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ZIP 94304 · Palo Alto, CA · 4,731 residents · September 2026

Palo Alto 94304: neither side has the edge.

Fair conditions for both sides. Typical home value $3.2M, +3.5% over 12 months.

Sources beside every figure · Zillow, August 2026 · Realtor.com, September 2026 · Census ACS 2023 · FEMA NRI

Market balanceSeptember 2026

BuyersSellersEven
Balanced−2

In Mar 2026: +62

Typical value$3.2M+3.5% over 12 months · Zillow, Aug 2026
Days on market—No reading this month · Realtor.com
Listings with a price cut—No reading this month · Realtor.com
Fair market rent$4,260/moHUD fair market rent, 2 bedrooms, FY 2026
Active listings—No reading this month · Realtor.com
Sale-to-list—No Redfin sales figure for this ZIP
HavenScore39of 100

Higher than 8% of scored ZIPs

Affordability23
Growth55
Risk37
Momentum—
Livability66

Five parts, weighted. How the score works →

The reading

Where the balance sits this month and what moved it.

Month by month, since the gauge began

  1. Mar 2026+62
  2. Apr 2026+35
  3. May 2026+32
  4. Jun 2026+55
  5. Jul 2026+37
  6. Aug 2026—no reading on record
  7. Sep 2026−2

Each block is one month’s reading, −100 (buyers) to +100 (sellers). The series starts in March 2026. A dashed block has no reading on record. How the balance is measured →

What is pulling the needle

  • Sale-to-list —No sale-to-list figure for this ZIP

Blue pulls toward buyers, orange toward sellers. Realtor.com, September 2026; Redfin.

Cooling: prices +3.5% over the trailing year, with the market leaning toward buyers.

Asking price vs sale price
Typical value (index)$3,181,622Zillow ZHVI · Aug 2026
Median sale price—Redfin
Sale-to-list—Redfin
Sold above list—Redfin

Zillow's figure is a smoothed index of typical value, not a list price; Redfin's are closed sales for the month shown. A dash means Redfin has no closed-sale figure for the latest month.

Last 90 days

How the typical value and the listings moved over the last three months.

Typical valueHavenMay → Aug · Zillow
The 90-day changes for this ZIP are part of Haven.
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Prices

Typical home value since 2006, and how far it moved over each window.

1 year+3.5%
3 years+16.5%
5 years+26.8%
10 years+53.5%
From peak−1.1%

Zillow Home Value Index · ZIP 94304 · monthly, through August 2026

The listings, days on market and market heat series on this chart are part of Haven.With the % change view and the state and U.S. reference lines.
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Zillow ZHVI peaked at $3,301,793 in January 2026; the latest value is −3.6% from that peak, 7 months on. Since January 2019 it is +26.4%. The sharpest 12-month move was −9.9%, ending May 2023.

Zillow's typical home value here, $3.2M in August 2026, is 1003% above the median U.S. ZIP's $289K. Over the 12 months to August 2026, Zillow's typical home value moved +3.5% here and +2.8% in the median U.S. ZIP.

Price tiers and bedrooms
Bottom tier$1.3M
Middle tier$3.2M
Top tier$6.0M
Single-family$4.3M
3 bedrooms$3.0M

Zillow typical values by price tier, home type and bedrooms, August 2026.

How it ranks

Appreciation by window

WindowChangePer yearU.S. rankCalifornia rank
1 year+3.5%+3.5%/yrHigher than 69% nationallyTop 17% in California
3 years+16.5%+5.2%/yrTop 13% nationallyTop 6% in California
5 years+26.8%+4.9%/yrHigher than 62% nationallyTop 14% in California
10 years+53.5%+4.4%/yrHigher than 16% nationallyHigher than 18% in California
Since 2006+54.2%+2.2%/yr——

Zillow ZHVI · rank among scored ZIPs

This time of year Haven
The seasonal chart for this ZIP is part of Haven.With the reading of which months run highest and lowest here.
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Cycle position Pro
Where prices sit in the cycle is part of Pro.Prices against the model's value estimate, and the payment's share of income against five years ago.
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Forecast

Where the typical value is likely to be over the next 3 to 12 months, with the range the model has earned, and up to 36 months with Pro.

Last three years, then the forecast band

HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) · run October 1, 2026
$2.6M$2.8M$3.0M$3.2M$3.4M$3.1M202420252026$2.6M$2.8M$3.0M$3.2M$3.4M$3.1M202420252026
3 months$3.1M−3.8% · $2.9M–$3.2MHigh confidence
6 monthsHaven
12 monthsHaven
24 monthsPro
36 monthsPro
The 6- and 12-month ranges are part of Haven.The 3-month reading is free. Haven adds what moves the forecast.
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A forecast is a range, not a promise; the confidence word says how wide it is. How the forecast works →

Of the 3-month ranges we published since December 2025, 54% contained the actual price.

