ZIP 79106· Potter County· Amarillo, TX· 27,900 residents· Median income $54,407· Leaning Buyer
79106 · Amarillo, TX has a HavenScore of 59 — affordability carries it — prices sit within reach of local incomes.
At the ZIP's typical value, the estimated monthly payment takes 30% of the local median income (Zillow, US Census ACS) and runs $213 a month more than the median rent (Zillow ZORI). The buyer/seller gauge leans narrowly toward buyers, a lean that began this month. Typical values moved higher over the last 90 days (Zillow ZHVI).
Saved ZIPs on Haven get an email when the score moves 5+ points as monthly data lands, when the market gauge flips between buyers and sellers, when its valuation read moves against the model value, or when distress jumps in a week.
Zillow ZHVI peaked at $170,508 in Jul 2026, which is the latest value. Since January 2019 it is +57.9%. The sharpest 12-month move was +1.2%, ending Aug 2025.
HavenScore: higher than 89% of scored ZIPs.Higher than 89% of scored ZIPs
▼ -2 / 90d#5/20 in TXBuyer Score
Rank
Ranked #1,895 of 13,130 nationally · #1,053 of 6,756 mid-size ZIPs
Switch perspective
Buyer view active — Leans harder on affordability and downside risk.
Score inputs below recompute for this view
Affordability
62/100
Growth
56/100
Risk
58/100
Momentum
49/100
Livability
73/100
Score · trailing 12 mo
59 → 59
0 points
30-day
-3
90-day
-2
1-yr
0
01
Snapshot
Numbers at a glance, with a year of history under each
Median price
$170,508
▲up+2.5% 12 mo
Typical home value across the middle tier of homes here — a smoothed Zillow index, steadier than individual sale prices.
Median price: higher than 10% of scored ZIPs.Higher than 10% of scored ZIPs
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is $170,508.
Median rent
$1,125
▲up+2.8% 12 mo
Typical monthly rent (Zillow ZORI, with HUD fair-market rent filling in for smaller markets).
Median rent: higher than 6% of scored ZIPs.Higher than 6% of scored ZIPs
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is $1,125.
Price-to-income
3.1×
Median home value divided by median household income. Under 4× has historically been comfortable; over 5× stretches most budgets.
Price-to-income: higher than 13% of scored ZIPs.Higher than 13% of scored ZIPs
Est. monthly payment
$1,338
At the median value with 20% down, a 30-year fixed at 6.71%, plus property tax and insurance.
Est. monthly payment: higher than 20% of scored ZIPs.Higher than 20% of scored ZIPs
Active listings
78
Homes listed for sale right now (Realtor.com). Rising inventory usually favors buyers; falling inventory favors sellers.
Active listings: higher than 68% of scored ZIPs.Higher than 68% of scored ZIPs
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 78.
Days on market
46
How long the typical listing sits before going under contract. Shorter means a tighter market; longer means more room to negotiate.
Days on market: higher than 40% of scored ZIPs.Higher than 40% of scored ZIPs
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 46.
Price cuts
+30.63%
Share of active listings that have lowered their asking price. Rising cuts usually precede softening values.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is +30.63%.
Median income
$54,407
Median household income here, from the latest US Census American Community Survey.
Population
27,900
Current resident estimate. Growth is a demand tailwind; decline is a structural risk.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 27,900.
Overvaluation
+48.34%
How far today's values sit above the long-run price trend. Positive means stretched; negative means discounted versus trend.
Vacancy
13.2%
Above-average. Share of housing units that are vacant in this ZIP, from the latest US Census ACS 5-year tables.
Owner-occupied
50%
of homes. Share of occupied housing units owned by their occupants (vs. rented), from the US Census ACS.
Denial rate
28.0%
Above-average. Share of mortgage applications denied in this ZIP, from the latest CFPB / FFIEC HMDA disclosures.
Lending activity
1,390
originations. Mortgage originations recorded in this ZIP in the most recent HMDA reporting year. Higher counts = more active lending market.
Net migration
-2.9%
net outflow. Net migration as a share of population, from IRS SOI county-to-county migration data. Positive = more people moving in than out.
Income inflow
$51k
average. Average gross income of households moving INTO this ZIP, from IRS SOI data. Higher = ZIP attracting higher-income households.
