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ZIP 75423 · Celeste, TX · 3,088 residents · September 2026

Celeste 75423: the market leans toward buyers.

Conditions easing in buyers' favor. Typical home value $376K, +1.6% over 12 months; listings take 97 days to sell against 60 in the median U.S. ZIP.

Sources beside every figure · Zillow, August 2026 · Realtor.com, September 2026 · Census ACS 2023 · FEMA NRI

Market balanceSeptember 2026

BuyersSellersEven
Leaning buyer−30
Typical value$376K+1.6% over 12 months · Zillow, Aug 2026
Days on market97 daysU.S. median ZIP 60 days · Realtor.com
Listings with a price cut21%U.S. median ZIP 20% · Realtor.com
Fair market rent$1,370/moHUD fair market rent, 2 bedrooms, FY 2026
Active listings34−15% vs a year ago · Realtor.com
Sale-to-list95.4%14% sold above list · Redfin, May 2026
HavenScore38of 100

Higher than 6% of scored ZIPs

Affordability20
Growth60
Risk37
Momentum57
Livability27

Five parts, weighted. How the score works →

The reading

Where the balance sits this month and what moved it.

Month by month, since the gauge began

  1. Mar 2026−33
  2. Apr 2026−28
  3. May 2026−27
  4. Jun 2026−33
  5. Jul 2026−45
  6. Aug 2026—no reading on record
  7. Sep 2026−30

Each block is one month’s reading, −100 (buyers) to +100 (sellers). The series starts in March 2026. A dashed block has no reading on record. How the balance is measured →

What is pulling the needle

  • 97 days on marketslower than the U.S. median ZIP's 60 days
  • 21% of listings cut pricemore than the U.S. median ZIP's 20%
  • Sale-to-list 95.4%homes close below asking · Redfin, May 2026
  • 34 active listings−15% vs a year ago

Blue pulls toward buyers, orange toward sellers. Realtor.com, September 2026; Redfin, May 2026.

Cooling: prices +1.6% over the trailing year, with the market leaning toward buyers.

Asking price vs sale price
Typical value (index)$376,459Zillow ZHVI · Aug 2026
Median sale price$402,500Redfin · May 2026
Sale-to-list95.4%Redfin · May 2026
Sold above list14.3%Redfin · May 2026

Zillow's figure is a smoothed index of typical value, not a list price; Redfin's are closed sales for the month shown.

Last 90 days

How the typical value and the listings moved over the last three months.

Typical valueHavenMay → Aug · Zillow
Active listingsHavenJun → Sep · Realtor.com
Days on marketHavenJun → Sep · Realtor.com
Listings with a price cutHavenJun → Sep · Realtor.com
The 90-day changes for this ZIP are part of Haven.
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Prices

Typical home value since 2009, and how far it moved over each window.

1 year+1.6%
3 years+2.3%
5 years+19.8%
10 years+112.9%
From peak−2.4%

Zillow Home Value Index · ZIP 75423 · monthly, through August 2026

The listings, days on market and market heat series on this chart are part of Haven.With the % change view and the state and U.S. reference lines.
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Zillow ZHVI peaked at $383,882 in August 2024; the latest value is −1.9% from that peak, 24 months on. Since January 2019 it is +77.3%. The sharpest 12-month move was −3.9%, ending September 2025.

Zillow's typical home value here, $376K in August 2026, is 30% above the median U.S. ZIP's $289K. Over the 12 months to August 2026, Zillow's typical home value moved +1.6% here and +2.8% in the median U.S. ZIP.

Price tiers and bedrooms
Bottom tier$207K
Middle tier$376K
Top tier$621K
Single-family$376K
3 bedrooms$298K

Starter homes here rose 21% in five years while top-tier homes rose 17% (Zillow ZHVI tiers) — the bottom of the market outpaced the top.

Zillow typical values by price tier, home type and bedrooms, August 2026.

How it ranks

Appreciation by window

WindowChangePer yearU.S. rankTexas rank
1 year+1.6%+1.6%/yrHigher than 46% nationallyTop 20% in Texas
3 years+2.3%+0.7%/yrHigher than 28% nationallyTop 22% in Texas
5 years+19.8%+3.7%/yrHigher than 41% nationallyTop 18% in Texas
10 years+112.9%+7.8%/yrTop 13% nationallyTop 4% in Texas
Since 2009+205.6%+6.6%/yr——

Zillow ZHVI · rank among scored ZIPs

This time of year Haven
The seasonal chart for this ZIP is part of Haven.With the reading of which months run highest and lowest here.
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Cycle position Pro
Where prices sit in the cycle is part of Pro.Prices against the model's value estimate, and the payment's share of income against five years ago.
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Forecast

Where the typical value is likely to be over the next 3 to 12 months, with the range the model has earned, and up to 36 months with Pro.

