FairUpdated SEP 1, 2026

Bellaire, MI

ZIP 49615· Antrim County· 4,077 residents· Median income $78,750· Leaning Buyer

49615 · Bellaire, MI has a HavenScore of 46 — market conditions — inventory, days on market, price cuts — currently tilt in buyers' favor.

At the ZIP's typical value, the estimated monthly payment takes 38% of the local median income (Zillow, US Census ACS). The buyer/seller gauge leans narrowly toward buyers, and has for 7 months. Typical values were flat over the last 90 days (Zillow ZHVI).

Saved ZIPs on Haven get an email when the score moves 5+ points as monthly data lands, when the market gauge flips between buyers and sellers, when its valuation read moves against the model value, or when distress jumps in a week.

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $373,737 in Jul 2026, which is the latest value. Since January 2019 it is +103.6%. The sharpest 12-month move was -5.0%, ending Apr 2018.

Median price
$373,737
+4.10% past 12 mo
Est. monthly payment
$2,462/ mo
20% down · 30-yr fixed · 6.71% · incl. tax + insurance
44
HavenScore: higher than 31% of scored ZIPs.
▲ +1 / 90d#125/177 in MIBuyer Score
Rank

This ZIP has fewer than 5,000 residents, so it isn’t ranked against larger markets. The HavenScore is shown for reference.

Switch perspective

Buyer view active — Leans harder on affordability and downside risk.

Score inputs below recompute for this view

Affordability
36/100
Growth
52/100
Risk
44/100
Momentum
68/100
Livability
42/100
Score · trailing 12 mo
5146
-5 points
30-day
+3
90-day
+1
1-yr
-5

Snapshot

Numbers at a glance, with a year of history under each

Median price
$373,737
up+4.1% 12 mo
Typical home value across the middle tier of homes here — a smoothed Zillow index, steadier than individual sale prices.
Median price: higher than 55% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is $373,737.
Price-to-income
4.8×
Median home value divided by median household income. Under 4× has historically been comfortable; over 5× stretches most budgets.
Price-to-income: higher than 60% of scored ZIPs.
Est. monthly payment
$2,462
At the median value with 20% down, a 30-year fixed at 6.71%, plus property tax and insurance.
Est. monthly payment: higher than 50% of scored ZIPs.
Active listings
77
Homes listed for sale right now (Realtor.com). Rising inventory usually favors buyers; falling inventory favors sellers.
Active listings: higher than 67% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 77.
Days on market
57
How long the typical listing sits before going under contract. Shorter means a tighter market; longer means more room to negotiate.
Days on market: higher than 61% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 57.
Price cuts
+22.68%
Share of active listings that have lowered their asking price. Rising cuts usually precede softening values.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is +22.68%.
Median income
$78,750
Median household income here, from the latest US Census American Community Survey.
Population
4,077
Current resident estimate. Growth is a demand tailwind; decline is a structural risk.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 4,077.
Overvaluation
+97.92%
How far today's values sit above the long-run price trend. Positive means stretched; negative means discounted versus trend.
Vacancy
44.1%
Above-average. Share of housing units that are vacant in this ZIP, from the latest US Census ACS 5-year tables.
Owner-occupied
86%
of homes. Share of occupied housing units owned by their occupants (vs. rented), from the US Census ACS.
Denial rate
25.4%
Above-average. Share of mortgage applications denied in this ZIP, from the latest CFPB / FFIEC HMDA disclosures.
Lending activity
499
originations. Mortgage originations recorded in this ZIP in the most recent HMDA reporting year. Higher counts = more active lending market.
Net migration
-0.8%
net outflow. Net migration as a share of population, from IRS SOI county-to-county migration data. Positive = more people moving in than out.
Income inflow
$92k
average. Average gross income of households moving INTO this ZIP, from IRS SOI data. Higher = ZIP attracting higher-income households.

