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ZIP 87538 · Pecos, NM · 538 residents · September 2026

Pecos 87538: sellers hold the leverage.

Sellers hold the leverage. Listings move fast and often over asking. Typical home value $302K, +9.9% over 12 months.

Sources beside every figure · Zillow, August 2026 · Realtor.com, September 2026 · Census ACS 2023 · FEMA NRI

Market balanceSeptember 2026

BuyersSellersEven
Seller's market+42

In Mar 2026: +35

Typical value$302K+9.9% over 12 months · Zillow, Aug 2026
Days on market—No reading this month · Realtor.com
Listings with a price cut0%U.S. median ZIP 20% · Realtor.com
Fair market rent$1,010/moHUD fair market rent, 2 bedrooms, FY 2026
Active listings1−50% vs a year ago · Realtor.com
Sale-to-list90.1%0% sold above list · Redfin, Nov 2024
HavenScore47of 100

Higher than 33% of scored ZIPs

Affordability—
Growth60
Risk43
Momentum33
Livability49

Five parts, weighted. How the score works →

The reading

Where the balance sits this month and what moved it.

Month by month, since the gauge began

  1. Mar 2026+35
  2. Apr 2026+7
  3. May 2026+10
  4. Jun 2026+4
  5. Jul 2026+28
  6. Aug 2026—no reading on record
  7. Sep 2026+42

Each block is one month’s reading, −100 (buyers) to +100 (sellers). The series starts in March 2026. A dashed block has no reading on record. How the balance is measured →

What is pulling the needle

  • 0% of listings cut pricefewer than the U.S. median ZIP's 20%
  • Sale-to-list 90.1%homes close below asking · Redfin, Nov 2024
  • 1 active listings−50% vs a year ago

Blue pulls toward buyers, orange toward sellers. Realtor.com, September 2026; Redfin, November 2024.

Accelerating: prices +9.9% over the trailing year, with the market leaning toward sellers.

Asking price vs sale price
Typical value (index)$301,814Zillow ZHVI · Aug 2026
Median sale price$675,000Redfin · Nov 2024
Sale-to-list90.1%Redfin · Nov 2024
Sold above list0.0%Redfin · Nov 2024

Zillow's figure is a smoothed index of typical value, not a list price; Redfin's are closed sales for the month shown.

Last 90 days

How the typical value and the listings moved over the last three months.

Typical valueHavenMay → Aug · Zillow
Active listingsHavenJun → Sep · Realtor.com
Listings with a price cutHavenJun → Sep · Realtor.com
The 90-day changes for this ZIP are part of Haven.
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Prices

Typical home value since 2022, and how far it moved over each window.

1 year+9.9%
3 years+14.3%
5 years—
10 years—
From peak−0.1%

Zillow Home Value Index · ZIP 87538 · monthly, through August 2026

The listings, days on market and market heat series on this chart are part of Haven.With the % change view and the state and U.S. reference lines.
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Zillow ZHVI peaked at $301,814 in August 2026, which is the latest value. The sharpest 12-month move was −3.7%, ending February 2023.

Zillow's typical home value here, $302K in August 2026, is 5% above the median U.S. ZIP's $289K. Over the 12 months to August 2026, Zillow's typical home value moved +9.9% here and +2.8% in the median U.S. ZIP.

Price tiers and bedrooms
Middle tier$302K
Top tier$447K
Single-family$302K

Zillow typical values by price tier, home type and bedrooms, August 2026.

How it ranks

Appreciation by window

WindowChangePer yearU.S. rankNew Mexico rank
1 year+9.9%+9.9%/yrTop 2% nationallyTop 1% in New Mexico
3 years+14.3%+4.6%/yrTop 20% nationallyTop 9% in New Mexico
Since 2022+24.6%+5.0%/yr——

Zillow ZHVI · rank among scored ZIPs

This time of year Haven
The seasonal chart for this ZIP is part of Haven.With the reading of which months run highest and lowest here.
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Forecast

Where the typical value is likely to be over the next 3 to 12 months, with the range the model has earned, and up to 36 months with Pro.