Zillow's own published forecast has this ZIP's typical value rise 3.2% over the twelve months from August 2026 (Zillow Home Value Forecast).

Payment

What a typical home here costs each month, against the typical income.

Monthly payment

$22,807168% of the median household income here ($162,569)
Principal and interest$18,782
Property tax$1,882
Insurance$353
Mortgage insurance$1,790

Above the 36% line lenders use for total debt, for a median earner here. Rate is the Freddie Mac average for September 2026; tax is the state's statutory rate.

Insurance uses the average homeowners premium insurers reported for this ZIP in 2022, $4,237 a year (Treasury Federal Insurance Office).

Fair market rent, 2 bedrooms$4,260
vs
Payment on a typical purchase$22,807

Buying costs $18,547 a month more than the HUD fair market rent for a 2-bedroom here (FY 2026), before tax effects and maintenance.

Like for like: the HUD fair market rent for a 3-bedroom here is $5,630 a month (FY 2026), against a typical 3-bedroom value of $3.0M (Zillow, August 2026) — a 2.3% gross rent yield.

Price-to-income ladder

Median home value ÷ median household income · Zillow ZHVI, Census ACS · under 4× has historically been comfortable

Cost of owning over time Haven
The 1-, 5- and 30-year cost of owning here is part of Haven.
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The place

What it costs to own here beyond the price, and what the neighborhood is like.

Median household income$162,569Census ACS
Price to income19.6×long-run average 13.6×
Property tax0.71%statutory, state
Insurance$4,237/yrtypical premium
Commute15 minmedian, one way
Walkability11 / 20EPA index
Hazard ratingVery HighFEMA NRI · wildfire 82 · flood 78
Population change+4.3% a year2018–2023, Census ACS
Median year built1997Census ACS
Owner-occupied24%Census ACS

Typical homes cost 19.6× the median household income here, against 8.1× in the median CA ZIP and 4.3× in the median U.S. ZIP (Zillow, August 2026; Census ACS 2023). Median household income is $162,569 here, against $71,388 in the median U.S. ZIP (Census ACS 2023).

Hazard ledger
Overall riskVery Highscore 94 of 100 · county median 92
Flood78 of 100county median 87
Wildfire82 of 100county median 31
Hurricane—no FEMA score for this ZIP

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release, refreshed annually · tract-level rolled up to ZIP · not a property-level rating · no future-year projection · the tick is the median of 56 scored ZIPs in Santa Clara County.

Everyday prices

Everyday prices in the San Jose metro run 10% above the U.S. average (BEA Regional Price Parities, 2024).

Rents in the index run 112% above the U.S. average.

$75,000 at U.S.-average prices buys what $82,800 buys here.

Metro-level index, U.S. = 100 · 2024 · the San Jose metro, not this ZIP alone.

Housing cost burden
Owners spending over 50% of income5%U.S. median ZIP 5%
Renters spending over 30% of income43%U.S. median ZIP 39%

Census ACS 2023 five-year estimates · the tick is the U.S. median ZIP.

Behind the score

The inputs behind each of the five parts, against the U.S. median ZIP.

Affordability

23

Growth

55

Risk

37

Momentum

—
Haven
See every input behind the five parts, with its value and source
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Livability

66
Walkability11 / 20EPA Smart Location DatabaseAbove-average walkability
Transit access0.1 miEPA Smart Location DatabaseStop within a 5-minute walk
Job density7,169 jobs per sq miCensus LODESDense employment nearby

Nearby

30 scored California ZIPs within 12 miles; the ones below score within ten points and cost less.

Dots are California ZIP centers colored by market balance; the ring is 12 miles.

Sources and freshness

Every figure on this page, where it came from and when.

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ZillowHome values, rents, price tiersAugust 2026
Realtor.comListings, days on market, price cutsSeptember 2026
RedfinSale-to-list, sold above list—
Census ACSIncome, commute, population, housing stock2023 five-year
FEMA National Risk IndexHazard ratingsDecember 2025 release
EPAWalkability2021
HUDFair market rent, 2 bedroomsFY 2026
Freddie MacMortgage rateSeptember 2026, monthly average
BEAEveryday prices (Regional Price Parities)2024
HavenScoreScore, balance, forecastScored October 1, 2026

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