AccessibleUpdated SEP 1, 2026

Midwest, WY

ZIP 82643· Natrona County· Casper, WY· 218 residents· Median income $75,707· Leaning Seller

82643 · Midwest, WY has a HavenScore of 55 — affordability carries it — prices sit within reach of local incomes.

At the ZIP's typical value, the estimated monthly payment takes 6% of the local median income (Zillow, US Census ACS). The buyer/seller gauge leans narrowly toward sellers, and has for 6 months. Typical values were flat over the last 90 days (Zillow ZHVI).

Saved ZIPs on Haven get an email when the score moves 5+ points as monthly data lands, when the market gauge flips between buyers and sellers, when its valuation read moves against the model value, or when distress jumps in a week.

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $96,162 in Jun 2021; the latest value is -31.1% from that peak, 61 months on. The sharpest 12-month move was -18.4%, ending Oct 2025.

Median price
$66,273
-10.13% past 12 mo
Est. monthly payment
$404/ mo
20% down · 30-yr fixed · 6.71% · incl. tax + insurance
63
HavenScore: higher than 73% of scored ZIPs.
-2 / 90d#1/6 in WYBuyer Score
Rank

This ZIP has fewer than 5,000 residents, so it isn’t ranked against larger markets. The HavenScore is shown for reference.

Switch perspective

Buyer view active — Leans harder on affordability and downside risk.

Score inputs below recompute for this view

Affordability
88/100
Growth
31/100
Risk
56/100
Momentum
19/100
Livability
36/100
Score · trailing 12 mo
6055
-5 points
30-day
-2
90-day
-2
1-yr
-5

Snapshot

Numbers at a glance, with a year of history under each

Median price
$66,273
down-10.1% 12 mo
Typical home value across the middle tier of homes here — a smoothed Zillow index, steadier than individual sale prices.
Median price: higher than 1% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is $66,273.
Price-to-income
0.9×
Median home value divided by median household income. Under 4× has historically been comfortable; over 5× stretches most budgets.
Price-to-income: higher than 1% of scored ZIPs.
Est. monthly payment
$404
At the median value with 20% down, a 30-year fixed at 6.71%, plus property tax and insurance.
Est. monthly payment: higher than 1% of scored ZIPs.
Active listings
1
Homes listed for sale right now (Realtor.com). Rising inventory usually favors buyers; falling inventory favors sellers.
Active listings: higher than 1% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 1.
Price cuts
0.00%
Share of active listings that have lowered their asking price. Rising cuts usually precede softening values.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 0.00%.
Median income
$75,707
Median household income here, from the latest US Census American Community Survey.
Population
218
Current resident estimate. Growth is a demand tailwind; decline is a structural risk.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 218.
Overvaluation
-12.87%
How far today's values sit above the long-run price trend. Positive means stretched; negative means discounted versus trend.
Vacancy
45.5%
Above-average. Share of housing units that are vacant in this ZIP, from the latest US Census ACS 5-year tables.
Owner-occupied
90%
of homes. Share of occupied housing units owned by their occupants (vs. rented), from the US Census ACS.
Denial rate
19.1%
Average. Share of mortgage applications denied in this ZIP, from the latest CFPB / FFIEC HMDA disclosures.
Lending activity
1,607
originations. Mortgage originations recorded in this ZIP in the most recent HMDA reporting year. Higher counts = more active lending market.
Net migration
+2.3%
net inflow. Net migration as a share of population, from IRS SOI county-to-county migration data. Positive = more people moving in than out.
Income inflow
$65k
average. Average gross income of households moving INTO this ZIP, from IRS SOI data. Higher = ZIP attracting higher-income households.

Place

What it is like to live here, and what could flood or burn

Place profile
WalkabilityLeast walkable
EPA index 5.4 of 20 · EPA Smart Location Database · Jun 2021 · above 27% of scored ZIPs
Transit accessNo transit data
EPA publishes no stop distance for most block groups
Typical commuteShorter commute than typical
18 minutes one way · US median ZIP 22 · US Census ACS · above 79% of scored ZIPs
Jobs nearbyFew jobs nearby
4 jobs per sq mi · US Census LODES · above 1% of scored ZIPs
Physical riskRelatively High (FEMA)
FEMA National Risk Index composite · Dec 2025 release · above 15% of scored ZIPs

Bands are each source’s own · tick marks the national median ZIP · not blended into the score

Hazard ledger · FEMA National Risk Index

Tract-level rolled up to ZIP · not a property-level rating · no future-year projection · refreshed annually (Dec 2025 release) · county tick = median of 5 scored ZIPs in Natrona County

Everyday prices · BEA Regional Price Parities

Everyday prices in the Casper metro run 6% below the US average (BEA Regional Price Parities, 2024).

Rents in the index run 26% below the US average.

$75,000 at US-average prices buys what $70,350 buys here.

Metro-level index, US = 100 · 2024 · the Casper metro, not this ZIP alone

Housing cost burden · US Census ACS
Owners spending over 50% of income0%
US median ZIP 6%
Renters spending over 30% of income0%
US median ZIP 45%

What drives the score

Five pillars, each scored 0–100

Affordability

88/100

Growth momentum

31/100

Market risk

56/100

Momentum

19/100

Livability

36/100
Walkability
1–20 index · June 2021 vintage·EPA Smart Location Database
5.4
Transit access
Ranked against every scored ZIP·EPA Smart Location Database
Job density
Jobs per square mile, ranked against every scored ZIP·US Census LODES
4

See every input behind the pillars, with its value and source

Inside: Affordability: Price-to-income, Property tax rate, Median income · Growth momentum: 12-month price change, 12-month rent change, Population · Market risk: Overvaluation, Active listings, Price cuts · Momentum: Days on market, Buyer / seller gauge, Demand dial

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Market signals

Tailwinds and headwinds right now

Top 5 of 14 signals
Tailwinds4
  • Affordable vs. income
    0.9× income — below the national median
  • Strong migration inflow
    +2.3% net — people moving in
  • Potentially undervalued
    13% below historical price-to-income
  • Few price reductions
    Only 0% of listings cutting price
Headwinds1
  • Declining prices
    -10.1% year-over-year
Buyer / seller gauge

Market conditions

Leaning Seller

The score reads conditions tightening in sellers' favor.

