CautiousUpdated SEP 1, 2026

Ranchita, CA

ZIP 92066· San Diego County· San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA· 314 residents· Median income $43,542· Leaning Seller

92066 · Ranchita, CA has a HavenScore of 29 — downside-risk signals are what hold the score back.

At the ZIP's typical value, the estimated monthly payment takes 81% of the local median income (Zillow, US Census ACS). The buyer/seller gauge leans narrowly toward sellers, and has for 7 months. Typical values were flat over the last 90 days (Zillow ZHVI).

Saved ZIPs on Haven get an email when the score moves 5+ points as monthly data lands, when the market gauge flips between buyers and sellers, when its valuation read moves against the model value, or when distress jumps in a week.

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $509,677 in Jul 2022; the latest value is -6.9% from that peak, 48 months on. Since January 2019 it is +17.8%. The sharpest 12-month move was -14.8%, ending Sep 2019.

Median price
$474,668
+4.37% past 12 mo
Est. monthly payment
$2,931/ mo
20% down · 30-yr fixed · 6.71% · incl. tax + insurance
26
HavenScore: higher than 1% of scored ZIPs.
-3 / 90d#94/95 in CABuyer Score
Rank

This ZIP has fewer than 5,000 residents, so it isn’t ranked against larger markets. The HavenScore is shown for reference.

Switch perspective

Buyer view active — Leans harder on affordability and downside risk.

Score inputs below recompute for this view

Affordability
24/100
Growth
49/100
Risk
18/100
Momentum
25/100
Livability
36/100
Score · trailing 12 mo
2029
+9 points
30-day
0
90-day
-3
1-yr
+9

Snapshot

Numbers at a glance, with a year of history under each

Median price
$474,668
up+4.4% 12 mo
Typical home value across the middle tier of homes here — a smoothed Zillow index, steadier than individual sale prices.
Median price: higher than 70% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is $474,668.
Price-to-income
10.9×
Median home value divided by median household income. Under 4× has historically been comfortable; over 5× stretches most budgets.
Price-to-income: higher than 96% of scored ZIPs.
Est. monthly payment
$2,931
At the median value with 20% down, a 30-year fixed at 6.71%, plus property tax and insurance.
Est. monthly payment: higher than 95% of scored ZIPs.
Active listings
1
Homes listed for sale right now (Realtor.com). Rising inventory usually favors buyers; falling inventory favors sellers.
Active listings: higher than 1% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 1.
Days on market
61
How long the typical listing sits before going under contract. Shorter means a tighter market; longer means more room to negotiate.
Days on market: higher than 68% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 61.
Price cuts
0.00%
Share of active listings that have lowered their asking price. Rising cuts usually precede softening values.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 0.00%.
Median income
$43,542
Median household income here, from the latest US Census American Community Survey.
Population
314
Current resident estimate. Growth is a demand tailwind; decline is a structural risk.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 314.
Overvaluation
+45.92%
How far today's values sit above the long-run price trend. Positive means stretched; negative means discounted versus trend.
Vacancy
16.9%
Above-average. Share of housing units that are vacant in this ZIP, from the latest US Census ACS 5-year tables.
Owner-occupied
69%
of homes. Share of occupied housing units owned by their occupants (vs. rented), from the US Census ACS.
Denial rate
28.2%
Above-average. Share of mortgage applications denied in this ZIP, from the latest CFPB / FFIEC HMDA disclosures.
Lending activity
39,326
originations. Mortgage originations recorded in this ZIP in the most recent HMDA reporting year. Higher counts = more active lending market.
Net migration
-7.6%
net outflow. Net migration as a share of population, from IRS SOI county-to-county migration data. Positive = more people moving in than out.
Income inflow
$68k
average. Average gross income of households moving INTO this ZIP, from IRS SOI data. Higher = ZIP attracting higher-income households.