Last three years, then the forecast band

HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) · run October 1, 2026
$240K$260K$280K$300K$320K$340K$307K202420252026$240K$260K$280K$320K$340K$307K202420252026
3 months$307K+1.6% · $300K–$316KMedium confidence
6 monthsHaven
12 monthsHaven
24 monthsPro
36 monthsPro
The 6- and 12-month ranges are part of Haven.The 3-month reading is free. Haven adds what moves the forecast.
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A forecast is a range, not a promise; the confidence word says how wide it is. How the forecast works →

Of the 3-month ranges we published since December 2025, 54% contained the actual price.

Zillow's own published forecast has this ZIP's typical value rise 0.9% over the twelve months from August 2026 (Zillow Home Value Forecast).

Payment

What a typical home here costs each month, against the typical income.

Monthly payment

$2,24638% of the U.S. median ZIP's household income ($71,388)
Principal and interest$1,782
Property tax$169
Insurance$126
Mortgage insurance$170

Above the 36% line lenders use for total debt. Rate is the Freddie Mac average for September 2026; tax is the state's statutory rate.

Insurance is assumed at 0.5% of the home's value a year; Treasury's Federal Insurance Office did not publish a premium for this ZIP.

Fair market rent, 2 bedrooms$1,010
vs
Payment on a typical purchase$2,246

Buying costs $1,236 a month more than the HUD fair market rent for a 2-bedroom here (FY 2026), before tax effects and maintenance.

Cost of owning over time Haven
The 1-, 5- and 30-year cost of owning here is part of Haven.
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The place

What it costs to own here beyond the price, and what the neighborhood is like.

Median household income—Census ACS
Price to income—long-run average —
Property tax0.67%statutory, state
Insurance—typical premium
Commute38 minmedian, one way
Walkability—EPA index
Hazard ratingRelatively ModerateFEMA NRI · wildfire 98 · flood 89
Population change−2.0% a year2018–2023, Census ACS
Median year built1994Census ACS
Owner-occupied100%Census ACS
Hazard ledger
Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 73 of 100 · county median 74
Flood89 of 100county median 90
Wildfire98 of 100county median 98
Hurricane—no FEMA score for this ZIP

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release, refreshed annually · tract-level rolled up to ZIP · not a property-level rating · no future-year projection · the tick is the median of 5 scored ZIPs in San Miguel County.

Housing cost burden
Owners spending over 50% of income0%U.S. median ZIP 5%

Census ACS 2023 five-year estimates · the tick is the U.S. median ZIP.

Behind the score

The inputs behind each of the five parts, against the U.S. median ZIP.

Affordability

—

Growth

60

Risk

43

Momentum

33
Haven
See every input behind the five parts, with its value and source
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Livability

49
Walkability—EPA Smart Location Database
Transit access—EPA Smart Location DatabaseNo transit data
Job density1 jobs per sq miCensus LODESFew jobs nearby

Nearby

3 scored New Mexico ZIPs within 12 miles; the ones below score within ten points and cost less.

Dots are New Mexico ZIP centers colored by market balance; the ring is 12 miles.

No cheaper ZIP within ten points nearby.

Sources and freshness

Every figure on this page, where it came from and when.

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ZillowHome values, rents, price tiersAugust 2026
Realtor.comListings, days on market, price cutsSeptember 2026
RedfinSale-to-list, sold above listNovember 2024
Census ACSIncome, commute, population, housing stock2023 five-year
FEMA National Risk IndexHazard ratingsDecember 2025 release
EPAWalkability—
HUDFair market rent, 2 bedroomsFY 2026
Freddie MacMortgage rateSeptember 2026, monthly average
HavenScoreScore, balance, forecastScored October 1, 2026

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