Skip to content
Reading for

ZIP 38769 · Rosedale, MS · 2,088 residents · September 2026

Rosedale 38769: neither side has the edge.

Fair conditions for both sides. Typical home value $73K, −15.0% over 12 months; listings take 179 days to sell against 60 in the median U.S. ZIP.

Sources beside every figure · Zillow, August 2026 · Realtor.com, September 2026 · Census ACS 2023 · FEMA NRI

Market balanceSeptember 2026

BuyersSellersEven
Balanced−2
Typical value$73K−15.0% over 12 months · Zillow, Aug 2026
Days on market179 daysU.S. median ZIP 60 days · Realtor.com
Listings with a price cut0%U.S. median ZIP 20% · Realtor.com
Fair market rent$840/moHUD fair market rent, 2 bedrooms, FY 2026
Active listings3+50% vs a year ago · Realtor.com
Sale-to-list100.0%100% sold above list · Redfin, Feb 2026
HavenScore38of 100

Higher than 6% of scored ZIPs

Affordability49
Growth26
Risk35
Momentum43
Livability24

Five parts, weighted. How the score works →

The reading

Where the balance sits this month and what moved it.

Month by month, since the gauge began

  1. Mar 2026−3
  2. Apr 2026+1
  3. May 2026+1
  4. Jun 2026+6
  5. Jul 2026+5
  6. Aug 2026—no reading on record
  7. Sep 2026−2

Each block is one month’s reading, −100 (buyers) to +100 (sellers). The series starts in March 2026. A dashed block has no reading on record. How the balance is measured →

What is pulling the needle

  • 179 days on marketslower than the U.S. median ZIP's 60 days
  • 0% of listings cut pricefewer than the U.S. median ZIP's 20%
  • Sale-to-list 100.0%homes close at asking · Redfin, Feb 2026
  • 3 active listings+50% vs a year ago

Blue pulls toward buyers, orange toward sellers. Realtor.com, September 2026; Redfin, February 2026.

Softening: prices −15.0% over the trailing year, with the market leaning toward buyers.

Asking price vs sale price
Typical value (index)$73,243Zillow ZHVI · Aug 2026
Median sale price$82,022Redfin · Feb 2026
Sale-to-list100.0%Redfin · Feb 2026
Sold above list100.0%Redfin · Feb 2026

Zillow's figure is a smoothed index of typical value, not a list price; Redfin's are closed sales for the month shown.

Distress

This ZIP's distress reading is high this week.

Signals: prices −15.0% over 12 months · homes closing below asking · the decline forecast to continue · credit tightening. How distress is measured →

The distress score and its weekly trend are part of Pro.
Try Pro free for 14 days

Last 90 days

How the typical value and the listings moved over the last three months.

Typical valueHavenMay → Aug · Zillow
Active listingsHavenJun → Sep · Realtor.com
Days on marketHavenJun → Sep · Realtor.com
Listings with a price cutHavenJun → Sep · Realtor.com
The 90-day changes for this ZIP are part of Haven.
Try Haven free for 14 days

Prices

Typical home value since 2018, and how far it moved over each window.

1 year−15.0%
3 years−23.3%
5 years−35.6%
10 years—
From peak−42.1%

Zillow Home Value Index · ZIP 38769 · monthly, through August 2026

The listings, days on market and market heat series on this chart are part of Haven.With the % change view and the state and U.S. reference lines.
Try Haven free for 14 days

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $128,720 in December 2021; the latest value is −43.1% from that peak, 56 months on. Since January 2019 it is −34.1%. The sharpest 12-month move was −24.8%, ending March 2026.

Zillow's typical home value here, $73K in August 2026, is 75% below the median U.S. ZIP's $289K. Over the 12 months to August 2026, Zillow's typical home value moved −15.0% here and +2.8% in the median U.S. ZIP.

Price tiers and bedrooms
Middle tier$73K
Top tier$134K
Single-family$73K
3 bedrooms$92K

Zillow typical values by price tier, home type and bedrooms, August 2026.

How it ranks

Appreciation by window

WindowChangePer yearU.S. rankMississippi rank
1 year−15.0%−15.0%/yrHigher than 1% nationallyHigher than 1% in Mississippi
3 years−23.3%−8.4%/yrHigher than 1% nationallyHigher than 1% in Mississippi
5 years−35.6%−8.4%/yrHigher than 1% nationallyHigher than 2% in Mississippi
Since 2018−25.4%−3.4%/yr——

Zillow ZHVI · rank among scored ZIPs

This time of year Haven
The seasonal chart for this ZIP is part of Haven.With the reading of which months run highest and lowest here.
Try Haven free for 14 days
Cycle position Pro
Where prices sit in the cycle is part of Pro.Prices against the model's value estimate, and the payment's share of income against five years ago.
Try Pro free for 14 days

Forecast

Where the typical value is likely to be over the next 3 to 12 months, with the range the model has earned, and up to 36 months with Pro.