Place

What it is like to live here, and what could flood or burn

Place profile
WalkabilityBelow-average walkability
EPA index 5.8 of 20 · EPA Smart Location Database · Jun 2021 · above 34% of scored ZIPs
Transit accessNo transit data
EPA publishes no stop distance for most block groups
Typical commuteLonger commute than typical
59 minutes one way · US median ZIP 22 · US Census ACS · above 1% of scored ZIPs
Jobs nearbyFew jobs nearby
1 jobs per sq mi · US Census LODES · above 1% of scored ZIPs
Physical riskVery High (FEMA)
FEMA National Risk Index composite · Dec 2025 release · above 1% of scored ZIPs

Bands are each source’s own · tick marks the national median ZIP · not blended into the score

Hazard ledger · FEMA National Risk Index

Tract-level rolled up to ZIP · not a property-level rating · no future-year projection · refreshed annually (Dec 2025 release) · county tick = median of 95 scored ZIPs in San Diego County

Everyday prices · BEA Regional Price Parities

Everyday prices in the San Diego metro run 12% above the US average (BEA Regional Price Parities, 2024).

Rents in the index run 79% above the US average.

$75,000 at US-average prices buys what $83,900 buys here.

Metro-level index, US = 100 · 2024 · the San Diego metro, not this ZIP alone

Housing cost burden · US Census ACS
Owners spending over 50% of income9%
US median ZIP 6%
Renters spending over 30% of income100%
US median ZIP 45%

What drives the score

Five pillars, each scored 0–100

Affordability

24/100

Growth momentum

49/100

Market risk

18/100

Momentum

25/100

Livability

36/100
Walkability
1–20 index · June 2021 vintage·EPA Smart Location Database
5.8
Transit access
Ranked against every scored ZIP·EPA Smart Location Database
Job density
Jobs per square mile, ranked against every scored ZIP·US Census LODES
1.2

See every input behind the pillars, with its value and source

Inside: Affordability: Price-to-income, Property tax rate, Median income · Growth momentum: 12-month price change, 12-month rent change, Population · Market risk: Overvaluation, Active listings, Price cuts · Momentum: Days on market, Buyer / seller gauge, Demand dial

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Market signals

Tailwinds and headwinds right now

Top 6 of 14 signals
Tailwinds2
  • Strong price appreciation
    +4.4% year-over-year
  • Few price reductions
    Only 0% of listings cutting price
Headwinds4
  • High price-to-income
    10.9× income — well above the national median
  • Population outflow
    -7.6% net — people leaving
  • Potentially overvalued
    46% above historical price-to-income
  • Slow-moving market
    61 days on market — homes sitting longer
Buyer / seller gauge

Market conditions

Leaning Seller

The score reads conditions tightening in sellers' favor.

+25
Strong buyerBalancedStrong seller
Trend
Cooling toward buyer
Gauge since Mar 2026Leaning Seller now

Cycle read. Accelerating: prices +4.4% over the trailing year, with the market leaning toward sellers.

Asking vs closed
Typical value (index)
$474,668
Zillow ZHVI · Sep 2026
Median sale price
$525,000
Redfin · Sep 2026
Sale-to-list
98.1%
Redfin · Sep 2026
Sold above list
0.0%
Redfin · Sep 2026

The Zillow figure is a smoothed index of typical value, not a list price; the Redfin figures are closed sales for the month shown.

Momentum check

What's changed in the last 90 days

🔒 Haven
Locked

Median price

🔒 Haven
Locked

Inventory

🔒 Haven
Locked

Days on market

Change vs. prior 90 days · arrow shows direction, not whether it’s good or bad

Pulse signals unlock with Haven, plus a one-line market interpretation.

The 90-day numbers behind each tile open with Haven

Trend

Where it's been

Peak
$509,677
Jul 2022
From peak
-6.9%
48 mo ago
Since Jan 2019
+17.8%
Worst 12 mo
-14.8%
to Sep 2019
Best 12 mo
+24.5%
since 2018

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $509,677 in Jul 2022; the latest value is -6.9% from that peak, 48 months on. Since January 2019 it is +17.8%. The sharpest 12-month move was -14.8%, ending Sep 2019.