02
Place
What it is like to live here, and what could flood or burn
Place profile
WalkabilityAbove-average walkability
EPA index 12.2 of 20 · EPA Smart Location Database · Jun 2021 · above 80% of scored ZIPs
Transit accessStop within a 10-minute walk
676 m to the nearest stop · EPA Smart Location Database · Jun 2021 · above 33% of scored ZIPs
Typical commuteShorter commute than typical
16 minutes one way · US median ZIP 22 · US Census ACS · above 91% of scored ZIPs
Jobs nearbyDense employment nearby
1,663 jobs per sq mi · US Census LODES · above 80% of scored ZIPs
Physical riskRelatively High (FEMA)
FEMA National Risk Index composite · Dec 2025 release · above 38% of scored ZIPs
Bands are each source’s own · tick marks the national median ZIP · not blended into the score
Hazard ledger · FEMA National Risk Index
Composite
◆
Relatively High · county 80
Flood
score 29 · above 5% of ZIPs · county 25
Wildfire
score 65 · above 52% of ZIPs · county 90
Hurricane
score 0 · above 7% of ZIPs · county 0
Tract-level rolled up to ZIP · not a property-level rating · no future-year projection · refreshed annually (Dec 2025 release) · county tick = median of 8 scored ZIPs in Potter County
Everyday prices · BEA Regional Price Parities
Everyday prices in the Amarillo metro run 8% below the US average (BEA Regional Price Parities, 2024).
Rents in the index run 22% below the US average.
$75,000 at US-average prices buys what $68,850 buys here.
Metro-level index, US = 100 · 2024 · the Amarillo metro, not this ZIP alone
Housing cost burden · US Census ACS
Owners spending over 50% of income6%
US median ZIP 6%
Renters spending over 30% of income40%
US median ZIP 45%
03
What drives the score
Five pillars, each scored 0–100
Affordability
62/100
Growth momentum
56/100
Market risk
58/100
Momentum
49/100
Livability
73/100
Walkability
1–20 index · June 2021 vintage·EPA Smart Location Database
12.2
Transit access
Ranked against every scored ZIP·EPA Smart Location Database
676
Job density
Jobs per square mile, ranked against every scored ZIP·US Census LODES
1,662.8
See every input behind the pillars, with its value and source
Inside: Affordability: Price-to-income, Property tax rate, Median income · Growth momentum: 12-month price change, 12-month rent change, Population · Market risk: Overvaluation, Active listings, Price cuts · Momentum: Days on market, Buyer / seller gauge, Demand dial
10.4 permits per 1,000 residents — new supply incoming
Potentially overvalued
48% above historical price-to-income
Widespread price cuts
31% of listings cutting price
Buyer / seller gauge
Market conditions
Leaning Buyer
Conditions are easing in buyers' favor. The score reads more negotiation room than balanced.
-15
Strong buyerBalancedStrong seller
Trend
→Heating toward seller
Gauge since Mar 2026Leaning Buyer now
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Buyer’sBalancedSeller’s
Cycle read. Cooling: prices +2.5% over the trailing year, with the market leaning toward buyers.
Asking vs closed
Typical value (index)
$170,508
Zillow ZHVI · Sep 2026
Median sale price
$197,000
Redfin · Sep 2026
Sale-to-list
—
Redfin · Sep 2026
Sold above list
0.0%
Redfin · Sep 2026
The Zillow figure is a smoothed index of typical value, not a list price; the Redfin figures are closed sales for the month shown. Redfin does not publish every ZIP every month; a dash means no closed-sale figure for the latest month.
05
Momentum check
What's changed in the last 90 days
🔒 Haven
Locked
Median price
——
🔒 Haven
Locked
Inventory
——
🔒 Haven
Locked
Days on market
——
🔒 Haven
Locked
Price cuts
——
Change vs. prior 90 days · arrow shows direction, not whether it’s good or bad
Pulse signals unlock with Haven, plus a one-line market interpretation.
The 90-day numbers behind each tile open with Haven
06
Trend
Where it's been
Peak
$170,508
Jul 2026
From peak
0.0%
At peak
Since Jan 2019
+57.9%
Worst 12 mo
+1.2%
to Aug 2025
Best 12 mo
+16.1%
since 2018
Zillow ZHVI peaked at $170,508 in Jul 2026, which is the latest value. Since January 2019 it is +57.9%. The sharpest 12-month move was +1.2%, ending Aug 2025.
