CautiousUpdated SEP 1, 2026

Lakewood, CO

ZIP 80214· Jefferson County· Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO· 26,759 residents· Median income $74,259· Buyer's Market

80214 · Lakewood, CO has a HavenScore of 42 — affordability is the drag — prices are stretched against local incomes.

At the ZIP's typical value, the estimated monthly payment takes 52% of the local median income (Zillow, US Census ACS) and runs $1,534 a month more than the median rent (Zillow ZORI). The buyer/seller gauge leans firmly toward buyers, and has for 7 months. Typical values moved lower over the last 90 days (Zillow ZHVI).

Saved ZIPs on Haven get an email when the score moves 5+ points as monthly data lands, when the market gauge flips between buyers and sellers, when its valuation read moves against the model value, or when distress jumps in a week.

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $583,088 in Jun 2022; the latest value is -8.1% from that peak, 49 months on. Since January 2019 it is +35.0%. The sharpest 12-month move was -6.4%, ending Jun 2023.

Median price
$536,043
-2.43% past 12 mo
Est. monthly payment
$3,213/ mo
20% down · 30-yr fixed · 6.71% · incl. tax + insurance
39
HavenScore: higher than 16% of scored ZIPs.
▲ +2 / 90d#104/126 in COBuyer Score
Rank

Ranked #11,178 of 13,130 nationally · #5,723 of 6,756 mid-size ZIPs

Switch perspective

Buyer view active — Leans harder on affordability and downside risk.

Score inputs below recompute for this view

Affordability
30/100
Growth
33/100
Risk
53/100
Momentum
51/100
Livability
69/100
Score · trailing 12 mo
3242
+10 points
30-day
+1
90-day
+2
1-yr
+10

Snapshot

Numbers at a glance, with a year of history under each

Median price
$536,043
down-2.4% 12 mo
Typical home value across the middle tier of homes here — a smoothed Zillow index, steadier than individual sale prices.
Median price: higher than 75% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is $536,043.
Median rent
$1,679
up+0.3% 12 mo
Typical monthly rent (Zillow ZORI, with HUD fair-market rent filling in for smaller markets).
Median rent: higher than 40% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is $1,679.
Price-to-income
7.2×
Median home value divided by median household income. Under 4× has historically been comfortable; over 5× stretches most budgets.
Price-to-income: higher than 88% of scored ZIPs.
Est. monthly payment
$3,213
At the median value with 20% down, a 30-year fixed at 6.71%, plus property tax and insurance.
Est. monthly payment: higher than 80% of scored ZIPs.
Active listings
116
Homes listed for sale right now (Realtor.com). Rising inventory usually favors buyers; falling inventory favors sellers.
Active listings: higher than 81% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 116.
Days on market
52
How long the typical listing sits before going under contract. Shorter means a tighter market; longer means more room to negotiate.
Days on market: higher than 52% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 52.
Price cuts
+37.14%
Share of active listings that have lowered their asking price. Rising cuts usually precede softening values.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is +37.14%.
Median income
$74,259
Median household income here, from the latest US Census American Community Survey.
Population
26,759
Current resident estimate. Growth is a demand tailwind; decline is a structural risk.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 26,759.
Overvaluation
+77.83%
How far today's values sit above the long-run price trend. Positive means stretched; negative means discounted versus trend.
Vacancy
7.2%
Average. Share of housing units that are vacant in this ZIP, from the latest US Census ACS 5-year tables.
Owner-occupied
40%
of homes. Share of occupied housing units owned by their occupants (vs. rented), from the US Census ACS.
Denial rate
20.0%
Average. Share of mortgage applications denied in this ZIP, from the latest CFPB / FFIEC HMDA disclosures.
Lending activity
13,316
originations. Mortgage originations recorded in this ZIP in the most recent HMDA reporting year. Higher counts = more active lending market.
Net migration
-0.7%
net outflow. Net migration as a share of population, from IRS SOI county-to-county migration data. Positive = more people moving in than out.
Income inflow
$73k
average. Average gross income of households moving INTO this ZIP, from IRS SOI data. Higher = ZIP attracting higher-income households.