+5
Strong buyerBalancedStrong seller
Trend
Stable
Gauge since Mar 2026Leaning Seller now

Cycle read. Firming: prices -10.1% over the trailing year, with the market leaning toward sellers.

Asking vs closed
Typical value (index)
$66,273
Zillow ZHVI · Sep 2026
Median sale price
Redfin
Sale-to-list
Redfin
Sold above list
Redfin

The Zillow figure is a smoothed index of typical value, not a list price; the Redfin figures are closed sales for the month shown. Redfin does not publish every ZIP every month; a dash means no closed-sale figure for the latest month.

Momentum check

What's changed in the last 90 days

🔒 Haven
Locked

Median price

🔒 Haven
Locked

Inventory

Change vs. prior 90 days · arrow shows direction, not whether it’s good or bad

Pulse signals unlock with Haven, plus a one-line market interpretation.

The 90-day numbers behind each tile open with Haven

Trend

Where it's been

Peak
$96,162
Jun 2021
From peak
-31.1%
61 mo ago
Worst 12 mo
-18.4%
to Oct 2025
Best 12 mo
+20.7%
since 2018

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $96,162 in Jun 2021; the latest value is -31.1% from that peak, 61 months on. The sharpest 12-month move was -18.4%, ending Oct 2025.

Cycle position — prices vs the model’s value estimate and the payment’s share of income vs five years ago — opens with Pro

Appreciation by window

Zillow ZHVI · rank among scored ZIPs
WindowChangePer yearUS rankWyoming rank
1 yeardown-10.1%-10.1%/yrHigher than 1% nationallyHigher than 1% in Wyoming
3 yearsdown-19.4%-6.9%/yrHigher than 1% nationallyHigher than 1% in Wyoming
5 yearsdown-30.6%-7.1%/yrHigher than 1% nationallyHigher than 1% in Wyoming
Since 2019down-11.6%-1.6%/yr

Starter homes vs the top tier

Zillow ZHVI tiers · Jul 2026
Bottom third (starter homes)
Middle third
$66,273
down-34% 5Y
Top third
$105,077
down-45% 5Y

The historical reading — which months run highest and lowest here — opens with Haven

Rent, inventory, days on market, Zillow’s market heat, the % view and state and US reference lines open with Haven

Forecast

Where it's heading

The HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) projects this ZIP’s median value at 3-, 6-, and 12-month horizons, with 80% prediction intervals; Pro adds 24- and 36-month horizons.

Price Forecast

3-month projection · 80% range

🔒 Haven
3-month shown  |  6 & 12 months with Haven →
3-month
$67,950
+2.5%
80% range $64.1K$74.5K
6-month
🔒 Haven
12-month
🔒 Haven

Of the 3-month ranges we published since December 2025, 60% contained the actual price. Track record →

6- and 12-month projections, their 80% ranges, and what moves the forecast unlock with Haven.

Zillow's own published forecast has this ZIP's typical value rise 1.2% over the twelve months from July 2026 (Zillow Home Value Forecast).

Forecasts are the model’s projection, not a prediction. Actuals will differ.

See the 6- and 12-month price ranges for this ZIP and what moves the forecast

Haven · 14-day free trial · then from $8/mo

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Monthly cost

What you'd owe each month

Est. monthly payment
$404/ mo

20% down · 30-yr fixed · 6.71% · tax 0.61%

Principal$46
Interest$296
Property tax$34
Insurance$28
Rent vs buy

Rent data isn’t published for this ZIP, so we can’t compute a rent-vs-buy gap.

Insurance is assumed at 0.5% of the home's value a year; Treasury's Federal Insurance Office did not publish a premium for this ZIP.

Payment share of income

6%of the ZIP’s median income at the median value ($404/mo against $75,707 · Zillow, Freddie Mac PMMS, US Census ACS). Your own marker appears once you set an income or price in the calculator below.

Price-to-income · ZIP vs state vs US

Median home value ÷ median household income · Zillow ZHVI, US Census ACS · under 4× has historically been comfortable

Run the numbers

Your price, rate, down payment and income

Cost of ownership over time

Cumulative housing cost, interest paid, and equity built · 20% down · ZIP median income $75,707

See the 1-, 5-, and 30-year cost of owning here

Inside: Total housing cost · Interest paid · Principal paid · Equity built

Try Haven free for 14 days

Equity assumes flat home value; real appreciation could push it higher · Rate 6.71%

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Sources

Every number, traced

Every metric above is sourced from public datasets, normalized against the national ZIP distribution. Home values and rents refresh monthly; demographics refresh annually.

Zillow Research
Home values, rents, inventory, transactions
Realtor.com
Inventory, days on market, price-cut share
Redfin
Sale prices, transaction volume
US Census ACS
Income, population, vacancy, cost burden
Freddie Mac PMMS
Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates
FHFA HPI
Long-term price trends
HUD Small Area FMR
Per-ZIP fair market rents (rural fallback)
BEA & IRS
Personal income growth, net migration
Lending & accessibility
Lending and neighborhood-access signals
Research the restNo crime or school rating here — why. The primary sources:GreatSchoolsNCES School SearchFBI Crime Data Explorer

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