Cycle position — prices vs the model’s value estimate and the payment’s share of income vs five years ago — opens with Pro
Appreciation by window
Zillow ZHVI · rank among scored ZIPs
Window
Change
Per year
US rank
Texas rank
1 year
▲up+2.5%
+2.5%/yr
Higher than 58% nationally
Top 13% in Texas
3 years
▲up+10.3%
+3.3%/yr
Higher than 47% nationally
Top 9% in Texas
5 years
▲up+30.8%
+5.5%/yr
Higher than 58% nationally
Top 10% in Texas
10 years
▲up+71.3%
+5.5%/yr
Higher than 29% nationally
Higher than 57% in Texas
Since 2009
▲up+82.6%
+3.5%/yr
—
—
Starter homes vs the top tier
Zillow ZHVI tiers · Jul 2026
Bottom third (starter homes)
$100,095
▲up+26% 5Y▲up+72% 10Y
Middle third
$170,508
▲up+28% 5Y▲up+67% 10Y
Top third
$265,030
▲up+26% 5Y▲up+59% 10Y
Starter homes here rose 26% in five years while top-tier homes rose 26% (Zillow ZHVI tiers) — the two ends of the market moved together.
3-bedroom homes here run 84% above 2-bedrooms (Zillow ZHVI by bedroom); the TX median premium is 41%.
The historical reading — which months run highest and lowest here — opens with Haven
Rent, inventory, days on market, Zillow’s market heat, the % view and state and US reference lines open with Haven
07
Forecast
Where it's heading
The HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) projects this ZIP’s median value at 3-, 6-, and 12-month horizons, with 80% prediction intervals; Pro adds 24- and 36-month horizons.
Price Forecast
3-month projection · 80% range
🔒 Haven
3-month shown | 6 & 12 months with Haven →
3-month
$171,719
+0.7%
80% range $170.9K–$174.3K
6-month
🔒 Haven
12-month
🔒 Haven
Of the 3-month ranges we published since December 2025, 60% contained the actual price. Track record →
6- and 12-month projections, their 80% ranges, and what moves the forecast unlock with Haven.
Zillow's own published forecast has this ZIP's typical value rise 1.6% over the twelve months from July 2026 (Zillow Home Value Forecast).
Forecasts are the model’s projection, not a prediction. Actuals will differ.
See the 6- and 12-month price ranges for this ZIP and what moves the forecast
Insurance uses the average homeowners premium insurers reported for this ZIP in 2022, $2,614 a year (Treasury Federal Insurance Office).
Payment share of income
0%28%36%50%70%+
30%of the ZIP’s median income at the median value ($1,338/mo against $54,407 · Zillow, Freddie Mac PMMS, US Census ACS). Your own marker appears once you set an income or price in the calculator below.
Price-to-income · ZIP vs state vs US
This ZIP
3.1×
TX median ZIP
3.7×
US median ZIP
4.3×
Median home value ÷ median household income · Zillow ZHVI, US Census ACS · under 4× has historically been comfortable
09
Run the numbers
Your price, rate, down payment and income
Like for like: a 3-bedroom here rents for about $1,500 a month (HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent, FY2026) against a typical 3-bedroom value of $197k (Zillow ZHVI by bedroom) — a 9.1% gross rent yield.
Cost of ownership over time
Cumulative housing cost, interest paid, and equity built · 20% down · ZIP median income $54,407
See the 1-, 5-, and 30-year cost of owning here
Inside: Total housing cost · Interest paid · Principal paid · Equity built
ZIPs the score groups near 79106 on Affordability and Growth — sorted by lowest median value. Each tile names what the lower price trades: commute (ACS), walkability band (EPA) and hazard rating (FEMA).
Every metric above is sourced from public datasets, normalized against the national ZIP distribution. Home values and rents refresh monthly; demographics refresh annually.
Data-driven market takes and the week's biggest ZIP movers, every Tuesday. Want this ZIP specifically? Save it to your account — saved ZIPs get a monthly digest of what changed.