Last three years, then the forecast band

HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) · run October 1, 2026
$340K$360K$400K$383K202420252026$340K$360K$400K$383K202420252026
3 months$383K+1.8% · $376K–$394KMedium confidence
6 monthsHaven
12 monthsHaven
24 monthsPro
36 monthsPro
The 6- and 12-month ranges are part of Haven.The 3-month reading is free. Haven adds what moves the forecast.
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A forecast is a range, not a promise; the confidence word says how wide it is. How the forecast works →

Of the 3-month ranges we published since December 2025, 54% contained the actual price.

Zillow's own published forecast has this ZIP's typical value rise 0.3% over the twelve months from August 2026 (Zillow Home Value Forecast).

Payment

What a typical home here costs each month, against the typical income.

Monthly payment

$3,15763% of the median household income here ($60,167)
Principal and interest$2,222
Property tax$527
Insurance$195
Mortgage insurance$212

Above the 36% line lenders use for total debt, for a median earner here. Rate is the Freddie Mac average for September 2026; tax is the state's statutory rate.

Insurance uses the average homeowners premium insurers reported for this ZIP in 2022, $2,345 a year (Treasury Federal Insurance Office).

Fair market rent, 2 bedrooms$1,370
vs
Payment on a typical purchase$3,157

Buying costs $1,787 a month more than the HUD fair market rent for a 2-bedroom here (FY 2026), before tax effects and maintenance.

Like for like: the HUD fair market rent for a 3-bedroom here is $1,720 a month (FY 2026), against a typical 3-bedroom value of $298K (Zillow, August 2026) — a 6.9% gross rent yield.

Price-to-income ladder

Median home value ÷ median household income · Zillow ZHVI, Census ACS · under 4× has historically been comfortable

Cost of owning over time Haven
The 1-, 5- and 30-year cost of owning here is part of Haven.
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The place

What it costs to own here beyond the price, and what the neighborhood is like.

Median household income$60,167Census ACS
Price to income6.3×long-run average 3.6×
Property tax1.68%statutory, state
Insurance$2,345/yrtypical premium
Commute39 minmedian, one way
Walkability4 / 20EPA index
Hazard ratingRelatively HighFEMA NRI · wildfire 91 · flood 62
Population change+2.0% a year2018–2023, Census ACS
Median year built1989Census ACS
Owner-occupied84%Census ACS

Typical homes cost 6.3× the median household income here, against 3.7× in the median TX ZIP and 4.3× in the median U.S. ZIP (Zillow, August 2026; Census ACS 2023). Median household income is $60,167 here, against $71,388 in the median U.S. ZIP (Census ACS 2023).

Hazard ledger
Overall riskRelatively Highscore 80 of 100 · county median 80
Flood62 of 100county median 64
Wildfire91 of 100county median 88
Hurricane47 of 100county median 45

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release, refreshed annually · tract-level rolled up to ZIP · not a property-level rating · no future-year projection · the tick is the median of 8 scored ZIPs in Hunt County.

Everyday prices

Everyday prices in the Dallas metro run 3% above the U.S. average (BEA Regional Price Parities, 2024).

Rents in the index run 18% above the U.S. average.

$75,000 at U.S.-average prices buys what $77,300 buys here.

Metro-level index, U.S. = 100 · 2024 · the Dallas metro, not this ZIP alone.

Housing cost burden
Owners spending over 50% of income12%U.S. median ZIP 5%
Renters spending over 30% of income25%U.S. median ZIP 39%

Census ACS 2023 five-year estimates · the tick is the U.S. median ZIP.

Behind the score

The inputs behind each of the five parts, against the U.S. median ZIP.

Affordability

20

Growth

60

Risk

37

Momentum

57
Haven
See every input behind the five parts, with its value and source
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Livability

27
Walkability4 / 20EPA Smart Location DatabaseLeast walkable
Transit access—EPA Smart Location DatabaseNo transit data
Job density4 jobs per sq miCensus LODESFew jobs nearby

Nearby

6 scored Texas ZIPs within 12 miles; the ones below score within ten points and cost less.

Sources and freshness

Every figure on this page, where it came from and when.

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ZillowHome values, rents, price tiersAugust 2026
Realtor.comListings, days on market, price cutsSeptember 2026
RedfinSale-to-list, sold above listMay 2026
Census ACSIncome, commute, population, housing stock2023 five-year
FEMA National Risk IndexHazard ratingsDecember 2025 release
EPAWalkability2021
HUDFair market rent, 2 bedroomsFY 2026
Freddie MacMortgage rateSeptember 2026, monthly average
BEAEveryday prices (Regional Price Parities)2024
HavenScoreScore, balance, forecastScored October 1, 2026

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