Last three years, then the forecast band

HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) · run October 1, 2026
$60K$70K$80K$90K$100K$110K$76K202420252026$60K$70K$80K$90K$100K$110K$76K202420252026
3 months$76K+4.0% · $71K–$82KMedium confidence
6 monthsHaven
12 monthsHaven
24 monthsPro
36 monthsPro
The 6- and 12-month ranges are part of Haven.The 3-month reading is free. Haven adds what moves the forecast.
Try Haven free for 14 days

A forecast is a range, not a promise; the confidence word says how wide it is. How the forecast works →

Of the 3-month ranges we published since December 2025, 54% contained the actual price.

Zillow's own published forecast has this ZIP's typical value fall 1.3% over the twelve months from August 2026 (Zillow Home Value Forecast).

Payment

What a typical home here costs each month, against the typical income.

Monthly payment

$71545% of the median household income here ($18,869)
Principal and interest$432
Property tax$48
Insurance$193
Mortgage insurance$41

Above the 36% line lenders use for total debt, for a median earner here. Rate is the Freddie Mac average for September 2026; tax is the state's statutory rate.

Insurance uses the average homeowners premium insurers reported for this ZIP in 2022, $2,318 a year (Treasury Federal Insurance Office).

Fair market rent, 2 bedrooms$840
vs
Payment on a typical purchase$715

Buying costs $125 a month less than the HUD fair market rent for a 2-bedroom here (FY 2026), before tax effects and maintenance.

Like for like: the HUD fair market rent for a 3-bedroom here is $1,100 a month (FY 2026), against a typical 3-bedroom value of $92K (Zillow, August 2026) — a 14.3% gross rent yield.

Price-to-income ladder

Median home value ÷ median household income · Zillow ZHVI, Census ACS · under 4× has historically been comfortable

Cost of owning over time Haven
The 1-, 5- and 30-year cost of owning here is part of Haven.
Try Haven free for 14 days

The place

What it costs to own here beyond the price, and what the neighborhood is like.

Median household income$18,869Census ACS
Price to income3.9×long-run average 5.5×
Property tax0.79%statutory, state
Insurance$2,318/yrtypical premium
Commute16 minmedian, one way
Walkability5 / 20EPA index
Hazard ratingRelatively HighFEMA NRI · wildfire 64 · flood 85
Population change+2.7% a year2018–2023, Census ACS
Median year built1981Census ACS
Owner-occupied51%Census ACS

Typical homes cost 3.9× the median household income here, against 3.3× in the median MS ZIP and 4.3× in the median U.S. ZIP (Zillow, August 2026; Census ACS 2023). Median household income is $18,869 here, against $71,388 in the median U.S. ZIP (Census ACS 2023).

Hazard ledger
Overall riskRelatively Highscore 84 of 100 · county median 91
Flood85 of 100county median 88
Wildfire64 of 100county median 67
Hurricane67 of 100county median 72

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release, refreshed annually · tract-level rolled up to ZIP · not a property-level rating · no future-year projection · the tick is the median of 4 scored ZIPs in Bolivar County.

Housing cost burden
Owners spending over 50% of income5%U.S. median ZIP 5%
Renters spending over 30% of income58%U.S. median ZIP 39%

Census ACS 2023 five-year estimates · the tick is the U.S. median ZIP.

Behind the score

The inputs behind each of the five parts, against the U.S. median ZIP.

Affordability

49

Growth

26

Risk

35

Momentum

43
Haven
See every input behind the five parts, with its value and source
Try Haven free for 14 days

Livability

24
Walkability5 / 20EPA Smart Location DatabaseLeast walkable
Transit access—EPA Smart Location DatabaseNo transit data
Job density7 jobs per sq miCensus LODESFew jobs nearby

Nearby

No other scored Mississippi ZIP within 12 miles.

Sources and freshness

Every figure on this page, where it came from and when.

Take it with youTake the full report for this ZIP with you.ProTry Pro free for 14 days

Not subscribing? The report for ZIP 38769 is $19 once, no subscription. Haven is $12/mo while you hunt — cancel when you close.

ZillowHome values, rents, price tiersAugust 2026
Realtor.comListings, days on market, price cutsSeptember 2026
RedfinSale-to-list, sold above listFebruary 2026
Census ACSIncome, commute, population, housing stock2023 five-year
FEMA National Risk IndexHazard ratingsDecember 2025 release
EPAWalkability2021
HUDFair market rent, 2 bedroomsFY 2026
Freddie MacMortgage rateSeptember 2026, monthly average
HavenScoreScore, balance, forecastScored October 1, 2026

Get the HavenScore Weekly

The week's new HavenScore articles, weekly, Tuesdays. Saved ZIPs also get a monthly digest of what changed.

Optional — tells us which markets readers care about.

Free. Unsubscribe anytime.