FairUpdated SEP 1, 2026

Pine Top, KY

ZIP 41843· Knott County· 271 residents· Leaning Buyer

41843 · Pine Top, KY has a HavenScore of 34 — growth is the soft spot — population, income, and price trends point the wrong way.

The buyer/seller gauge leans narrowly toward buyers, and has for 3 months. Typical values moved lower over the last 90 days (Zillow ZHVI). The cautious band reflects the longer-run affordability and risk picture; the buyer lean is the near-term negotiating climate, and the two can differ.

Saved ZIPs on Haven get an email when the score moves 5+ points as monthly data lands, when the market gauge flips between buyers and sellers, when its valuation read moves against the model value, or when distress jumps in a week.

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $90,352 in Jun 2025; the latest value is -29.5% from that peak, 13 months on. Since January 2019 it is +65.0%. The sharpest 12-month move was -29.1%, ending Jun 2026.

Median price
$63,682
-28.03% past 12 mo
Est. monthly payment
$400/ mo
20% down · 30-yr fixed · 6.71% · incl. tax + insurance
42
HavenScore: higher than 1% of scored ZIPs.
▲ +7 / 90d#235/247 in KYBuyer Score
Rank

This ZIP has fewer than 5,000 residents, so it isn’t ranked against larger markets. The HavenScore is shown for reference.

Switch perspective

Buyer view active — Leans harder on affordability and downside risk.

Score inputs below recompute for this view

Affordability
/100
Growth
21/100
Risk
52/100
Momentum
41/100
Livability
12/100
Score · trailing 12 mo
3334
+1 points
30-day
+2
90-day
+7
1-yr
+1

Snapshot

Numbers at a glance, with a year of history under each

Median price
$63,682
down-28.0% 12 mo
Typical home value across the middle tier of homes here — a smoothed Zillow index, steadier than individual sale prices.
Median price: higher than 1% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is $63,682.
Est. monthly payment
$400
At the median value with 20% down, a 30-year fixed at 6.71%, plus property tax and insurance.
Active listings
0
Homes listed for sale right now (Realtor.com). Rising inventory usually favors buyers; falling inventory favors sellers.
Active listings: higher than 1% of scored ZIPs.
Days on market
102
How long the typical listing sits before going under contract. Shorter means a tighter market; longer means more room to negotiate.
Days on market: higher than 97% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 102.
Population
271
Current resident estimate. Growth is a demand tailwind; decline is a structural risk.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 271.
Vacancy
0.0%
Below-average. Share of housing units that are vacant in this ZIP, from the latest US Census ACS 5-year tables.
Owner-occupied
100%
of homes. Share of occupied housing units owned by their occupants (vs. rented), from the US Census ACS.
Denial rate
62.6%
Above-average. Share of mortgage applications denied in this ZIP, from the latest CFPB / FFIEC HMDA disclosures.
Lending activity
73
originations. Mortgage originations recorded in this ZIP in the most recent HMDA reporting year. Higher counts = more active lending market.
Net migration
-34.4%
net outflow. Net migration as a share of population, from IRS SOI county-to-county migration data. Positive = more people moving in than out.
Income inflow
$43k
average. Average gross income of households moving INTO this ZIP, from IRS SOI data. Higher = ZIP attracting higher-income households.

Place

What it is like to live here, and what could flood or burn

Place profile
WalkabilityLeast walkable
EPA index 2.6 of 20 · EPA Smart Location Database · Jun 2021 · above 1% of scored ZIPs
Transit accessNo transit data
EPA publishes no stop distance for most block groups
Typical commuteLonger commute than typical
32 minutes one way · US median ZIP 22 · US Census ACS · above 5% of scored ZIPs
Jobs nearbyFew jobs nearby
2 jobs per sq mi · US Census LODES · above 1% of scored ZIPs
Physical riskRelatively Moderate (FEMA)
FEMA National Risk Index composite · Dec 2025 release · above 22% of scored ZIPs

Bands are each source’s own · tick marks the national median ZIP · not blended into the score

Hazard ledger · FEMA National Risk Index

Tract-level rolled up to ZIP · not a property-level rating · no future-year projection · refreshed annually (Dec 2025 release) · county tick = median of 11 scored ZIPs in Knott County

Housing cost burden · US Census ACS
Owners spending over 50% of income0%
US median ZIP 6%
Pro featurefrom $25/mo

See the warning signs building in this ZIP.

The score's read on falling-market signals: foreclosure starts, price cuts picking up speed, and listings sitting longer.

?? / 100 · 🔒 ProDown 28.0% YoY · Forecast continuing · Credit tightening
  • Distress score with severity rating
  • Underlying signal breakdown
  • Price trend and forecast context
  • Refreshed monthly

What drives the score

Five pillars, each scored 0–100

Affordability

/100

Growth momentum

21/100

Market risk

52/100

Momentum

41/100

Livability

12/100
Walkability
1–20 index · June 2021 vintage·EPA Smart Location Database
2.6
Transit access
Ranked against every scored ZIP·EPA Smart Location Database
Job density
Jobs per square mile, ranked against every scored ZIP·US Census LODES
1.8

See every input behind the pillars, with its value and source

Inside: Affordability: Price-to-income, Property tax rate, Median income · Growth momentum: 12-month price change, 12-month rent change, Population · Market risk: Overvaluation, Active listings, Price cuts · Momentum: Days on market, Buyer / seller gauge, Demand dial

Try Haven free for 14 days

Market signals

Tailwinds and headwinds right now

Top 3 of 14 signals
Tailwinds0
Headwinds3
  • Declining prices
    -28.0% year-over-year
  • Population outflow
    -34.4% net — people leaving
  • Slow-moving market
    102 days on market — homes sitting longer
Buyer / seller gauge

Market conditions

Leaning Buyer

Conditions are easing in buyers' favor. The score reads more negotiation room than balanced.