Place

What it is like to live here, and what could flood or burn

Place profile
WalkabilityLeast walkable
EPA index 4.5 of 20 · EPA Smart Location Database · Jun 2021 · above 13% of scored ZIPs
Transit accessNo transit data
EPA publishes no stop distance for most block groups
Typical commuteTypical commute
19 minutes one way · US median ZIP 22 · US Census ACS · above 72% of scored ZIPs
Jobs nearbyFew jobs nearby
21 jobs per sq mi · US Census LODES · above 14% of scored ZIPs
Physical riskRelatively Low (FEMA)
FEMA National Risk Index composite · Dec 2025 release · above 84% of scored ZIPs

Bands are each source’s own · tick marks the national median ZIP · not blended into the score

Hazard ledger · FEMA National Risk Index

Tract-level rolled up to ZIP · not a property-level rating · no future-year projection · refreshed annually (Dec 2025 release) · county tick = median of 7 scored ZIPs in Antrim County

Housing cost burden · US Census ACS
Owners spending over 50% of income6%
US median ZIP 6%
Renters spending over 30% of income40%
US median ZIP 45%

What drives the score

Five pillars, each scored 0–100

Affordability

36/100

Growth momentum

52/100

Market risk

44/100

Momentum

68/100

Livability

42/100
Walkability
1–20 index · June 2021 vintage·EPA Smart Location Database
4.5
Transit access
Ranked against every scored ZIP·EPA Smart Location Database
Job density
Jobs per square mile, ranked against every scored ZIP·US Census LODES
21.1

See every input behind the pillars, with its value and source

Inside: Affordability: Price-to-income, Property tax rate, Median income · Growth momentum: 12-month price change, 12-month rent change, Population · Market risk: Overvaluation, Active listings, Price cuts · Momentum: Days on market, Buyer / seller gauge, Demand dial

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Market signals

Tailwinds and headwinds right now

Top 4 of 14 signals
Tailwinds1
  • Strong price appreciation
    +4.1% year-over-year
Headwinds3
  • Elevated unemployment
    6.1% unemployment rate
  • Potentially overvalued
    98% above historical price-to-income
  • Widespread price cuts
    23% of listings cutting price
Buyer / seller gauge

Market conditions

Leaning Buyer

Conditions are easing in buyers' favor. The score reads more negotiation room than balanced.

-13
Strong buyerBalancedStrong seller
Trend
Heating toward seller
Gauge since Mar 2026Leaning Buyer now

Cycle read. Cooling: prices +4.1% over the trailing year, with the market leaning toward buyers.

Asking vs closed
Typical value (index)
$373,737
Zillow ZHVI · Sep 2026
Median sale price
Redfin
Sale-to-list
Redfin
Sold above list
Redfin

The Zillow figure is a smoothed index of typical value, not a list price; the Redfin figures are closed sales for the month shown. Redfin does not publish every ZIP every month; a dash means no closed-sale figure for the latest month.

Momentum check

What's changed in the last 90 days

🔒 Haven
Locked

Median price

🔒 Haven
Locked

Inventory

🔒 Haven
Locked

Days on market

🔒 Haven
Locked

Price cuts

Change vs. prior 90 days · arrow shows direction, not whether it’s good or bad

Pulse signals unlock with Haven, plus a one-line market interpretation.

The 90-day numbers behind each tile open with Haven

Trend

Where it's been

Peak
$373,737
Jul 2026
From peak
0.0%
At peak
Since Jan 2019
+103.6%
Worst 12 mo
-5.0%
to Apr 2018
Best 12 mo
+29.0%
since 2018

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $373,737 in Jul 2026, which is the latest value. Since January 2019 it is +103.6%. The sharpest 12-month move was -5.0%, ending Apr 2018.

Cycle position — prices vs the model’s value estimate and the payment’s share of income vs five years ago — opens with Pro

Appreciation by window

Zillow ZHVI · rank among scored ZIPs
WindowChangePer yearUS rankMichigan rank
1 yearup+4.1%+4.1%/yrTop 25% nationallyHigher than 57% in Michigan
3 yearsup+17.2%+5.4%/yrHigher than 72% nationallyHigher than 42% in Michigan
5 yearsup+44.4%+7.6%/yrTop 10% nationallyTop 5% in Michigan
10 yearsup+108.7%+7.6%/yrTop 23% nationallyHigher than 62% in Michigan
Since 2000up+249.4%+4.8%/yr

Starter homes vs the top tier

Zillow ZHVI tiers · Jul 2026
Bottom third (starter homes)
$219,016
up+40% 5Yup+121% 10Y
Middle third
$373,737
up+40% 5Yup+103% 10Y
Top third
$738,110
up+36% 5Yup+116% 10Y

Starter homes here rose 40% in five years while top-tier homes rose 36% (Zillow ZHVI tiers) — the bottom of the market outpaced the top.

