AccessibleUpdated SEP 1, 2026

East Worcester, NY

ZIP 12064· Otsego County· Oneonta, NY· 314 residents· Median income $69,792· Leaning Buyer

12064 · East Worcester, NY has a HavenScore of 60 — affordability carries it — prices sit within reach of local incomes.

At the ZIP's typical value, the estimated monthly payment takes 15% of the local median income (Zillow, US Census ACS). The buyer/seller gauge leans narrowly toward buyers, and has for 3 months. Typical values moved lower over the last 90 days (Zillow ZHVI).

Saved ZIPs on Haven get an email when the score moves 5+ points as monthly data lands, when the market gauge flips between buyers and sellers, when its valuation read moves against the model value, or when distress jumps in a week.

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $151,018 in Aug 2024; the latest value is -12.9% from that peak, 23 months on. The sharpest 12-month move was -11.2%, ending Jul 2026.

Median price
$131,462
-11.15% past 12 mo
Est. monthly payment
$887/ mo
20% down · 30-yr fixed · 6.71% · incl. tax + insurance
66
HavenScore: higher than 91% of scored ZIPs.
▲ +7 / 90d#3/25 in NYBuyer Score
Rank

This ZIP has fewer than 5,000 residents, so it isn’t ranked against larger markets. The HavenScore is shown for reference.

Switch perspective

Buyer view active — Leans harder on affordability and downside risk.

Score inputs below recompute for this view

Affordability
78/100
Growth
40/100
Risk
66/100
Momentum
52/100
Livability
34/100
Score · trailing 12 mo
5260
+8 points
30-day
+6
90-day
+7
1-yr
+8

Snapshot

Numbers at a glance, with a year of history under each

Median price
$131,462
down-11.2% 12 mo
Typical home value across the middle tier of homes here — a smoothed Zillow index, steadier than individual sale prices.
Median price: higher than 4% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is $131,462.
Price-to-income
1.9×
Median home value divided by median household income. Under 4× has historically been comfortable; over 5× stretches most budgets.
Price-to-income: higher than 1% of scored ZIPs.
Est. monthly payment
$887
At the median value with 20% down, a 30-year fixed at 6.71%, plus property tax and insurance.
Est. monthly payment: higher than 1% of scored ZIPs.
Active listings
6
Homes listed for sale right now (Realtor.com). Rising inventory usually favors buyers; falling inventory favors sellers.
Active listings: higher than 2% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 6.
Days on market
74
How long the typical listing sits before going under contract. Shorter means a tighter market; longer means more room to negotiate.
Days on market: higher than 85% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 74.
Price cuts
+33.33%
Share of active listings that have lowered their asking price. Rising cuts usually precede softening values.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is +33.33%.
Median income
$69,792
Median household income here, from the latest US Census American Community Survey.
Population
314
Current resident estimate. Growth is a demand tailwind; decline is a structural risk.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 314.
Overvaluation
-6.47%
How far today's values sit above the long-run price trend. Positive means stretched; negative means discounted versus trend.
Vacancy
55.3%
Above-average. Share of housing units that are vacant in this ZIP, from the latest US Census ACS 5-year tables.
Owner-occupied
86%
of homes. Share of occupied housing units owned by their occupants (vs. rented), from the US Census ACS.
Denial rate
25.6%
Above-average. Share of mortgage applications denied in this ZIP, from the latest CFPB / FFIEC HMDA disclosures.
Lending activity
665
originations. Mortgage originations recorded in this ZIP in the most recent HMDA reporting year. Higher counts = more active lending market.
Net migration
-11.5%
net outflow. Net migration as a share of population, from IRS SOI county-to-county migration data. Positive = more people moving in than out.
Income inflow
$73k
average. Average gross income of households moving INTO this ZIP, from IRS SOI data. Higher = ZIP attracting higher-income households.