Place

What it is like to live here, and what could flood or burn

Place profile
WalkabilityAbove-average walkability
EPA index 14.3 of 20 · EPA Smart Location Database · Jun 2021 · above 92% of scored ZIPs
Transit accessStop within a 10-minute walk
507 m to the nearest stop · EPA Smart Location Database · Jun 2021 · above 60% of scored ZIPs
Typical commuteTypical commute
22 minutes one way · US median ZIP 22 · US Census ACS · above 49% of scored ZIPs
Jobs nearbyDense employment nearby
2,131 jobs per sq mi · US Census LODES · above 84% of scored ZIPs
Physical riskRelatively Moderate (FEMA)
FEMA National Risk Index composite · Dec 2025 release · above 82% of scored ZIPs

Bands are each source’s own · tick marks the national median ZIP · not blended into the score

Hazard ledger · FEMA National Risk Index

Tract-level rolled up to ZIP · not a property-level rating · no future-year projection · refreshed annually (Dec 2025 release) · county tick = median of 25 scored ZIPs in Jefferson County

Everyday prices · BEA Regional Price Parities

Everyday prices in the Denver metro run 6% above the US average (BEA Regional Price Parities, 2024).

Rents in the index run 47% above the US average.

$75,000 at US-average prices buys what $79,350 buys here.

Metro-level index, US = 100 · 2024 · the Denver metro, not this ZIP alone

Housing cost burden · US Census ACS
Owners spending over 50% of income10%
US median ZIP 6%
Renters spending over 30% of income50%
US median ZIP 45%

What drives the score

Five pillars, each scored 0–100

Affordability

30/100

Growth momentum

33/100

Market risk

53/100

Momentum

51/100

Livability

69/100
Walkability
1–20 index · June 2021 vintage·EPA Smart Location Database
14.3
Transit access
Ranked against every scored ZIP·EPA Smart Location Database
507.1
Job density
Jobs per square mile, ranked against every scored ZIP·US Census LODES
2,130.6

See every input behind the pillars, with its value and source

Inside: Affordability: Price-to-income, Property tax rate, Median income · Growth momentum: 12-month price change, 12-month rent change, Population · Market risk: Overvaluation, Active listings, Price cuts · Momentum: Days on market, Buyer / seller gauge, Demand dial

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Market signals

Tailwinds and headwinds right now

Top 4 of 14 signals
Tailwinds0
Headwinds4
  • High price-to-income
    7.2× income — well above the national median
  • Declining prices
    -2.4% year-over-year
  • Potentially overvalued
    78% above historical price-to-income
  • Widespread price cuts
    37% of listings cutting price
Buyer / seller gauge

Market conditions

Buyer's Market

Buyers hold the leverage. Concessions and below-asking offers are common.

-43
Strong buyerBalancedStrong seller
Trend
Stable
Gauge since Mar 2026Buyer's Market now

Cycle read. Softening: prices -2.4% over the trailing year, with the market leaning toward buyers.

Asking vs closed
Typical value (index)
$536,043
Zillow ZHVI · Sep 2026
Median sale price
$575,460
Redfin · Sep 2026
Sale-to-list
99.1%
Redfin · Sep 2026
Sold above list
30.5%
Redfin · Sep 2026

The Zillow figure is a smoothed index of typical value, not a list price; the Redfin figures are closed sales for the month shown.

Momentum check

What's changed in the last 90 days

🔒 Haven
Locked

Median price

🔒 Haven
Locked

Inventory

🔒 Haven
Locked

Days on market

🔒 Haven
Locked

Price cuts

Change vs. prior 90 days · arrow shows direction, not whether it’s good or bad

Pulse signals unlock with Haven, plus a one-line market interpretation.

The 90-day numbers behind each tile open with Haven

Trend

Where it's been

Peak
$583,088
Jun 2022
From peak
-8.1%
49 mo ago
Since Jan 2019
+35.0%
Worst 12 mo
-6.4%
to Jun 2023
Best 12 mo
+19.5%
since 2018

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $583,088 in Jun 2022; the latest value is -8.1% from that peak, 49 months on. Since January 2019 it is +35.0%. The sharpest 12-month move was -6.4%, ending Jun 2023.

Cycle position — prices vs the model’s value estimate and the payment’s share of income vs five years ago — opens with Pro

Appreciation by window

Zillow ZHVI · rank among scored ZIPs
WindowChangePer yearUS rankColorado rank
1 yeardown-2.4%-2.4%/yrHigher than 11% nationallyHigher than 28% in Colorado
3 yearsdown-2.2%-0.7%/yrHigher than 10% nationallyHigher than 21% in Colorado
5 yearsup+5.3%+1.0%/yrHigher than 7% nationallyHigher than 13% in Colorado
10 yearsup+70.2%+5.5%/yrHigher than 28% nationallyHigher than 47% in Colorado
Since 2000up+279.5%+5.2%/yr

Starter homes vs the top tier

Zillow ZHVI tiers · Jul 2026
Bottom third (starter homes)
$371,910
up+3% 5Yup+73% 10Y
Middle third
$536,043
up+3% 5Yup+67% 10Y
Top third
$705,307
up+4% 5Yup+62% 10Y

Starter homes here rose 3% in five years while top-tier homes rose 4% (Zillow ZHVI tiers) — the two ends of the market moved together.

