ZIP 67834· Ford County· Dodge City, KS· 866 residents· Median income $59,426· Leaning Buyer
67834 · Bucklin, KS has a HavenScore of 53 — affordability carries it — prices sit within reach of local incomes.
At the ZIP's typical value, the estimated monthly payment takes 23% of the local median income (Zillow, US Census ACS). The buyer/seller gauge leans narrowly toward buyers, and has for 5 months. Typical values moved lower over the last 90 days (Zillow ZHVI).
Saved ZIPs on Haven get an email when the score moves 5+ points as monthly data lands, when the market gauge flips between buyers and sellers, when its valuation read moves against the model value, or when distress jumps in a week.
Zillow ZHVI peaked at $152,561 in Sep 2025; the latest value is -6.2% from that peak, 10 months on. Since January 2019 it is +68.2%. The sharpest 12-month move was -4.9%, ending Jul 2026.
HavenScore: higher than 63% of scored ZIPs.Higher than 63% of scored ZIPs
0 / 90d#5/8 in KSBuyer Score
Rank
This ZIP has fewer than 5,000 residents, so it isn’t ranked against larger markets. The HavenScore is shown for reference.
Switch perspective
Buyer view active — Leans harder on affordability and downside risk.
Score inputs below recompute for this view
Affordability
70/100
Growth
36/100
Risk
64/100
Momentum
33/100
Livability
34/100
Score · trailing 12 mo
59 → 53
-6 points
30-day
+1
90-day
0
1-yr
-6
01
Snapshot
Numbers at a glance, with a year of history under each
Median price
$143,092
▼down-4.9% 12 mo
Typical home value across the middle tier of homes here — a smoothed Zillow index, steadier than individual sale prices.
Median price: higher than 6% of scored ZIPs.Higher than 6% of scored ZIPs
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is $143,092.
Price-to-income
2.4×
Median home value divided by median household income. Under 4× has historically been comfortable; over 5× stretches most budgets.
Price-to-income: higher than 3% of scored ZIPs.Higher than 3% of scored ZIPs
Est. monthly payment
$1,115
At the median value with 20% down, a 30-year fixed at 6.71%, plus property tax and insurance.
Est. monthly payment: higher than 5% of scored ZIPs.Higher than 5% of scored ZIPs
Active listings
10
Homes listed for sale right now (Realtor.com). Rising inventory usually favors buyers; falling inventory favors sellers.
Active listings: higher than 6% of scored ZIPs.Higher than 6% of scored ZIPs
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 10.
Days on market
88
How long the typical listing sits before going under contract. Shorter means a tighter market; longer means more room to negotiate.
Days on market: higher than 93% of scored ZIPs.Higher than 93% of scored ZIPs
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 88.
Price cuts
0.00%
Share of active listings that have lowered their asking price. Rising cuts usually precede softening values.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 0.00%.
Median income
$59,426
Median household income here, from the latest US Census American Community Survey.
Population
866
Current resident estimate. Growth is a demand tailwind; decline is a structural risk.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 866.
Overvaluation
+34.64%
How far today's values sit above the long-run price trend. Positive means stretched; negative means discounted versus trend.
Vacancy
7.5%
Average. Share of housing units that are vacant in this ZIP, from the latest US Census ACS 5-year tables.
Owner-occupied
75%
of homes. Share of occupied housing units owned by their occupants (vs. rented), from the US Census ACS.
Denial rate
18.9%
Average. Share of mortgage applications denied in this ZIP, from the latest CFPB / FFIEC HMDA disclosures.
Lending activity
326
originations. Mortgage originations recorded in this ZIP in the most recent HMDA reporting year. Higher counts = more active lending market.
Net migration
-19.1%
net outflow. Net migration as a share of population, from IRS SOI county-to-county migration data. Positive = more people moving in than out.
Income inflow
$39k
average. Average gross income of households moving INTO this ZIP, from IRS SOI data. Higher = ZIP attracting higher-income households.