Place

What it is like to live here, and what could flood or burn

Place profile
WalkabilityLeast walkable
EPA index 4.6 of 20 · EPA Smart Location Database · Jun 2021 · above 14% of scored ZIPs
Transit accessNo transit data
EPA publishes no stop distance for most block groups
Typical commuteLonger commute than typical
29 minutes one way · US median ZIP 22 · US Census ACS · above 11% of scored ZIPs
Jobs nearbyFew jobs nearby
6 jobs per sq mi · US Census LODES · above 2% of scored ZIPs
Physical riskRelatively Moderate (FEMA)
FEMA National Risk Index composite · Dec 2025 release · above 53% of scored ZIPs

Bands are each source’s own · tick marks the national median ZIP · not blended into the score

Hazard ledger · FEMA National Risk Index

Tract-level rolled up to ZIP · not a property-level rating · no future-year projection · refreshed annually (Dec 2025 release) · county tick = median of 24 scored ZIPs in Otsego County

Housing cost burden · US Census ACS
Owners spending over 50% of income0%
US median ZIP 6%
Renters spending over 30% of income0%
US median ZIP 45%
Pro featurefrom $25/mo

See the warning signs building in this ZIP.

The score's read on falling-market signals: foreclosure starts, price cuts picking up speed, and listings sitting longer.

?? / 100 · 🔒 ProDown 11.2% YoY · Selling below ask · Forecast continuing · Credit tightening
  • Distress score with severity rating
  • Underlying signal breakdown
  • Price trend and forecast context
  • Refreshed monthly

What drives the score

Five pillars, each scored 0–100

Affordability

78/100

Growth momentum

40/100

Market risk

66/100

Momentum

52/100

Livability

34/100
Walkability
1–20 index · June 2021 vintage·EPA Smart Location Database
4.6
Transit access
Ranked against every scored ZIP·EPA Smart Location Database
Job density
Jobs per square mile, ranked against every scored ZIP·US Census LODES
6.2

See every input behind the pillars, with its value and source

Inside: Affordability: Price-to-income, Property tax rate, Median income · Growth momentum: 12-month price change, 12-month rent change, Population · Market risk: Overvaluation, Active listings, Price cuts · Momentum: Days on market, Buyer / seller gauge, Demand dial

Try Haven free for 14 days

Market signals

Tailwinds and headwinds right now

Top 5 of 14 signals
Tailwinds1
  • Affordable vs. income
    1.9× income — below the national median
Headwinds4
  • Declining prices
    -11.2% year-over-year
  • Population outflow
    -11.5% net — people leaving
  • Widespread price cuts
    33% of listings cutting price
  • Slow-moving market
    74 days on market — homes sitting longer
Buyer / seller gauge

Market conditions

Leaning Buyer

Conditions are easing in buyers' favor. The score reads more negotiation room than balanced.

-25
Strong buyerBalancedStrong seller
Trend
Cooling toward buyer
Gauge since Mar 2026Leaning Buyer now

Cycle read. Softening: prices -11.1% over the trailing year, with the market leaning toward buyers.

Asking vs closed
Typical value (index)
$131,462
Zillow ZHVI · Sep 2026
Median sale price
$202,500
Redfin · Sep 2026
Sale-to-list
96.8%
Redfin · Sep 2026
Sold above list
0.0%
Redfin · Sep 2026

The Zillow figure is a smoothed index of typical value, not a list price; the Redfin figures are closed sales for the month shown.

Momentum check

What's changed in the last 90 days

🔒 Haven
Locked

Median price

🔒 Haven
Locked

Inventory

🔒 Haven
Locked

Days on market

Change vs. prior 90 days · arrow shows direction, not whether it’s good or bad

Pulse signals unlock with Haven, plus a one-line market interpretation.

The 90-day numbers behind each tile open with Haven

Trend

Where it's been

Peak
$151,018
Aug 2024
From peak
-12.9%
23 mo ago
Worst 12 mo
-11.2%
to Jul 2026
Best 12 mo
-0.3%
since 2018

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $151,018 in Aug 2024; the latest value is -12.9% from that peak, 23 months on. The sharpest 12-month move was -11.2%, ending Jul 2026.