3-bedroom homes here run 34% above 2-bedrooms (Zillow ZHVI by bedroom); the CO median premium is 36%.

By home type · Zillow ZHVI mid tier
Single-family
$561,982
up+4% 5Y
Condo / co-op
$263,986
down-3% 5Y

Condos here are priced 53% below single-family homes (Zillow ZHVI by home type); over five years single-family rose 4% while condos fell 3%.

The historical reading — which months run highest and lowest here — opens with Haven

Rent, inventory, days on market, Zillow’s market heat, the % view and state and US reference lines open with Haven

Forecast

Where it's heading

The HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) projects this ZIP’s median value at 3-, 6-, and 12-month horizons, with 80% prediction intervals; Pro adds 24- and 36-month horizons.

Price Forecast

3-month projection · 80% range

🔒 Haven
3-month shown  |  6 & 12 months with Haven →
3-month
$527,037
-1.7%
80% range $513.9K$532.1K
6-month
🔒 Haven
12-month
🔒 Haven

Of the 3-month ranges we published since December 2025, 60% contained the actual price. Track record →

6- and 12-month projections, their 80% ranges, and what moves the forecast unlock with Haven.

Zillow's own published forecast has this ZIP's typical value fall 1.5% over the twelve months from July 2026 (Zillow Home Value Forecast).

Forecasts are the model’s projection, not a prediction. Actuals will differ.

See the 6- and 12-month price ranges for this ZIP and what moves the forecast

Haven · 14-day free trial · then from $8/mo

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Monthly cost

What you'd owe each month

Est. monthly payment
$3,213/ mo

20% down · 30-yr fixed · 6.71% · tax 0.55%

Principal$372
Interest$2,398
Property tax$246
Insurance$198
Rent vs buy
Median rent
$1,679
/ mo
Own (payment)
$3,213
/ mo
Monthly gap
+$1,534owning costs more each month

Insurance uses the average homeowners premium insurers reported for this ZIP in 2022, $2,372 a year (Treasury Federal Insurance Office).

Payment share of income

52%of the ZIP’s median income at the median value ($3,213/mo against $74,259 · Zillow, Freddie Mac PMMS, US Census ACS). Your own marker appears once you set an income or price in the calculator below.

Price-to-income · ZIP vs state vs US

Median home value ÷ median household income · Zillow ZHVI, US Census ACS · under 4× has historically been comfortable

Run the numbers

Your price, rate, down payment and income

Like for like: a 3-bedroom here rents for about $2,520 a month (HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent, FY2026) against a typical 3-bedroom value of $585k (Zillow ZHVI by bedroom) — a 5.2% gross rent yield.

Cost of ownership over time

Cumulative housing cost, interest paid, and equity built · 20% down · ZIP median income $74,259

See the 1-, 5-, and 30-year cost of owning here

Inside: Total housing cost · Interest paid · Principal paid · Equity built

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Equity assumes flat home value; real appreciation could push it higher · Rate 6.71%

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Comparable ZIPs

Same shape, lower entry

ZIPs the score groups near 80214 on Affordability and Growth — sorted by lowest median value. Each tile names what the lower price trades: commute (ACS), walkability band (EPA) and hazard rating (FEMA).

Sources

Every number, traced

Every metric above is sourced from public datasets, normalized against the national ZIP distribution. Home values and rents refresh monthly; demographics refresh annually.

Zillow Research
Home values, rents, inventory, transactions
Realtor.com
Inventory, days on market, price-cut share
Redfin
Sale prices, transaction volume
US Census ACS
Income, population, vacancy, cost burden
Freddie Mac PMMS
Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates
FHFA HPI
Long-term price trends
HUD Small Area FMR
Per-ZIP fair market rents (rural fallback)
BEA & IRS
Personal income growth, net migration
Lending & accessibility
Lending and neighborhood-access signals
Research the restNo crime or school rating here — why. The primary sources:GreatSchoolsNCES School SearchFBI Crime Data Explorer

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