Cycle position — prices vs the model’s value estimate and the payment’s share of income vs five years ago — opens with Pro

Appreciation by window

Zillow ZHVI · rank among scored ZIPs
WindowChangePer yearUS rankCalifornia rank
1 yearup+4.4%+4.4%/yrTop 22% nationallyTop 11% in California
3 yearsdown-1.6%-0.5%/yrHigher than 11% nationallyHigher than 10% in California
5 yearsup+6.3%+1.2%/yrHigher than 8% nationallyHigher than 17% in California
10 yearsup+42.2%+3.6%/yrHigher than 7% nationallyHigher than 9% in California
Since 2000up+202.1%+4.3%/yr

Starter homes vs the top tier

Zillow ZHVI tiers · Jul 2026
Bottom third (starter homes)
$350,014
up+14% 5Yup+132% 10Y
Middle third
$474,668
up+2% 5Yup+37% 10Y
Top third
$621,702
down-7% 5Yup+29% 10Y

Starter homes here rose 14% in five years while top-tier homes fell 7% (Zillow ZHVI tiers) — the bottom of the market outpaced the top.

The historical reading — which months run highest and lowest here — opens with Haven

Rent, inventory, days on market, Zillow’s market heat, the % view and state and US reference lines open with Haven

Forecast

Where it's heading

The HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) projects this ZIP’s median value at 3-, 6-, and 12-month horizons, with 80% prediction intervals; Pro adds 24- and 36-month horizons.

Price Forecast

3-month projection · 80% range

🔒 Haven
3-month shown  |  6 & 12 months with Haven →
3-month
$462,422
-2.6%
80% range $437.5K$485K
6-month
🔒 Haven
12-month
🔒 Haven

Of the 3-month ranges we published since December 2025, 60% contained the actual price. Track record →

6- and 12-month projections, their 80% ranges, and what moves the forecast unlock with Haven.

Zillow's own published forecast has this ZIP's typical value rise 0.3% over the twelve months from July 2026 (Zillow Home Value Forecast).

Forecasts are the model’s projection, not a prediction. Actuals will differ.

See the 6- and 12-month price ranges for this ZIP and what moves the forecast

Haven · 14-day free trial · then from $8/mo

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Monthly cost

What you'd owe each month

Est. monthly payment
$2,931/ mo

20% down · 30-yr fixed · 6.71% · tax 0.71%

Principal$330
Interest$2,123
Property tax$281
Insurance$198
Rent vs buy

Rent data isn’t published for this ZIP, so we can’t compute a rent-vs-buy gap.

Insurance is assumed at 0.5% of the home's value a year; Treasury's Federal Insurance Office did not publish a premium for this ZIP.

Payment share of income

81%of the ZIP’s median income at the median value ($2,931/mo against $43,542 · Zillow, Freddie Mac PMMS, US Census ACS). Your own marker appears once you set an income or price in the calculator below.

Price-to-income · ZIP vs state vs US

Median home value ÷ median household income · Zillow ZHVI, US Census ACS · under 4× has historically been comfortable

Run the numbers

Your price, rate, down payment and income

Cost of ownership over time

Cumulative housing cost, interest paid, and equity built · 20% down · ZIP median income $43,542

See the 1-, 5-, and 30-year cost of owning here

Inside: Total housing cost · Interest paid · Principal paid · Equity built

Try Haven free for 14 days

Equity assumes flat home value; real appreciation could push it higher · Rate 6.71%

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Comparable ZIPs

Same shape, lower entry

ZIPs the score groups near 92066 on Affordability and Growth — sorted by lowest median value. Each tile names what the lower price trades: commute (ACS), walkability band (EPA) and hazard rating (FEMA).

Sources

Every number, traced

Every metric above is sourced from public datasets, normalized against the national ZIP distribution. Home values and rents refresh monthly; demographics refresh annually.

Zillow Research
Home values, rents, inventory, transactions
Realtor.com
Inventory, days on market, price-cut share
Redfin
Sale prices, transaction volume
US Census ACS
Income, population, vacancy, cost burden
Freddie Mac PMMS
Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates
FHFA HPI
Long-term price trends
HUD Small Area FMR
Per-ZIP fair market rents (rural fallback)
BEA & IRS
Personal income growth, net migration
Lending & accessibility
Lending and neighborhood-access signals
Research the restNo crime or school rating here — why. The primary sources:GreatSchoolsNCES School SearchFBI Crime Data Explorer

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