02
Place
What it is like to live here, and what could flood or burn
Place profile
WalkabilityLeast walkable
EPA index 5.3 of 20 · EPA Smart Location Database · Jun 2021 · above 26% of scored ZIPs
Transit accessNo transit data
EPA publishes no stop distance for most block groups
Typical commuteShorter commute than typical
14 minutes one way · US median ZIP 22 · US Census ACS · above 97% of scored ZIPs
Jobs nearbyFew jobs nearby
1 jobs per sq mi · US Census LODES · above 1% of scored ZIPs
Physical riskVery High (FEMA)
FEMA National Risk Index composite · Dec 2025 release · above 7% of scored ZIPs
Bands are each source’s own · tick marks the national median ZIP · not blended into the score
Hazard ledger · FEMA National Risk Index
Composite
◆
Very High · county 90
Flood
score 49 · above 23% of ZIPs · county 50
Wildfire
score 95 · above 93% of ZIPs · county 90
Hurricane
score 38 · above 32% of ZIPs · county 42
Tract-level rolled up to ZIP · not a property-level rating · no future-year projection · refreshed annually (Dec 2025 release) · county tick = median of 5 scored ZIPs in Ford County
Housing cost burden · US Census ACS
Owners spending over 50% of income2%
US median ZIP 6%
Renters spending over 30% of income1%
US median ZIP 45%
03
What drives the score
Five pillars, each scored 0–100
Affordability
70/100
Growth momentum
36/100
Market risk
64/100
Momentum
33/100
Livability
34/100
Walkability
1–20 index · June 2021 vintage·EPA Smart Location Database
5.3
Transit access
Ranked against every scored ZIP·EPA Smart Location Database
—
Job density
Jobs per square mile, ranked against every scored ZIP·US Census LODES
0.9
See every input behind the pillars, with its value and source
Inside: Affordability: Price-to-income, Property tax rate, Median income · Growth momentum: 12-month price change, 12-month rent change, Population · Market risk: Overvaluation, Active listings, Price cuts · Momentum: Days on market, Buyer / seller gauge, Demand dial
Conditions are easing in buyers' favor. The score reads more negotiation room than balanced.
-16
Strong buyerBalancedStrong seller
Trend
←Cooling toward buyer
Gauge since Mar 2026Leaning Buyer now
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Buyer’sBalancedSeller’s
Cycle read. Softening: prices -4.9% over the trailing year, with the market leaning toward buyers.
Asking vs closed
Typical value (index)
$143,092
Zillow ZHVI · Sep 2026
Median sale price
$138,750
Redfin · Sep 2026
Sale-to-list
—
Redfin · Sep 2026
Sold above list
0.0%
Redfin · Sep 2026
The Zillow figure is a smoothed index of typical value, not a list price; the Redfin figures are closed sales for the month shown. Redfin does not publish every ZIP every month; a dash means no closed-sale figure for the latest month.
05
Momentum check
What's changed in the last 90 days
🔒 Haven
Locked
Median price
——
🔒 Haven
Locked
Inventory
——
🔒 Haven
Locked
Days on market
——
Change vs. prior 90 days · arrow shows direction, not whether it’s good or bad
Pulse signals unlock with Haven, plus a one-line market interpretation.
The 90-day numbers behind each tile open with Haven
06
Trend
Where it's been
Peak
$152,561
Sep 2025
From peak
-6.2%
10 mo ago
Since Jan 2019
+68.2%
Worst 12 mo
-4.9%
to Jul 2026
Best 12 mo
+20.8%
since 2018
Zillow ZHVI peaked at $152,561 in Sep 2025; the latest value is -6.2% from that peak, 10 months on. Since January 2019 it is +68.2%. The sharpest 12-month move was -4.9%, ending Jul 2026.
