FairUpdated OCT 1, 2026

Corpus Christi, TX

ZIP 78412· Nueces County· Corpus Christi, TX· 39,728 residents· Median income $60,509· Buyer's Market

78412 · Corpus Christi, TX has a HavenScore of 54 — affordability carries it — prices sit within reach of local incomes.

At the ZIP's typical value, the estimated monthly payment takes 30% of the local median income (Zillow, US Census ACS) and runs $133 a month more than the median rent (Zillow ZORI). The buyer/seller gauge leans firmly toward buyers, and has for 7 months. Typical values moved lower over the last 90 days (Zillow ZHVI).

Saved ZIPs on Haven get an email when the score moves 5+ points as monthly data lands, when the market gauge flips between buyers and sellers, when its valuation read moves against the model value, or when distress jumps in a week.

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $207,646 in Aug 2024; the latest value is -7.0% from that peak, 24 months on. Since January 2019 it is +21.8%. The sharpest 12-month move was -5.6%, ending Aug 2025.

Median price
$193,172
-0.23% past 12 mo
Est. monthly payment
$1,496/ mo
20% down · 30-yr fixed · 7.28% · incl. tax + insurance
54
HavenScore: higher than 68% of scored ZIPs.
▲ +1 / 90d#14/26 in TXBuyer Score
Rank

Ranked #4,805 of 13,130 nationally · #2,591 of 6,756 mid-size ZIPs

Switch perspective

Buyer view active — Leans harder on affordability and downside risk.

Score inputs below recompute for this view

Affordability
60/100
Growth
46/100
Risk
48/100
Momentum
52/100
Livability
68/100
Score · trailing 12 mo
53 → 54
+1 points
30-day
0
90-day
+1
1-yr
+1

Snapshot

Numbers at a glance, with a year of history under each

Median price
$193,172
down-0.2% 12 mo
Typical home value across the middle tier of homes here — a smoothed Zillow index, steadier than individual sale prices.
Median price: higher than 15% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is $193,172.
Median rent
$1,363
up+1.1% 12 mo
Typical monthly rent (Zillow ZORI, with HUD fair-market rent filling in for smaller markets).
Median rent: higher than 18% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is $1,363.
Price-to-income
3.2×
Median home value divided by median household income. Under 4× has historically been comfortable; over 5× stretches most budgets.
Price-to-income: higher than 15% of scored ZIPs.
Est. monthly payment
$1,496
At the median value with 20% down, a 30-year fixed at 7.28%, plus property tax and insurance.
Est. monthly payment: higher than 18% of scored ZIPs.
Active listings
141
Homes listed for sale right now (Realtor.com). Rising inventory usually favors buyers; falling inventory favors sellers.
Active listings: higher than 85% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 141.
Days on market
80
How long the typical listing sits before going under contract. Shorter means a tighter market; longer means more room to negotiate.
Days on market: higher than 85% of scored ZIPs.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 80.
Price cuts
+16.37%
Share of active listings that have lowered their asking price. Rising cuts usually precede softening values.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is +16.37%.
Median income
$60,509
Median household income here, from the latest US Census American Community Survey.
Population
39,728
Current resident estimate. Growth is a demand tailwind; decline is a structural risk.
Twelve-month trend shown as a sparkline; the newest value is 39,728.
Overvaluation
+27.09%
How far today's values sit above the long-run price trend. Positive means stretched; negative means discounted versus trend.
Vacancy
8.1%
Average. Share of housing units that are vacant in this ZIP, from the latest US Census ACS 5-year tables.
Owner-occupied
46%
of homes. Share of occupied housing units owned by their occupants (vs. rented), from the US Census ACS.
Denial rate
28.6%
Above-average. Share of mortgage applications denied in this ZIP, from the latest CFPB / FFIEC HMDA disclosures.
Lending activity
4,968
originations. Mortgage originations recorded in this ZIP in the most recent HMDA reporting year. Higher counts = more active lending market.
Net migration
-6.1%
net outflow. Net migration as a share of population, from IRS SOI county-to-county migration data. Positive = more people moving in than out.
Income inflow
$70k
average. Average gross income of households moving INTO this ZIP, from IRS SOI data. Higher = ZIP attracting higher-income households.