Cycle position — prices vs the model’s value estimate and the payment’s share of income vs five years ago — opens with Pro

Appreciation by window

Zillow ZHVI · rank among scored ZIPs
WindowChangePer yearUS rankNew York rank
1 yeardown-11.2%-11.2%/yrHigher than 1% nationallyHigher than 1% in New York
Since 2023down-10.8%-4.3%/yr

Starter homes vs the top tier

Zillow ZHVI tiers · Jul 2026
Bottom third (starter homes)
$81,507
Middle third
$131,462
Top third
$245,240
down-0% 5Y

The historical reading — which months run highest and lowest here — opens with Haven

Rent, inventory, days on market, Zillow’s market heat, the % view and state and US reference lines open with Haven

Forecast

Where it's heading

The HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) projects this ZIP’s median value at 3-, 6-, and 12-month horizons, with 80% prediction intervals; Pro adds 24- and 36-month horizons.

Price Forecast

3-month projection · 80% range

🔒 Haven
3-month shown  |  6 & 12 months with Haven →
3-month
$130,910
-0.4%
80% range $123.5K$136.8K
6-month
🔒 Haven
12-month
🔒 Haven

Of the 3-month ranges we published since December 2025, 60% contained the actual price. Track record →

6- and 12-month projections, their 80% ranges, and what moves the forecast unlock with Haven.

Zillow's own published forecast has this ZIP's typical value fall 0.8% over the twelve months from July 2026 (Zillow Home Value Forecast).

Forecasts are the model’s projection, not a prediction. Actuals will differ.

See the 6- and 12-month price ranges for this ZIP and what moves the forecast

Haven · 14-day free trial · then from $8/mo

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Monthly cost

What you'd owe each month

Est. monthly payment
$887/ mo

20% down · 30-yr fixed · 6.71% · tax 1.40%

Principal$91
Interest$588
Property tax$153
Insurance$55
Rent vs buy

Rent data isn’t published for this ZIP, so we can’t compute a rent-vs-buy gap.

Insurance is assumed at 0.5% of the home's value a year; Treasury's Federal Insurance Office did not publish a premium for this ZIP.

Payment share of income

15%of the ZIP’s median income at the median value ($887/mo against $69,792 · Zillow, Freddie Mac PMMS, US Census ACS). Your own marker appears once you set an income or price in the calculator below.

Price-to-income · ZIP vs state vs US

Median home value ÷ median household income · Zillow ZHVI, US Census ACS · under 4× has historically been comfortable

Run the numbers

Your price, rate, down payment and income

Cost of ownership over time

Cumulative housing cost, interest paid, and equity built · 20% down · ZIP median income $69,792

See the 1-, 5-, and 30-year cost of owning here

Inside: Total housing cost · Interest paid · Principal paid · Equity built

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Equity assumes flat home value; real appreciation could push it higher · Rate 6.71%

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HavenScore Report12064Market AnalysisGENERATED FOR PRO MEMBERS78PILLAR BREAKDOWNHAVENSCORE.APP · PRO REPORT🔒 Pro

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Comparable ZIPs

Same shape, lower entry

ZIPs the score groups near 12064 on Affordability and Growth — sorted by lowest median value. Each tile names what the lower price trades: commute (ACS), walkability band (EPA) and hazard rating (FEMA).

Sources

Every number, traced

Every metric above is sourced from public datasets, normalized against the national ZIP distribution. Home values and rents refresh monthly; demographics refresh annually.

Zillow Research
Home values, rents, inventory, transactions
Realtor.com
Inventory, days on market, price-cut share
Redfin
Sale prices, transaction volume
US Census ACS
Income, population, vacancy, cost burden
Freddie Mac PMMS
Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates
FHFA HPI
Long-term price trends
HUD Small Area FMR
Per-ZIP fair market rents (rural fallback)
BEA & IRS
Personal income growth, net migration
Lending & accessibility
Lending and neighborhood-access signals
Research the restNo crime or school rating here — why. The primary sources:GreatSchoolsNCES School SearchFBI Crime Data Explorer

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