3-bedroom homes here run 44% above 2-bedrooms (Zillow ZHVI by bedroom); the MI median premium is 34%.

By home type · Zillow ZHVI mid tier
Single-family
$407,136
up+36% 5Y
Condo / co-op
$271,102
up+36% 5Y

Condos here are priced 33% below single-family homes (Zillow ZHVI by home type); over five years single-family rose 36% while condos rose 36%.

The historical reading — which months run highest and lowest here — opens with Haven

Rent, inventory, days on market, Zillow’s market heat, the % view and state and US reference lines open with Haven

Forecast

Where it's heading

The HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) projects this ZIP’s median value at 3-, 6-, and 12-month horizons, with 80% prediction intervals; Pro adds 24- and 36-month horizons.

Price Forecast

3-month projection · 80% range

🔒 Haven
3-month shown  |  6 & 12 months with Haven →
3-month
$373,139
-0.2%
80% range $366.7K$381.8K
6-month
🔒 Haven
12-month
🔒 Haven

Of the 3-month ranges we published since December 2025, 60% contained the actual price. Track record →

6- and 12-month projections, their 80% ranges, and what moves the forecast unlock with Haven.

Forecasts are the model’s projection, not a prediction. Actuals will differ.

See the 6- and 12-month price ranges for this ZIP and what moves the forecast

Haven · 14-day free trial · then from $8/mo

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Monthly cost

What you'd owe each month

Est. monthly payment
$2,462/ mo

20% down · 30-yr fixed · 6.71% · tax 1.38%

Principal$259
Interest$1,672
Property tax$430
Insurance$101
Rent vs buy

Rent data isn’t published for this ZIP, so we can’t compute a rent-vs-buy gap.

Insurance uses the average homeowners premium insurers reported for this ZIP in 2022, $1,214 a year (Treasury Federal Insurance Office).

Payment share of income

38%of the ZIP’s median income at the median value ($2,462/mo against $78,750 · Zillow, Freddie Mac PMMS, US Census ACS). Your own marker appears once you set an income or price in the calculator below.

Price-to-income · ZIP vs state vs US

Median home value ÷ median household income · Zillow ZHVI, US Census ACS · under 4× has historically been comfortable

Run the numbers

Your price, rate, down payment and income

Like for like: a 3-bedroom here rents for about $1,170 a month (HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent, FY2026) against a typical 3-bedroom value of $385k (Zillow ZHVI by bedroom) — a 3.6% gross rent yield.

Cost of ownership over time

Cumulative housing cost, interest paid, and equity built · 20% down · ZIP median income $78,750

See the 1-, 5-, and 30-year cost of owning here

Inside: Total housing cost · Interest paid · Principal paid · Equity built

Try Haven free for 14 days

Equity assumes flat home value; real appreciation could push it higher · Rate 6.71%

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Comparable ZIPs

Same shape, lower entry

ZIPs the score groups near 49615 on Affordability and Growth — sorted by lowest median value. Each tile names what the lower price trades: commute (ACS), walkability band (EPA) and hazard rating (FEMA).

Sources

Every number, traced

Every metric above is sourced from public datasets, normalized against the national ZIP distribution. Home values and rents refresh monthly; demographics refresh annually.

Zillow Research
Home values, rents, inventory, transactions
Realtor.com
Inventory, days on market, price-cut share
Redfin
Sale prices, transaction volume
US Census ACS
Income, population, vacancy, cost burden
Freddie Mac PMMS
Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates
FHFA HPI
Long-term price trends
HUD Small Area FMR
Per-ZIP fair market rents (rural fallback)
BEA & IRS
Personal income growth, net migration
Lending & accessibility
Lending and neighborhood-access signals
Research the restNo crime or school rating here — why. The primary sources:GreatSchoolsNCES School SearchFBI Crime Data Explorer

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