Cycle position — prices vs the model’s value estimate and the payment’s share of income vs five years ago — opens with Pro
Appreciation by window
Zillow ZHVI · rank among scored ZIPs
Window
Change
Per year
US rank
Kansas rank
1 year
▼down-4.9%
-4.9%/yr
Higher than 3% nationally
Higher than 1% in Kansas
3 years
▲up+14.8%
+4.7%/yr
Higher than 64% nationally
Higher than 43% in Kansas
5 years
▲up+34.1%
+6.0%/yr
Higher than 68% nationally
Higher than 41% in Kansas
10 years
▲up+86.5%
+6.4%/yr
Higher than 50% nationally
Higher than 46% in Kansas
Since 2016
▲up+89.8%
+6.3%/yr
—
—
Starter homes vs the top tier
Zillow ZHVI tiers · Jul 2026
Bottom third (starter homes)
$80,807
▲up+56% 5Y—
Middle third
$143,092
▲up+30% 5Y▲up+81% 10Y
Top third
$256,167
▲up+25% 5Y▲up+71% 10Y
Starter homes here rose 56% in five years while top-tier homes rose 25% (Zillow ZHVI tiers) — the bottom of the market outpaced the top.
3-bedroom homes here run 43% above 2-bedrooms (Zillow ZHVI by bedroom); the KS median premium is 41%.
The historical reading — which months run highest and lowest here — opens with Haven
Rent, inventory, days on market, Zillow’s market heat, the % view and state and US reference lines open with Haven
07
Forecast
Where it's heading
The HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) projects this ZIP’s median value at 3-, 6-, and 12-month horizons, with 80% prediction intervals; Pro adds 24- and 36-month horizons.
Price Forecast
3-month projection · 80% range
🔒 Haven
3-month shown | 6 & 12 months with Haven →
3-month
$140,316
-1.9%
80% range $129.7K–$146.2K
6-month
🔒 Haven
12-month
🔒 Haven
Of the 3-month ranges we published since December 2025, 60% contained the actual price. Track record →
6- and 12-month projections, their 80% ranges, and what moves the forecast unlock with Haven.
Zillow's own published forecast has this ZIP's typical value rise 3.8% over the twelve months from July 2026 (Zillow Home Value Forecast).
Forecasts are the model’s projection, not a prediction. Actuals will differ.
See the 6- and 12-month price ranges for this ZIP and what moves the forecast
Rent data isn’t published for this ZIP, so we can’t compute a rent-vs-buy gap.
Insurance uses the average homeowners premium insurers reported for this ZIP in 2022, $2,460 a year (Treasury Federal Insurance Office).
Payment share of income
0%28%36%50%70%+
23%of the ZIP’s median income at the median value ($1,115/mo against $59,426 · Zillow, Freddie Mac PMMS, US Census ACS). Your own marker appears once you set an income or price in the calculator below.
Price-to-income · ZIP vs state vs US
This ZIP
2.4×
KS median ZIP
3.3×
US median ZIP
4.3×
Median home value ÷ median household income · Zillow ZHVI, US Census ACS · under 4× has historically been comfortable
09
Run the numbers
Your price, rate, down payment and income
Like for like: a 3-bedroom here rents for about $1,140 a month (HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent, FY2026) against a typical 3-bedroom value of $172k (Zillow ZHVI by bedroom) — a 8.0% gross rent yield.
Cost of ownership over time
Cumulative housing cost, interest paid, and equity built · 20% down · ZIP median income $59,426
See the 1-, 5-, and 30-year cost of owning here
Inside: Total housing cost · Interest paid · Principal paid · Equity built
ZIPs the score groups near 67834 on Affordability and Growth — sorted by lowest median value. Each tile names what the lower price trades: commute (ACS), walkability band (EPA) and hazard rating (FEMA).
Every metric above is sourced from public datasets, normalized against the national ZIP distribution. Home values and rents refresh monthly; demographics refresh annually.
Data-driven market takes and the week's biggest ZIP movers, every Tuesday. Want this ZIP specifically? Save it to your account — saved ZIPs get a monthly digest of what changed.