Place

What it is like to live here, and what could flood or burn

Place profile
WalkabilityAbove-average walkability
EPA index 10.8 of 20 · EPA Smart Location Database · Jun 2021 · above 73% of scored ZIPs
Transit accessStop within a 10-minute walk
579 m to the nearest stop · EPA Smart Location Database · Jun 2021 · above 47% of scored ZIPs
Typical commuteShorter commute than typical
17 minutes one way · US median ZIP 22 · US Census ACS · above 85% of scored ZIPs
Jobs nearbyModerate employment nearby
1,517 jobs per sq mi · US Census LODES · above 78% of scored ZIPs
Physical riskRelatively High (FEMA)
FEMA National Risk Index composite · Dec 2025 release · above 33% of scored ZIPs

Bands are each source’s own · tick marks the national median ZIP · not blended into the score

Hazard ledger · FEMA National Risk Index

Tract-level rolled up to ZIP · not a property-level rating · no future-year projection · refreshed annually (Dec 2025 release) · county tick = median of 19 scored ZIPs in Nueces County

Everyday prices · BEA Regional Price Parities

Everyday prices in the Corpus Christi metro run 7% below the US average (BEA Regional Price Parities, 2024).

Rents in the index run 15% below the US average.

$75,000 at US-average prices buys what $69,500 buys here.

Metro-level index, US = 100 · 2024 · the Corpus Christi metro, not this ZIP alone

Housing cost burden · US Census ACS
Owners spending over 50% of income8%
US median ZIP 6%
Renters spending over 30% of income49%
US median ZIP 45%

What drives the score

Five pillars, each scored 0–100

Affordability

60/100

Growth momentum

46/100

Market risk

48/100

Momentum

52/100

Livability

68/100
Walkability
1–20 index · June 2021 vintage·EPA Smart Location Database
10.8
Transit access
Ranked against every scored ZIP·EPA Smart Location Database
579
Job density
Jobs per square mile, ranked against every scored ZIP·US Census LODES
1,516.5

See every input behind the pillars, with its value and source

Inside: Affordability: Price-to-income, Property tax rate, Median income · Growth momentum: 12-month price change, 12-month rent change, Population · Market risk: Overvaluation, Active listings, Price cuts · Momentum: Days on market, Buyer / seller gauge, Demand dial

Try Haven free for 14 days

Market signals

Tailwinds and headwinds right now

Top 4 of 14 signals
Tailwinds1
  • Affordable vs. income
    3.2× income — below the national median
Headwinds3
  • Population outflow
    -6.1% net — people leaving
  • Potentially overvalued
    27% above historical price-to-income
  • Slow-moving market
    80 days on market — homes sitting longer
Buyer / seller gauge

Market conditions

Buyer's Market

Buyers hold the leverage. Concessions and below-asking offers are common.

-45
Strong buyerBalancedStrong seller
Gauge since Mar 2026Buyer's Market now

Cycle read. Softening: prices -0.2% over the trailing year, with the market leaning toward buyers.

Asking vs closed
Typical value (index)
$193,172
Zillow ZHVI · Oct 2026
Median sale price
—
Redfin
Sale-to-list
—
Redfin
Sold above list
—
Redfin

The Zillow figure is a smoothed index of typical value, not a list price; the Redfin figures are closed sales for the month shown. Redfin does not publish every ZIP every month; a dash means no closed-sale figure for the latest month.

Momentum check

What's changed in the last 90 days

🔒 Haven
Locked

Median price

——
🔒 Haven
Locked

Inventory

——
🔒 Haven
Locked

Days on market

——
🔒 Haven
Locked

Price cuts

——

Change vs. prior 90 days · arrow shows direction, not whether it’s good or bad

Pulse signals unlock with Haven, plus a one-line market interpretation.

The 90-day numbers behind each tile open with Haven

Trend

Where it's been

Peak
$207,646
Aug 2024
From peak
-7.0%
24 mo ago
Since Jan 2019
+21.8%
Worst 12 mo
-5.6%
to Aug 2025
Best 12 mo
+9.9%
since 2018

Zillow ZHVI peaked at $207,646 in Aug 2024; the latest value is -7.0% from that peak, 24 months on. Since January 2019 it is +21.8%. The sharpest 12-month move was -5.6%, ending Aug 2025.

Cycle position — prices vs the model’s value estimate and the payment’s share of income vs five years ago — opens with Pro

Appreciation by window

Zillow ZHVI · rank among scored ZIPs
WindowChangePer yearUS rankTexas rank
1 yeardown-0.2%-0.2%/yrHigher than 25% nationallyHigher than 60% in Texas
3 yearsdown-7.3%-2.5%/yrHigher than 6% nationallyHigher than 25% in Texas
5 yearsdown-1.1%-0.2%/yrHigher than 5% nationallyHigher than 17% in Texas
10 yearsup+26.4%+2.4%/yrHigher than 4% nationallyHigher than 6% in Texas
Since 2004up+79.1%+2.7%/yr——

Starter homes vs the top tier

Zillow ZHVI tiers · Aug 2026
Bottom third (starter homes)
$138,714
up+7% 5Yup+47% 10Y
Middle third
$193,172
down-0% 5Yup+27% 10Y
Top third
$289,267
up+5% 5Yup+31% 10Y

Starter homes here rose 7% in five years while top-tier homes rose 5% (Zillow ZHVI tiers) — the two ends of the market moved together.