-23
Strong buyerBalancedStrong seller
Trend
Cooling toward buyer
Gauge since Mar 2026Leaning Buyer now

Cycle read. Softening: prices -28.0% over the trailing year, with the market leaning toward buyers.

Asking vs closed
Typical value (index)
$63,682
Zillow ZHVI · Sep 2026
Median sale price
Redfin
Sale-to-list
Redfin
Sold above list
Redfin

The Zillow figure is a smoothed index of typical value, not a list price; the Redfin figures are closed sales for the month shown. Redfin does not publish every ZIP every month; a dash means no closed-sale figure for the latest month.

Momentum check

What's changed in the last 90 days

🔒 Haven
Locked

Median price

🔒 Haven
Locked

Inventory

🔒 Haven
Locked

Days on market

Change vs. prior 90 days · arrow shows direction, not whether it’s good or bad

Pulse signals unlock with Haven, plus a one-line market interpretation.

The 90-day numbers behind each tile open with Haven

Trend

Where it's been

Peak
$90,352
Jun 2025
From peak
-29.5%
13 mo ago
Since Jan 2019
+65.0%
Worst 12 mo
-29.1%
to Jun 2026
Best 12 mo
+42.2%
since 2018

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $90,352 in Jun 2025; the latest value is -29.5% from that peak, 13 months on. Since January 2019 it is +65.0%. The sharpest 12-month move was -29.1%, ending Jun 2026.

Cycle position — prices vs the model’s value estimate and the payment’s share of income vs five years ago — opens with Pro

Appreciation by window

Zillow ZHVI · rank among scored ZIPs
WindowChangePer yearUS rankKentucky rank
1 yeardown-28.0%-28.0%/yrHigher than 1% nationallyHigher than 1% in Kentucky
3 yearsflat-0.0%-0.0%/yrHigher than 14% nationallyHigher than 9% in Kentucky
5 yearsup+13.5%+2.6%/yrHigher than 17% nationallyHigher than 12% in Kentucky
10 yearsup+79.3%+6.0%/yrHigher than 40% nationallyHigher than 35% in Kentucky
Since 2016up+82.6%+5.9%/yr

Starter homes vs the top tier

Zillow ZHVI tiers · Jul 2026
Bottom third (starter homes)
Middle third
$63,682
down-8% 5Yup+45% 10Y
Top third
$139,928
down-4% 5Yup+34% 10Y

The historical reading — which months run highest and lowest here — opens with Haven

Rent, inventory, days on market, Zillow’s market heat, the % view and state and US reference lines open with Haven

Forecast

Where it's heading

The HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) projects this ZIP’s median value at 3-, 6-, and 12-month horizons, with 80% prediction intervals; Pro adds 24- and 36-month horizons.

Price Forecast

3-month projection · 80% range

🔒 Haven
3-month shown  |  6 & 12 months with Haven →
3-month
$64,695
+1.6%
80% range $62.6K$67K
6-month
🔒 Haven
12-month
🔒 Haven

Of the 3-month ranges we published since December 2025, 60% contained the actual price. Track record →

6- and 12-month projections, their 80% ranges, and what moves the forecast unlock with Haven.

Forecasts are the model’s projection, not a prediction. Actuals will differ.

See the 6- and 12-month price ranges for this ZIP and what moves the forecast

Haven · 14-day free trial · then from $8/mo

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Monthly cost

What you'd owe each month

Est. monthly payment
$400/ mo

20% down · 30-yr fixed · 6.71% · tax 0.83%

Principal$44
Interest$285
Property tax$44
Insurance$27
Rent vs buy

Rent data isn’t published for this ZIP, so we can’t compute a rent-vs-buy gap.

Insurance is assumed at 0.5% of the home's value a year; Treasury's Federal Insurance Office did not publish a premium for this ZIP.

Run the numbers

Your price, rate, down payment and income

Like for like: a 3-bedroom here rents for about $1,150 a month (HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent, FY2026) against a typical 3-bedroom value of $104k (Zillow ZHVI by bedroom) — a 13.2% gross rent yield.

Cost of ownership over time

Cumulative housing cost, interest paid, and equity built · 20% down · standard assumptions

See the 1-, 5-, and 30-year cost of owning here

Inside: Total housing cost · Interest paid · Principal paid · Equity built

Try Haven free for 14 days

Equity assumes flat home value; real appreciation could push it higher · Rate 6.71%

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HavenScore Report41843Market AnalysisGENERATED FOR PRO MEMBERS78PILLAR BREAKDOWNHAVENSCORE.APP · PRO REPORT🔒 Pro

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Comparable ZIPs

Same shape, lower entry

ZIPs the score groups near 41843 on Affordability and Growth — sorted by lowest median value. Each tile names what the lower price trades: commute (ACS), walkability band (EPA) and hazard rating (FEMA).

Sources

Every number, traced

Every metric above is sourced from public datasets, normalized against the national ZIP distribution. Home values and rents refresh monthly; demographics refresh annually.

Zillow Research
Home values, rents, inventory, transactions
Realtor.com
Inventory, days on market, price-cut share
Redfin
Sale prices, transaction volume
US Census ACS
Income, population, vacancy, cost burden
Freddie Mac PMMS
Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates
FHFA HPI
Long-term price trends
HUD Small Area FMR
Per-ZIP fair market rents (rural fallback)
BEA & IRS
Personal income growth, net migration
Lending & accessibility
Lending and neighborhood-access signals
Research the restNo crime or school rating here — why. The primary sources:GreatSchoolsNCES School SearchFBI Crime Data Explorer

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