sale prices, transaction volume
US Census ACS
Income, population, vacancy, cost burden
Freddie Mac PMMS
Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates
FHFA HPI
Long-term price trends
HUD Small Area FMR
Per-ZIP fair market rents (rural fallback)
BEA & IRS
Personal income growth, net migration
Lending & accessibility
Lending and neighborhood-access signals
Research the restNo crime or school rating here — why. The primary sources:GreatSchoolsNCES School SearchFBI Crime Data Explorer

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