By home type · Zillow ZHVI mid tier
Single-family
$197,017
down-3% 5Y
Condo / co-op
$142,901
up+3% 5Y

Condos here are priced 27% below single-family homes (Zillow ZHVI by home type); over five years single-family fell 3% while condos rose 3%.

The historical reading — which months run highest and lowest here — opens with Haven

Rent, inventory, days on market, Zillow’s market heat, the % view and state and US reference lines open with Haven

Forecast

Where it's heading

The HavenScore Forecast Model (v1) projects this ZIP’s median value at 3-, 6-, and 12-month horizons, with 80% prediction intervals; Pro adds 24- and 36-month horizons.

Price Forecast

3-month projection · 80% range

🔒 Haven
—————
3-month shown  |  6 & 12 months with Haven →
3-month
$187,222
-3.1%
80% range $182.3K–$195.3K
6-month
🔒 Haven
12-month
🔒 Haven

Of the 3-month ranges we published since December 2025, 54% contained the actual price. Track record →

6- and 12-month projections, their 80% ranges, and what moves the forecast unlock with Haven.

Zillow's own published forecast has this ZIP's typical value fall 0.5% over the twelve months from August 2026 (Zillow Home Value Forecast).

Forecasts are the model’s projection, not a prediction. Actuals will differ.

See the 6- and 12-month price ranges for this ZIP and what moves the forecast

Haven · 14-day free trial · then from $8/mo

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Monthly cost

What you'd owe each month

Est. monthly payment
$1,496/ mo

20% down · 30-yr fixed · 7.28% · tax 1.68%

Principal$120
Interest$938
Property tax$270
Insurance$168
Rent vs buy
Median rent
$1,363
/ mo
Own (payment)
$1,496
/ mo
Monthly gap
+$133owning costs more each month

Insurance uses the average homeowners premium insurers reported for this ZIP in 2022, $2,018 a year (Treasury Federal Insurance Office).

Payment share of income

30%of the ZIP’s median income at the median value ($1,496/mo against $60,509 · Zillow, Freddie Mac PMMS, US Census ACS). Your own marker appears once you set an income or price in the calculator below.

Price-to-income · ZIP vs state vs US

Median home value ÷ median household income · Zillow ZHVI, US Census ACS · under 4× has historically been comfortable

Run the numbers

Your price, rate, down payment and income

Like for like: a 2-bedroom here rents for about $1,580 a month (HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent, FY2026) against a typical 2-bedroom value of $141k (Zillow ZHVI by bedroom) — a 13.5% gross rent yield.

Cost of ownership over time

Cumulative housing cost, interest paid, and equity built · 20% down · ZIP median income $60,509

See the 1-, 5-, and 30-year cost of owning here

Inside: Total housing cost · Interest paid · Principal paid · Equity built

Try Haven free for 14 days

Equity assumes flat home value; real appreciation could push it higher · Rate 7.28%

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HavenScore Report78412Market AnalysisGENERATED FOR PRO MEMBERS78PILLAR BREAKDOWNHAVENSCORE.APP · PRO REPORT🔒 Pro

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Comparable ZIPs

Same shape, lower entry

ZIPs the score groups near 78412 on Affordability and Growth — sorted by lowest median value. Each tile names what the lower price trades: commute (ACS), walkability band (EPA) and hazard rating (FEMA).

Sources

Every number, traced

Every metric above is sourced from public datasets, normalized against the national ZIP distribution. Home values and rents refresh monthly; demographics refresh annually.

Zillow Research
Home values, rents, inventory, transactions
Realtor.com
Inventory, days on market, price-cut share
Redfin
Sale prices, transaction volume
US Census ACS
Income, population, vacancy, cost burden
Freddie Mac PMMS
Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates
FHFA HPI
Long-term price trends
HUD Small Area FMR
Per-ZIP fair market rents (rural fallback)
BEA & IRS
Personal income growth, net migration
Lending & accessibility
Lending and neighborhood-access signals
Research the restNo crime or school rating here — why. The primary sources:GreatSchools→NCES School Search→FBI Crime Data Explorer→

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